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June Discussion


Bostonseminole

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All the rain I've had and one distant rumble to show for it..lol. I had more tstms days this winter compared to since May 1st.

If we continue the never -ending trough and a couple cut-offs things will get interesting in July. Need days with dews in the low 70s and warm SSTs to see anything fun.

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If we continue the never -ending trough and a couple cut-offs things will get interesting in July. Need days with dews in the low 70s and warm SSTs to see anything fun.

We seem to be going to 2009 route. Hopefully things are more active in July like that year.
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Anyone here part of the blitzortung network yet?

http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php?lang=en&page_0=30

I see only 2 active stations in New England so far. I'm starting to get the itch to do my own build. It's starting taking off like wildfire. The more stations we get the more accurate it'll be.

This guys page is great, use it for work 

http://www.lightningmaps.org/blitzortung/america/index.php?bo_page=statistics&bo_show=station&bo_sid=982&bo_station_id=61〈=en

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So much for the heat. Troughing will not be denied.

 

It's been entertaining watching the models systematically erode their own original ridge conception from a few days ago ... at least excuse imaginable.  Here comes the ridge, 'Oh, Franken-model!  Did you see that ridge?  Shoot, we'd better start finding ways to spin it down.'

 

You know, I was thinking about this last night, while playing billiards with a friends (because of course that's what the true and hardened Meteorological nerd does while shooting pool).  When in scenarios where it can't stop snowing, or it can't ever snow, or it can't warm up, or it can't cool down; these ilk of bias' eras, they really do take on a life of their own.  They seem to live and die out their reign with their own temporal spans that seem more to coexist with the modeling data, than to be because of it.

 

I call those eras perturbation vectors, fun speak that means periods of time where the fractal nature that effects a portion of all atmospheric dynamics is going through a span where it favors a negative or positive (however these are defined).  This realm of prediction will never be accounted for.  Even in quantum computing (the latest and greatest tech - meme buzz phrase), which apparently technology at large is on the cusp of achieving, accurately predicting "emergence" is a whoole different ball game than predicting where things are going based on past quantum states.  

 

But that's all probably too deep for a sluggish Saturday morning when there appears to be a sky-cover bust underway and some disheartening albeit forced awareness that said emergence vector has yet again pointed us toward cooler at least excuse imaginable. Ha.  We're just in f^ck us pattern that won't break.   

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It's been entertaining watching the models systematically erode their own original ridge conception from a few days ago ... at least excuse imaginable.  Here comes the ridge, 'Oh, Franken-model!  Did you see that ridge?  Shoot, we'd better start finding ways to spin it down.'

 

You know, I was thinking about this last night, while playing billiards with a friends (because of course that's what the true and hardened Meteorological nerd does while shooting pool).  When in scenarios where it can't stop snowing, or it can't ever snow, or it can't warm up, or it can't cool down; these ilk of bias' eras, they really do take on a life of their own.  They seem to live and die out their reign with their own temporal spans that seem more to coexist with the modeling data, than to be because of it.

 

I call those eras perturbation vectors, fun speak that means periods of time where the fractal nature that effects a portion of all atmospheric dynamics is going through a span where it favors a negative or positive (however these are defined).  This realm of prediction will never be accounted for.  Even in quantum computing (the latest and greatest tech - meme buzz phrase), which apparently technology at large is on the cusp of achieving, accurately predicting "emergence" is a whoole different ball game than predicting where things are going based on past quantum states.  

 

But that's all probably too deep for a sluggish Saturday morning when there appears to be a sky-cover bust underway and some disheartening albeit forced awareness that said emergence vector has yet again pointed us toward cooler at least excuse imaginable. Ha.  We're just in f^ck us pattern that won't break.   

 

Well we'll have some warm days..but it looks like the big heat is cut off at the pass. I feel like this is going the 2009 route. We started getting warmer wx in July along with good severe. That June was way worse than this..good God. Brutal month that was.

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Well we'll have some warm days..but it looks like the big heat is cut off at the pass. I feel like this is going the 2009 route. We started getting warmer wx in July along with good severe. That June was way worse than this..good God. Brutal month that was.

 

I keep hearing this.  I don't even remember that.  Oh, I'm sure it was a butt bang month but for some reason I can't remember that one like so many others.  That whole 2005, May fiasco, or the incredible non-winter of 2011-2012, where after the freak October event there was a 2nd green up in shrubbery during Thanks Giving... I don't have much recollection of June, 2009. 

 

What happened...? 

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I keep hearing this.  I don't even remember that.  Oh, I'm sure it was a butt bang month but for some reason I can't remember that one like so many others.  That whole 2005, May fiasco, or the incredible non-winter of 2011-2012, where after the freak October event there was a 2nd green up in shrubbery during Thanks Giving... I don't have much recollection of June, 2009. 

 

What happened...? 

 

Just an awfully cold and rainy month. -4.7 at BOS. 

 

BOS was normal for precip, but I remember some nasty days.

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Just an awfully cold and rainy month. -4.7 at BOS. 

 

BOS was normal for precip, but I remember some nasty days.

 

 

That really is impressive.  Folks may not realize just how difficult it is to suppress a mean that deeply (or positive when the other way). March 2010 was about that impressive or even more, on the positive side for everyone, and green up started a solid month ahead of schedule.

 

In fact ... re that, that year, and some other springs around that era, seemed to be catalyst for implanting some  ... less than realistic expectations about spring.  This year swings the pendulum back a bit.  Lest we forget, we've snowed on May 22nd some years ;)

 

Anyway, did anyone notice the Euro threatening Maine with a frost or even freeze in it's extended?   It's most probably a bullcrap solution that won't happen, because clearly ... the events leading up to that anomalous sub-polar low in the lower D. Straight region are born of the typical Euro porno dig bias it has in that time range.  Still, not only does the model whack off to images of heat shunting, it goes auto-erotic summer asphyxiation by bringing winter back on the solstice.  During GW mind you ... hahaha.

 

Hyperbole aside, definitely underscores the idea that we are stuck in some kind of weird tendency for any permutation to be cooler in nature.

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