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Spring/ Summer 2014 Convection Discussion


weatherwiz

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lol, You have been in the wrong places, They are rare on the beaches.................... :)

 

I take it back, seen plenty in downtown Portland bars. LOL

 

Seriously been up to East Grand Lake a few miles south of the Canadian border. Sunday River, Three Rivers whitewater. Nothing.

 

Bears on the other hand. They're like racoons.

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I take it back, seen plenty in downtown Portland bars. LOL

 

Seriously been up to East Grand Lake a few miles south of the Canadian border. Sunday River, Three Rivers whitewater. Nothing.

 

Bears on the other hand. They're like racoons.

 

Suprised you did not see some out by east grand and Three river's, One of the best spots is on the Surgarloaf Access road behind the Surgarloaf Brewery, They even have seats their over looking the bog as well as signs with flashing lights on the roadway warning you of a moose crossing

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EF2 yesterday

 

000
NOUS41 KBGM 091855
PNSBGM
NYZ009-018-036-037-PAZ038-039-100000-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
255 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2014

...A NWS STORM SURVEY TEAM HAS SURVEYED DAMAGE FROM A CONFIRMED
TORNADO NEAR SMITHFIELD NEW YORK...

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM HAS CONFIRMED THAT A
TORNADO OCCURRED NEAR SMITHFIELD IN MADISON COUNTY NEW YORK. THE
TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN A 7:02 PM ON TUESDAY JULY 8TH. THE PATH WIDTH WAS
235 YARDS AND THE LENGTH WAS 2.5 MILES. THE MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS WITH
THE TORNADO WERE 100 TO 125 MPH RESULTING IN AN INTENSITY
DESIGNATION OF EF2.

THREE HOMES WERE DESTROYED AND FIVE OTHERS SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGE. THE STORM FIRST STRUCK A MANUFACTURED HOME WITH SOME
ADDITIONAL CONSTRUCTION ON GOFF ROAD PRODUCING TWO FATALITIES. A
BARN AND HOME WERE THEN DESTROYED NEXT TO THIS FIRST HOME ON GOFF ROAD.
A TRAILER WAS DESTROYED NEXT TO THE BARN WITH ANOTHER FATALITY.
ANOTHER HOME THEN SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE FROM FLYING MISSILES.
ALL OF THIS DESTRUCTION WAS ON GOFF ROAD. ON NORTHRUP ROAD A THREE
STORY HOME WAS REMOVED FROM ITS FOUNDATION AND THROWN DOWN A HILL
KILLING THE OCCUPANT. PORTIONS OF THIS HOUSE WERE THROWN INTO
ANOTHER HOUSE. DAMAGE ON NORTHRUP AND GOFF ROADS WAS CLEARLY
TORNADIC WITH LOTS OF THROWN DEBRIS AND DOWNED TREES. THE TORNADO
WEAKENED AND PRODUCED EF1 DAMAGE TO A HOME ON BUTLER ROAD THEN
WEAKENED TO EF1 AND ENDED ON ROUTE 31.

$

MSE

 

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EF2 yesterday

000

NOUS41 KBGM 091855

PNSBGM

NYZ009-018-036-037-PAZ038-039-100000-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY

255 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2014

...A NWS STORM SURVEY TEAM HAS SURVEYED DAMAGE FROM A CONFIRMED

TORNADO NEAR SMITHFIELD NEW YORK...

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM HAS CONFIRMED THAT A

TORNADO OCCURRED NEAR SMITHFIELD IN MADISON COUNTY NEW YORK. THE

TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN A 7:02 PM ON TUESDAY JULY 8TH. THE PATH WIDTH WAS

235 YARDS AND THE LENGTH WAS 2.5 MILES. THE MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS WITH

THE TORNADO WERE 100 TO 125 MPH RESULTING IN AN INTENSITY

DESIGNATION OF EF2.

THREE HOMES WERE DESTROYED AND FIVE OTHERS SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT

DAMAGE. THE STORM FIRST STRUCK A MANUFACTURED HOME WITH SOME

ADDITIONAL CONSTRUCTION ON GOFF ROAD PRODUCING TWO FATALITIES. A

BARN AND HOME WERE THEN DESTROYED NEXT TO THIS FIRST HOME ON GOFF ROAD.

A TRAILER WAS DESTROYED NEXT TO THE BARN WITH ANOTHER FATALITY.

ANOTHER HOME THEN SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE FROM FLYING MISSILES.

ALL OF THIS DESTRUCTION WAS ON GOFF ROAD. ON NORTHRUP ROAD A THREE

STORY HOME WAS REMOVED FROM ITS FOUNDATION AND THROWN DOWN A HILL

KILLING THE OCCUPANT. PORTIONS OF THIS HOUSE WERE THROWN INTO

ANOTHER HOUSE. DAMAGE ON NORTHRUP AND GOFF ROADS WAS CLEARLY

TORNADIC WITH LOTS OF THROWN DEBRIS AND DOWNED TREES. THE TORNADO

WEAKENED AND PRODUCED EF1 DAMAGE TO A HOME ON BUTLER ROAD THEN

WEAKENED TO EF1 AND ENDED ON ROUTE 31.

$

MSE

sad
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Watch is up....

SEL7

0-CWZ000-100200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 407

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

415 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN CONNECTICUT

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

CENTRAL AND NORTHERN DELAWARE

WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS

CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MARYLAND

NEW JERSEY

SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK

EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA

NORTHERN VIRGINIA

SOUTHERN VERMONT

COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 415 PM

UNTIL 1000 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

WASHINGTON DISTRICT OF COLUM TO 15 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF

PITTSFIELD MASSACHUSETTS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH

SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

DISCUSSION...GRADUAL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY OF INITIALLY

WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS IS UNDERWAY ACROSS REGION...AS FAVORABLE

MOISTURE AND AFTN HEATING OFFSET WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT. DEEP SHEAR

WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SVR FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS UNTIL

THAT...AND LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY...EACH WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

DAMAGING GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.

A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION

VECTOR 27030.

...EDWARDS

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I take it back, seen plenty in downtown Portland bars. LOL

Seriously been up to East Grand Lake a few miles south of the Canadian border. Sunday River, Three Rivers whitewater. Nothing.

Bears on the other hand. They're like racoons.

My parents just sold their house on east grand. ...On the nb side. I can attest that there are plenty of moose in that area. I especially love fishing up monument steam. Crazy going under that bridge in Orient/fosterville, then boating through the thoroughfare. Then on to monument. ... It's a neat feeling to be on a boat in a stream that is an international border. ... No more than 50 yards across.

Really bummed that they sold it. Such a beautiful place.

dary8yda.jpg2uge4ete.jpg

Anyway, hopefully we bang again today and the storms don't pull the bs that they did last night.

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Any chance this year of getting some instability into the coastal plain? This is what, the 4th SVR watch in the past week that has ended at the New Haven/Middlesex county line just a couple miles to my west? Getting pretty frustrating watching these decent lines hit HVN and just fizzle out. Did get to enjoy some distant lightning and a rumble of thunder last Thursday...that was pretty intense.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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Paul--what's your take?  Do you think that line can hold it together?  I'm expecting an utterly forgettable passing.  :)

 

When I got home from work I looked at mesoanalysis and really wasn't completely impressed...at least for widespread activity.  there are some pretty nasty cells out there though and again we can thank some pretty strong shear aloft.  Instability isn't overly impressive but it's just enough (thanks to high temps and low-level moisture).  

 

Anyways for that activity right over the ENX radar site I believe it does remain strong to severe into Berkshire, Franklin, and Hampshire Counties...it might not be as strong but I don't think it will go through a ton of weakening.  

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When I got home from work I looked at mesoanalysis and really wasn't completely impressed...at least for widespread activity.  there are some pretty nasty cells out there though and again we can thank some pretty strong shear aloft.  Instability isn't overly impressive but it's just enough (thanks to high temps and low-level moisture).  

 

Anyways for that activity right over the ENX radar site I believe it does remain strong to severe into Berkshire, Franklin, and Hampshire Counties...it might not be as strong but I don't think it will go through a ton of weakening.  

 

Thanks.  I won't hold my breath.

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