Brick Tamland Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Tornado hit near my uncle and aunt's house in Durham. Can't get them on the phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 WRAL just said the tornado threat could last past midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Cell south of Tarboro has rotation. Might see a couplet soon. Also cell south of Benson ramping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 15, 2014 Author Share Posted May 15, 2014 VALID 152224Z - 160000Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 157 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS ACROSS WW 157. A BRIEF TORNADO AND WIND DAMAGE MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE ORGANIZED ROTATING STORMS. AS THE EXPIRATION OF WW 157 APPROACHES AT 00Z...A LOCAL EXTENSION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE WATCH. DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 1010 MB LOW OVER NRN SC WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING NWD ACROSS WRN NC AND WRN VA. TO THE EAST OF THE BOUNDARY...SFC DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE MID 60S F TO THE LOWER 70S F WITH MLCAPE ESTIMATED IN THE 500 TO 1000 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION...THE LATEST WSR-88D VWP AT RALEIGH NC SHOWS 40 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR NEAR 35 KT. THIS SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY AROUND 275 M2/S2 SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR STORM ROTATION. A BRIEF TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT WITH ROTATING STORMS THAT FORM ALONG THE ERN EDGE OF AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF RAIN....OR FURTHER WEST WITH CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE RAIN. WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ROTATING STORMS AND OR SHORT BOWING LINE SEGMENTS. ..BROYLES/EDWARDS.. 05/15/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Uncle and aunt live right near MLK and Hope Valley where the tornado hit in Durham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 4.76" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Cell south of the RDU area south of Benson showing signs of rotation and getting that look about it if it holds up it would be more of a threat to east Raleigh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 4.76"Bout 9 times the amount you predicted! Bust!2.01 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 This will be the next TW storm if it keeps getting better organized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Cell south of Benson has classic supercell look. Could be one of the stronger storms of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Great to see the large precip coverage over the SE. This is the time of year that we either keep getting precip or start to dry out(..which can aid in future heat waves). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Cell south of Benson has classic supercell look. Could be one of the stronger storms of the day. Yeah could be trouble up near RDU of it doesn't fizz.....couplet not quite as tight that last scan on nexrad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Great to see the large precip coverage over the SE. This is the time of year that we either keep getting precip or start to dry out(..which can aid in future heat waves). Well, we don't need this much rain at once. That is why I never understand why people worry so much about rain. It is going to rain eventually, and then we end up getting flooding like we do today. I hope it stays dry a whole after today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN BRUNSWICK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA EASTERN HORRY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHERN COLUMBUS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA * UNTIL 815 PM EDT * AT 744 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LITTLE RIVER...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH. * SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE... LONGWOOD... PIREWAY... BUGHILL... NAKINA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 15, 2014 Share Posted May 15, 2014 Couplet was directly over Little River, SC per last scan. Now still looks pretty strong too, but that might have been on the ground. Range folding was blocking our view a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Pics on WRAL of Durham damage, trees on (in) houses not cool.....cell heading up to east Raleigh still looks like it is trying to tornado.....crazy setup with these updrafts just popping up in the overall precip field and spinning up really wild day and rainfall totals are going to be huge in much of the triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Cell between Lumberton and Elizabethtown(surprise) has a nice pocket of air to work with and not much to impede it. Latest velocity scan has the winds really ramping up. Interesting cell SE of Florence, SC also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 16, 2014 Author Share Posted May 16, 2014 'Only' 1.67" so far today, and all of it has soaked in. There's no squishy areas in the yard. That former Benson 'couplet' brought us a little bit of gustiness, but nothing worse than what we've had all day. I'm really surprised that I haven't heard any hint of thunder today, despite all this tropical moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 No damage at my nuclear and aunt's called. My dad rode out there and found her next door. They don't have any power. Said trees and power lines are down all over near Hope Valley Rd in Durham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Pics on WRAL of Durham damage, trees on (in) houses not cool.....cell heading up to east Raleigh still looks like it is trying to tornado.....crazy setup with these updrafts just popping up in the overall precip field and spinning up really wild day and rainfall totals are going to be huge in much of the triangle. Yeah its incredible. As soon as the updraft gets going good its seems rain interferes and inhibit growth cutting off the updraft. Not a bad thing for the people of Central and Eastern NC though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 This looking better and if it keeps it up the timing would be bad about to get into some pretty built up areas luckily if it does produce it should be weak.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Well, we don't need this much rain at once. That is why I never understand why people worry so much about rain. It is going to rain eventually, and then we end up getting flooding like we do today. I hope it stays dry a whole after today.Well, you must have forgotten about the 2010-13 drought for the SE. I prefer lots of rain then waking up to significant amounts of smoke in the morning. Then during the day it starts raining ashes. That happened the majority of the summer of 2011 here.I would prefer what happened today over the disaster in California right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Cell near Kingstree, SC looking interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Well, you must have forgotten about the 2010-13 drought for the SE. I prefer lots of rain then waking up to significant amounts of smoke in the morning. Then during the day it starts raining ashes. That happened the majority of the summer of 2011 here. I would prefer what happened today over the disaster in California right now. How often does that happen here versus getting flooding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 New couplet forming headed for Wake Forest still weak and broad..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Thats a decent kink near Wake Forest. Developing into a nice environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 New couplet forming headed for Wake Forest still weak and broad..... Rain has really picked up again here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Wind picking up as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Strom really going nuts ......couplet ooks to pass right over Wake Forest still not quite wrapped up but they might go warning since its over a populated area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 Look at the returns downrange of RDU gonna be some pretty high rain totals when it is all said and done bet we see some 6-10" type totals.... edit well maybe 4-7" its shifting east a bit better now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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