CoastalWx Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 I know its still over a week and a half away, but does anyone want to take a stab at the weather potential for July 1? Any big signals for something around that time such as rain or heat? Looks pretty warm around that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Low of 49.4°F at 5:00 am this morning. It can't get any better than this. Keep them coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 The beginning of July looks pretty warm with W-WNW flow aloft bringing much warmer temps. Perhaps better chances for convection too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 The beginning of July looks pretty warm with W-WNW flow aloft bringing much warmer temps. Perhaps better chances for convection too.Going out on a limb I see :-)I just realized yesterday how much better 80 and dry is than 90 and humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Going out on a limb I see :-) I just realized yesterday how much better 80 and dry is than 90 and humid. Pretty good consensus for AN temps..perhaps hot for a time. The only thing I see to spoil that, is the warm front kind of becoming staitonary to our SW...but the overall temp scheme looks rather warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Pretty good consensus for AN temps..perhaps hot for a time. The only thing I see to spoil that, is the warm front kind of becoming staitonary to our SW...but the overall temp scheme looks rather warm.So AN for July then...not sure how I feel about that. What happened to the nino = cool summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 So AN for July then...not sure how I feel about that. What happened to the nino = cool summer? Nino = cool summer is just a ****ty assumption in general, particularly as far as the northeast goes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Killer weekend on tap. Thinking I might make it to July w/o installing the a.c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 So AN for July then...not sure how I feel about that. What happened to the nino = cool summer? Well depending on where the tropical forcing is...it can be true..but I feel like that is more for the Great Lakes area. Plus, lets not forget even the cool summers always have bouts of AN weather. Just like in winter we always have periods of BN weather even in torch winters. It's obviously tough to determine day to day specifics when you're two weeks out...but the overall regime looks different than what we've seen over the last several weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Spectacular day today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Gah, just get rid of the stupid high we've had all month. Keeps convection south, and if it persists till cane season, it makes NC the hotspot and even keeps the remnants away. Wish we could have a summer with alternating days of SVR and niceness, but that might be asking too much up here. Sigh. At least I'll be in OK next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Gah, just get rid of the stupid high we've had all month. Keeps convection south, and if it persists till cane season, it makes NC the hotspot and even keeps the remnants away. Wish we could have a summer with alternating days of SVR and niceness, but that might be asking too much up here. Sigh. At least I'll be in OK next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 MWN....they've got a current wind chill of 15F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 It Don't get better than this. Enjoy the weekend donks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 It Don't get better than this. Enjoy the weekend donks. You got that right....was worried about a wedding in June in what we are led to believe is the most humid state in the union (CT, where people live), but this is damn perfect for not sweating in a suit. Dew at BDL down to 44F...back home all sites are in the 30s now for dews. Perfect. "Very dry air exists below that shallow moisture layer aloft, and with decent heating, we are getting good mixing. This is not only bringing some gusty winds down to the surface, but also resulting in some low humidities. Current dewpoint observations are already lower than what guidance suggests, so went ahead and lowered dewpoints a few degrees below guidance for the remainder of the afternoon. Net result is that relative humidity values will fall to the 25-35% range across much of the area this afternoon. Upped the wind gusts a bit as well, so look for gusts in the 20-30mph range. In the end, still a pretty decent day for most outdoor activities." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 46.4F for my morning low... this is great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 46.4F for my morning low... this is great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 ENSO has about a 0.3-ish correlation to our temps in the summer...that's not a strong correlation by any means, but it is statistically significant. But 0.3 means you'll have enough years in there that break the trend as to not take the "Nino = cool summers" to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 46.4F for my morning low... this is great Same down here too. Finally got the whole house chilled out. I'm loving the warm days and cool nights. Awesome for sleeping and for getting stuff done outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 MWN....they've got a current wind chill of 15F. image.jpg Gotta love that!! Beautiful day out there today. Summertime office in full swing. 68.9/41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Gotta love that!! Beautiful day out there today. Summertime office in full swing. 68.9/41 Nice office! I will take a day like today every day through October. 65/43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Nice office money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Nice office money. I need little drink umbrellas in my Diet Coke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 I need little drink umbrellas in my Diet Coke. You need some rum in that diet coke, son. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 is that pool heated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 is that pool heated? It is--but the sun's doing a great job on it so we haven't had to use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 The heat stuff can be dealt with with common sense and in many cases money. Tornadoes, canes are hard to deal with Amazing evening Ah, not so simple. On point, heat kills, with as much frequency. Not everyone can "deal with the heat," either In fact, hurricanes are easier evaded. One's coming, evacuate. Problem solved. One cannot as readily escape the scope of a continental heat dome, particularly if they are of poorer class and/or can't avail of protective structures in general. Heat is an event in the atmosphere, period. It should be recognized and quantified. Btw, I think cold waves should as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 this is a wallpaper worthy run of the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 Today is perfect winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 20, 2014 Share Posted June 20, 2014 ENSO has about a 0.3-ish correlation to our temps in the summer...that's not a strong correlation by any means, but it is statistically significant. But 0.3 means you'll have enough years in there that break the trend as to not take the "Nino = cool summers" to the bank. I actually think that's pretty good for atmospheric events... Given the intrinsic chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics/emergent process, it's harder to get a .3 correlation (I think) than it is compared to mere dice rolls. But ur a better gambler than me ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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