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Heavy rain/Storm event 5/15/14


Solak

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The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  southern Granville County in central North Carolina...
  north central Wake County in central North Carolina...
  southeastern Durham County in central North Carolina...

* until 215 PM EDT

* at 128 PM EDT...Doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm
  capable of producing damaging winds in excess of 58 mph. This storm
  was located near rdu international...or near Raleigh...and moving
  north at 20 mph.

* Locations impacted include...
  Raleigh...Cary...Creedmoor...Butner...rdu international...William B
  Umstead State Park...Lake Butner...Purnell...Falls Lake state rec
  area...Falls Lake...rollingview Marina and Falls Lake boat ramp.

 

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Interesting AFD from CHS.  Talks of a Meso Low beginning to form in SE Georgia that could enhance the severe threat across SE GA and SE SC this evening:

179 FXUS62 KCHS 151743AFDCHSAREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC143 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS STARTING TO SHOW SIGNS OF BECOMINGNEGATIVELY TILTED. WHILE MOISTURE IS NOT LACKING...ANY ORGANIZEDAREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONFINED TO THE WEST AND NORTH WHERETHE GREATER INSTABILITY IS. SOUTH OF US...HINTS OF A MESO LOWFORMING OVER SE GA HAVE BEEN ENHANCING PRECIP JUST SOUTH OF OUR GACOUNTIES. LATEST MODEL DATA ARE DIFFERING A LITTLE OVER HOWSIGNIFICANT THIS LOW WILL BE FOR US. HI RES MODELS INDICATE ANENHANCED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 18 AND 22Z. IF THISTRANSPIRES...THE THREAT OF SEVERE DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOESWILL GO UP. IN THE MEAN TIME...STRATIFORM PRECIP WILL MOVE FROMSOUTH TO NORTH...INCREASING THE RISK OF FLOODING FOR SE GA. HAVEISSUED A FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE NEXT HOUR. TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD END FROM SOUTHWEST TONORTHEAST IN THE EVENING AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE AND DRIERAIR MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. WILL HAVE TO CLOSELY WATCH FORPOSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE GA COAST AND NORTHINTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...AS THERE IS SOME INDICATION THATCONVECTION WILL DEVELOP INTO A QLCS.
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL  

235 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014  

 

FLC086-151900-  

/O.CON.KMFL.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140515T1900Z/  

MIAMI-DADE FL-  

235 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014  

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT FOR  

NORTHEASTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...  

 

AT 229 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO ABOUT  

ONE MILE WEST OF MIAMI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS TORNADIC STORM  

WAS LOCATED OVER MIAMI SPRINGS...OR OVER HIALEAH... MOVING NORTHEAST  

AT 15 MPH.  

 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HIALEAH...MIAMI GARDENS...NORTH  

MIAMI...MIAMI LAKES...HIALEAH GARDENS...OPA-LOCKA...MIAMI  

SPRINGS...  

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  

 

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST  

FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME OR  

OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  

YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  

 

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mcd0609.gif

VALID 151922Z - 152015Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 157 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO CONTINUES WITHIN THE WW AREA. DISCUSSION...A WELL-DEVELOPED LINE OF TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED OCNL QLCS STRUCTURES...AND A TRAILING STRATIFORM REGION...EXTENDED FROM SHENANDOAH COUNTY VA SWD TO MECKLENBURG COUNTY ALONG THE VA/NC BORDER AT 1915Z. TO THE SOUTH...NATURE OF THE PRECIPITATION BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD AND WITH EMBEDDED HEAVIER TSTMS...ALTHOUGH OCNL ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED SINCE 1730Z. OVERALL COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION/TSTMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROAD ERN U.S. TROUGH. DESPITE WEAK LAPSE RATES...DIURNAL HEATING HAS RESULTED IN AN AXIS OF MLCAPES OF 500 TO LOCALLY 1000 J/KG FROM CENTRAL MD SWD TO THE NC COAST. IN THE PRESENCE OF MODERATELY STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL FLOW SUPPORTING ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES...A CONTINUED RISK FOR EMBEDDED QLCS BOWING SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS PRODUCING DAMAGING GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO WILL EXIST...MAINLY OVER CENTRAL/ERN PORTIONS OF WW 157. ..BUNTING/MEAD.. 05/15/2014

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10307226_10152554638204258_4207749451243

 

That's quite a bit off... we're half way between Clayton and Smithfield and we've had 1.45" so far. In a lull right now.

 

Our 1-2" overnight tonight has been reduced to 1/2" - 3/4" now. There's still a good fetch of rain piling in to SC off the Southeast coast, so no doubt there is more on the way. We sure need it... we were sitting on .43" for the month before today, and  most of that fell on 4/30-5/1.

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359 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

WEST CENTRAL CABARRUS COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

EAST CENTRAL MECKLENBURG COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH

CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT

* AT 358 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS

LOCATED NEAR EASTLAND MALL...OR NEAR UNC CHARLOTTE...AND MOVING

NORTH AT 20 MPH.

* THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...

UNC CHARLOTTE.

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Charlotte's morning tornado confirmed.

528 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2014...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR CHARLOTTE IN MECKLENBURG COUNTY NORTHCAROLINA...LOCATION...ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DOWNTOWN CHARLOTTE INMECKLENBURG COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA DATE...MAY 15, 2014ESTIMATED TIME...6:46 AM EDT MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...80-85 MPHMAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...30 YARDSPATH LENGTH....ABOUT .67 MILES BEGINNING LAT/LON...35.1361N/80.9180WENDING LAT/LON...35.1448N/80.9134W* FATALITIES...0* INJURIES...0* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TOCHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION INNWS STORM DATA....SUMMARY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC HASCONFIRMED A TORNADO ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DOWNTOWNCHARLOTTE IN MECKLENBURG COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA ON MAY 15, 2014.WORKING IN CONJUNCTION WITH OUR PARTNERS IN THE CHARLOTTE/MECKLENBURG EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...THE NATIONAL WEATHERSERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SOUTH CAROLINA HAS CONFIRMED ATORNADO ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DOWNTOWN CHARLOTTE.THE TORNADO APPEARS TO HAVE TOUCHED DOWN AT THE DEAD END OF ARROWPOINT BOULEVARD WHERE AN INDUSTRIAL OFFICE HAD SIDING PEELED OFF.THE TORNADO THEN IMPACTED ANOTHER INDUSTRIAL OFFICE WHERE A GLASSPANEL WAS TORN AWAY...A FEW TREES KNOCKED DOWN...AND SOME TREEDEBRIS TOSSED ABOUT. MEANWHILE A LARGE AWNING WAS THROWN ORROLLED NEAR THE OFFICE BUILDING. THE TORNADO THEN CROSSEDARROWWOOD ROAD AND DOWNED AROUND 15 TREES...WITH OTHER TREESPARTIALLY TOPPED. THE TORNADO THEN LIFTED FROM THAT POINT...AFTERCROSSING A SWAMPY REGION.NOTE THERE WAS SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE...ON EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE77...BEYOND THE TORNADO LIFTING. THIS IS LIKELY THE IMPACT OFWIND DAMAGE FROM THE LARGE THUNDERSTORM CELL MOVING NORTH.
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