weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 Good, make up for my miss on Sunday... I hope... Good luck chasing! Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Not at all. NW flow aloft and elevated instability will carry storms right to the coast. Maybe the coast of the Quabbin. I don't see nearly enough instability here in ALB to keep em going in 60 degree air. Wind direction has shifted more favorably, though, I'll give you that. There is a lovely inverted V on that sounding, though. Watch out for wind threat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 I wonder if/when we'll see an MCD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 I wonder if/when we'll see an MCD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0727 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0202 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NY INCLUDING PARTS OF WRN LONG ISLAND/NRN NJ/WRN VT/WRN MA/WRN CT CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 271902Z - 272000Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...WW ISSUANCE MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS STORMS INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY ACROSS ERN NY/NRN NJ INTO PARTS OF WRN NEW ENGLAND. DISCUSSION...EARLY AFTERNOON RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A FEW TSTMS HAD DEVELOPED OVER NRN UPSTATE NY IN NRN ESSEX AND SRN FRANKLIN COUNTIES. WEAKER LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH SWD EXTENT ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH HAS TENDED TO LIMIT TSTM DEVELOPMENT...WITH A FEW SHOWERS OVER FAR ERN AND SERN NY...AND AN ISOLATED STORM LOCATED 40 W ALB. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 30-40 KT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA IS MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR STORM ORGANIZATION...INSTABILITY IS WEAKER /500-1200 J PER KG/ ACROSS ERN NY/NRN NJ INTO WRN NEW ENGLAND AS COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER W/SW INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/ MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THIS LATTER FACTOR AND WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE APPEAR TO BE LIMITING GREATER STORM DEVELOPMENT/ COVERAGE/INTENSITY THUS FAR. LAST SEVERAL RUNS /12-16Z/ OF THE HRRR WOULD SUGGEST THAT STORM COVERAGE MAY TEND TO BE LIMITED ACROSS ERN NY INTO WRN NEW ENGLAND AS DEPICTED BY ONGOING TRENDS IN RADAR IMAGERY. THE EXCEPTION SHOULD BE ACROSS SERN NY INTO PARTS OF NJ LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS STORMS MOVE INTO THIS REGION FROM PA. ..PETERS/CORFIDI.. 05/27/2014 ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 Funny timing lol. I told my friend at 2:40 we may see one around 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Nah, storm motion takes em over the front after they initiate, so anything it forces will get killed off by the cold air. If the motion was along it, it would be much more interesting.AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Just had a quick downpour pop out of nowhere at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Tornado warning in vt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Tornado warning in vt Riding the backdoor front. Hell of a look to it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 In New Canaan...let the fun begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Riding the backdoor front. Hell of a look to it right now. Low level rotation is pretty meh... nice RFD gusts tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Low level rotation is pretty meh... nice RFD gusts tho. Solid updraft. ZDR column poking right through the center of the BWER. Hook region definitely taking on the anticyclonic flag look of a strong RFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 Increased SIG TOR ingredients too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Solid updraft. ZDR column poking right through the center of the BWER. Hook region definitely taking on the anticyclonic flag look of a strong RFD. Yeah really nasty. Looks like it may be trying to tighten up. About 100 knots of storm top divergence too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Yeah really nasty. Looks like it may be trying to tighten up. About 100 knots of storm top divergence too. You want a good sig. hail signature, this storm has it. Huge area of 0 ZDR and very low CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Some pockets of low CC in the hail growth zone too... probably golf balls plus dropping out of that thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Riding the backdoor front. Hell of a look to it right now.yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Some pockets of low CC in the hail growth zone too... probably golf balls plus dropping out of that thing. June 95 AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 I tried to get to that cell but the traffic on US-7 was horrible and there was no way to get there in time (that and with a southward component it was already moving somewhat away). Very frustrating! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 June 95 AWT Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Inflow increasing in the lower levels from the latest scan, although the reflectivity sig isn't as great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 TD's on the rise!!!!!! 59F at POU...keep rising baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 June 95 AWT When baseballs start falling into Long Island Sound you can start throwing around the AWTs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Wish that Vermont storm wasnt so far hoping something chase worthy comes around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Nice 71 dbz hail core on the Middlebury cell. Golf Balls could be falling out of that thing, or at least some half dollars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 HRRR has been a God lately. Had that cell right in northern VT with previous runs. Makes me intrigued b/c HRRR has been showing an individual cell crossing into northern CT later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 HRRR has been a God lately. Had that cell right in northern VT with previous runs. Makes me intrigued b/c HRRR has been showing an individual cell crossing into northern CT later on.It had a recent upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 BWER seen in the latest volume scans and a new meso indicator but the tor warning has been dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 27, 2014 Author Share Posted May 27, 2014 It had a recent upgrade. Whoever the people were behind that deserve a medal...I mean it's been absolutely amazing thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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