Weathergun Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 With such steep low level lapse rates, any heavier cells could produce wind gusts in excess of 40 mph. Could also see some isolated small hail reports with the low freezing level. But we'll see if we can get the coverage of the HRRR since the NAM and GFS are drier. This will be a nice HRRR test to see if it can beat NAM and GFS. SND.gif Moisture is limited. But the vort max is strong enough at least a few showers and t-storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Does this mean May will finish below average? It does not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 thinking that me on LI may not see an 80 degree reading this may. sure where I am on LI may see a few 70 degree readings but overall not too enthusiastic about a warm spell this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 thinking that me on LI may not see an 80 degree reading this may. sure where I am on LI may see a few 70 degree readings but overall not too enthusiastic about a warm spell this month. Todays weather sucks. This entire spring is looking to be a cold one. I cant stand it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 thinking that me on LI may not see an 80 degree reading this may. sure where I am on LI may see a few 70 degree readings but overall not too enthusiastic about a warm spell this month. Unfortunately models favor lots of backdoors for the foreseeable future. The troughiness northeast of us is no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Todays weather sucks. This entire spring is looking to be a cold one. I cant stand it. I'm loving it. Not too cold or not too hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 I just wish it was raining today. It's cold and windy and cloudy and a waste of miserable weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 I'm loving it. Not too cold or not too hot. the blowing cold wind here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 I just wish it was raining today. It's cold and windy and cloudy and a waste of miserable weather. you still think this year will be only the second time in recorded history NYC doesn't reach 90 by July 15th ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 you still think this year will be only the second time in recorded history NYC doesn't reach 90 by July 15th ?Hoping so. Endless rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 you still think this year will be only the second time in recorded history NYC doesn't reach 90 by July 15th ? Hoping so. Endless rain. Hoping and thinking are not the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Turned into a pleasant albeit breezy afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 I just wish it was raining today. It's cold and windy and cloudy and a waste of miserable weather. Yep...why would we want sun and blue sky's.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 It's beautiful right now, sunny and 64. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Just poured here, now sun is back out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Some really strong winds just north of that little cell on the ny/nj border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Yep...why would we want sun and blue sky's....Sun is over rated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Sun is over rated You should leave ur home and get outside for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Winds really picking up in clearing ahead of the showers as Newark is gusting to 45 mph with the very steep low level lapse rates and a couple of flashes of lightning detected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 42mph wind gust here. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 You should leave ur home and get outside for a biti've been driving around looking at open houses all day. Mostly in Wyckoff, Franklin Lakes and Oakland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Loud booming thunder here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Loud booming thunder here! The HRRR nails another one. It beat the RGEM,NAM,GFS, and Euro which were all dry. http://ruc.noaa.gov/pdf/ESRLRAPHRRRchanges2013.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Pea sized hail in Midland Park, NJ. Couldn't get a picture it melted so fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 First 4 consecutive months with below normal temperatures at NYC since 2003. https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status/462267255095824384 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Heavy downpour here with gusty winds, little while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Low level lapse rates of up to 9C/KM, very impressive. We will dream of this during severe weather season. Tough to get much more than 6-7C/KM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 GFS had deep mixing and steep lapse rates from 69hr: Deep mixing and steep lapse rates on Sunday afternoon. Could see wind gusts 30mph to 40mph: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted May 5, 2014 Share Posted May 5, 2014 Spent 30 years of my life in Oakland. Great Area i've been driving around looking at open houses all day. Mostly in Wyckoff, Franklin Lakes and Oakland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 5, 2014 Share Posted May 5, 2014 A quick couple showers and some gusty winds and that was it. The thunderstorm shield over my house reigns supreme still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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