cyclone77 Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Very heavy rain falling. Already picked up close to an inch. Really not much thunder relatively speaking. Had about 3 pieces of hail hit the side of the house. Probably peas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Flash flooding situation may be setting up over S WI as those storms in Illinois move north. Racine and Kenosha Counties in particular, parts of those counties were already trained with the previous severe storms for a couple hours, now more training likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 It's been gushing down rain with frequent lightning the last 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Had a few severe storms near here. Rain and hail shaft looking north out of Hoffman Estates... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Looks like a short break from the rain, then it's into the line along the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Looks like a short break from the rain, then it's into the line along the cold front. Iowa MCS starting to look a little lurchy last few scans....might be trying to catch it's "cool" pool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Sorry to bump into your thread, but some fairly strong rotation just went by Akron, OH. The cell is warned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Lightning sounded like a gunshot just now. Most impressive storm in awhile. Thunder sounds like a gunshot, not lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Thunder sounds like a gunshot, not lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 lol'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Thunder sounds like a gunshot, not lightning. Ugh, I have tracked the storms too long today lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Possible 60-70mph winds went through Beloit about 30 mins ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 1.66" of rain here so far. Noticed 3" amounts on doppler radar estimates over Racine tonight and they're continuing to get hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 This was quite an evening in Northern Ohio. Nothing happened in my immediate vicinity, just a ton of lightning and some street flooding. I saw some funnel cloud pictures on the news, but no confirmed touchdowns yet. We'll see. Most of the warnings were "marginal", but there were definitely a lot of rotating storms tonight. This was rather unexpected, although the meso-analysis showed that the warm front really maximized shear across lower MI southeast into northern OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Starting to get pounded again. Wouldn't be surprised to surpass the 3" mark tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Starting to get pounded again. Wouldn't be surprised to surpass the 3" mark tonight. That's what she said. Had a few wind reports on the Iowa side earlier, as well as some sub-severe hail reports locally, but for the most part this area was spared of severe today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Severe weather chances look pretty good again later today. (at least here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Severe weather chances look pretty good again later today. (at least here) The Day 1 (which should be updated soon) has 2/5/5 severe probs in the Detroit area as well as much of IN/OH/part KY today: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Tomorrow's Day 2 has the slight risk making it up to Cincy and Columbus: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html And FWIW eastern OH is presently in the Day 3 "See Text" area for Thursday: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 The cold front is currently over western IN. Cape is climbing back into the 500-1000j/kg range over NW OH, northern and central IN, and small parts of southern MI. Wind shear is looking better today as well, but there is still a lot of inhibition that needs to be overcome to get some stuff going. Looks like forcing and other ingredients are lacking as well. We'll see if anything can get started... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 The HRRR and 4km NAM both blow up storms within the next 4-6 hours, both models handled the convection locally very well yesterday so I would expect the same today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Detroit's update AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI1053 AM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014.UPDATE...RECENT PRESENTATION OF WATER VAPOR/VISIBLE IMAGERY AND TRENDS INOBSERVATIONS LEAVE EXPECTATIONS LARGELY UNCHANGED FOR A WINDOW FROMMID AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONGERCONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. IN FACT...SOME LONGER RESIDENCE TIME OFNEARLY FULL INSOLATION SOUTHEAST OF AN OWOSSO TO BAD AXE LINENETTING A PROGRESSIVE SURFACE TEMPERATURE RESPONSE. UPDATE ALREADYOUT TO ADDRESS THIS WITH READINGS NOW EXPECTED TO LAND SOLIDLY INTHE LOWER AND MIDDLE 80S THROUGHOUT THIS CORRIDOR. MODIFIED PARCELTAKEN WITH A T/TD OF 83/67 YIELDS SBCAPE ON THE ORDER OF1500-1800 J/KG BY 18-20Z. UNDER THE BACKGROUND OF THIS MODIFYINGTHERMODYNAMIC PROFILE...ENVIRONMENT CERTAINLY LOOKING SUPPORTIVE OFMORE SUBSTANTIVE UPDRAFT STRENGTH. RECENT RUC ANALYSIS PAIRED WITHWATER VAPOR AND LATEST HI RES SOLUTIONS SUGGEST CONVECTIVEINITIATION WILL TEND TO ANCHOR ON SOME COMBINATION OF AN INBOUNDREMNANT MCV/PERTURBATION NOW EJECTING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE ARKANSAS/MISSOURI BOOTHEEL AND A LEAD PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AXIS. THE TROUGHMAY BE HELPING SUSTAIN THE LIGHT RETURNS AND CLOUD DEBRISCURRENTLY STREAMING FROM SOUTHWEST LOWER MI INTO THE TRI-CITIESAT THE MOMENT. THE DEEP LAYER LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELDWILL BE IMPROVING WITH TIME...A NOTED UPTICK WITHIN THE 800-700 MBLAYER BY LATE AFTERNOON SEEMINGLY SUPPLYING ADEQUATE ENOUGH SHEARTO SUSTAIN ORGANIZED STRUCTURES WITHIN THIS MODULATING PRE-FRONTALWARM SECTOR. THIS CONTINUES TO POINT TOWARD AT THE VERY LEAST AMARGINAL RISK FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS...WITH A PLAUSIBLE SCENARIOFOR A GREATER COVERAGE IN LIGHT OF ERODING CONCERNS OVER POTENTIALBOUNDARY LAYER HEATING. HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO A POTENTIAL ISSUEGIVEN THE ELEVATED PWAT VALUES...PARTICULARLY HEADING INTO THEEVENING AS THE FORWARD PROPAGATION OF THE INBOUND FRONTAL SLOPESLOWS WITH TIME. I completely agree with their update, furthermore it won't take much more insulation to get to 83/67 considering we are 80/67 right now at 11AM and we are mostly sunny still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Detroit's update I completely agree with their update, furthermore it won't take much more insulation to get to 83/67 considering we are 80/67 right now at 11AM and we are mostly sunny still. 850mb temps were the RUC mesoanalysis are 17*C celsius. That would even support temps in the upper 80s if we can keep full insolation through mid afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Storms initiating along the front in west central Indiana. Seems to be just enough convergence to get some thunder going. Still juicy this side of the front with full sun. 76/67 currently here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Just beautiful... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Looks like the severe cells will do the split here. Just very difficult to get legit severe criteria conditions in Milwaukee County itself. Of the average six to eight severe warnings every year here, maybe one actually verifies, though I guess that's not unusual when most are radar indicated. I guess you're done for the year then. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 831 PM CDT MON MAY 12 2014 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0748 PM HAIL 4 NW MILWAUKEE 43.07N 87.97W 05/12/2014 M2.00 INCH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER AT INTERSECTION OF 56TH AND NASH ST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 I guess you're done for the year then. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 831 PM CDT MON MAY 12 2014 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0748 PM HAIL 4 NW MILWAUKEE 43.07N 87.97W 05/12/2014 M2.00 INCH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER AT INTERSECTION OF 56TH AND NASH ST. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Actually you could be right Hoosier. This was the best day of storms I think since 2010. Three different rounds of storms in one day don't happen very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 I don't remember the last time I've seen hail. I've never even seen Golf Ball-sized hail. And I most certainly haven't seen a severe t'storm yet this season. But I guess everyone has their own standards like I do for Winter Storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 Still no slight risk from the SPC...I guess primarily due to a lack of a well-defined forcing mechanism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 13, 2014 Share Posted May 13, 2014 I am pretty sure Milwaukee county verifies way more than 1 severe warning a year. That is obviously nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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