ROOSTA Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 I used to dust at dawn, oops dusk at dawn. Next script will have to do close-ups SNE on severe parameters i.e. CAPE, CIN... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2014 Author Share Posted July 7, 2014 You people are way too confusing. I'm going to bed...gotta wake up 5 hours and 26 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 interesting look for wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2014 Author Share Posted July 7, 2014 interesting look for wednesday july_9_14_korh_h69_0z_gfs_sounding.png Wednesday might feature potential but I would think it certainly would be from ORH on east. Unless of course we're dealing with a slower fropa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 I used to wake up at the crack of Dawn.Dawn's early light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Hodographs today... hmmmmmm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Mesos bring a strong line of storms into and thru much of the region this afternoon and evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Looks like the slight risk was extended south to include parts of W. MA. Also pretty large contour of 5% tornado probs in upstate NY into VT with nice helicity values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Looks too late with not much of a trigger for much of SNE. HRRR is relatively quiet outside of western Mass., where it brings a few storms through later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 We should watch that MCV/meslow heading toward KART. Especially north of the Mass Pike it may be enough to trigger some convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 I don't much has changed since yesterday. Still seems like western MA and then VT and NH are in a decent spot for some good storms with wind. Instability isn't great, but good shear aloft and 850 theta-e increasing during the day should help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 tomorrow looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Today looks kind of meh for around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 tomorrow looks better I think it looks good for PA and C NY. I don't think it looks that great around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 looks like developing line west of ALB should be the feature to watch for n MA / south + central VT / NH this afternoon. mostly wind threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1292 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1146 AM CDT MON JUL 07 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NY...SRN VT...SRN NH...MA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 071646Z - 071815Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN NY...SRN VT...SRN NH AND MA. HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. WW ISSUANCE MAY BECOME NECESSARY ACROSS PARTS OF NY AND NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF ERN NY AND NEW ENGLAND WITH A CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE EXTENDING ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST NNEWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. MOISTURE ADVECTION HAS GRADUALLY INCREASED SFC DEWPOINTS INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S F ACROSS THE MCD AREA WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY IN PLACE FROM NJ NWD INTO SERN NY. SBCAPE IS ESTIMATED IN THE 1000 TO 1500 J/KG RANGE IN THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY ACCORDING TO RAP-V2 DATA. MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPAND NEWD ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THIS ALONG WITH 50 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR EVIDENT ON THE ALBANY WSR-88D VWP SHOULD SUPPORT A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OF THE LINE. THE LINE MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS IT APPROACHES AND MOVES INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. AN EWD FORWARD SPEED NEAR 45 TO 50 MPH SHOULD ALSO AID THE WIND-DAMAGE POTENTIAL. AS INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE. ..BROYLES/EDWARDS.. 07/07/2014 ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY... LAT...LON 43587389 42787447 42207406 42027162 42497089 43537118 43587389 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Under a tstorm warning here. Looks like there's a potential for some big hail. .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 HRRR is interesting.....nice line of storms along the MA/NH border next couple of hours. Has like 3 rounds of storms this evening. It has had the hot hand lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Under a tstorm warning here. Looks like there's a potential for some big hail. .. Severe warning but I think you, I and MPM get grazed. It's too far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Storms have mostly fizzled up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 I can here the thunder going crazy N of here but just mostly cloudy here. Maybe Lurker is getting in on the action. That cell has definitely lost some of it's clout as it moved east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Showers with 3 claps of thunder just moved through. Seemed I was in the "meat" of the line up here. Total rainfall from this line was .007". Sun breaking through again. Temp down to 71F Dew up to 67F. I see the NWS has my area in a severe thunderstorm warning, don't get it, line is very weak in this area..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Rain, decent wind, but less lightning than I was expecting. Constant thunder as this approached. Now, not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Now cells backbiting by North Adams. ... Could see rain for a while here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Storm near Northfield Mass has a tightening low level meso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Storm near Northfield Mass has a tightening low level meso.Yeah, that storm just passed through here. Breezy. Problem is both aly and box radars are pretty high here on their base scans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Let's see what those storms in ENY heading twds Fairfield/Litchfield counties do as they hit a slightly better environment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Not sure why BOX has this storm smack in the middle of range fold... Velocity does look a little funky beyond that though, a lot of unknown values in an azimuthal section at various ranges. Maybe something else is going on with the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Refreshingly cool with the storm passing to my north. A few bursts of brief heavy rain, but nothing of note. 72.5/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2014 Share Posted July 7, 2014 Nice view of those storms nearHubbdave from home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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