NEG NAO Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 This May just goes to show that you can still run temperature departures in the +1.6 to +2.2 range at NYC-EWR-LGA-JFK with no 90 degree heat. looking at the monthly report ( scroll down in link ) you can see how that happened - many days of the min temp above the avg min and those few days of over 10 degrees above normal max - with only a handful of days below avg overall http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KEWR/2014/5/21/MonthlyHistory.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 looking at the monthly report ( scroll down in link ) you can see how that happened - many days of the min temp above the avg min and those few days of over 10 degrees above normal max - with only a handful of days below avg overall http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KEWR/2014/5/21/MonthlyHistory.html The May 2012 departure was mostly a result of the mins running much greater than average. But this month NYC wont be able to get as close to 90 as 2012 which had to 89 degree readings at the end. The maxes were only +1.2 while the mins were +4.2. http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-EDAD05A8-5492-4ABA-A096-22795C7B3A8F.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 JFK has yet to 80 this year. Could do it today or tomorrow. NAM and GFS MOS showing highs 85-89 for NE NJ and NYC tomorrow. Tuesday is in the 80s too: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KEWR&sta=KTEB&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 JFK has yet to 80 this year. Could do it today or tomorrow. NAM and GFS MOS showing highs 85-89 for NE NJ and NYC tomorrow. Tuesday is in the 80s too: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KEWR&sta=KTEB&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA AC's are in..haven't turned them on yet..thinking that'll change tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 Fantastic Gem today. 79 degrees and mostly sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 JFK has yet to 80 this year. Could do it today or tomorrow. NAM and GFS MOS showing highs 85-89 for NE NJ and NYC tomorrow. Tuesday is in the 80s too: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KEWR&sta=KTEB&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA i think ewr will make a run at 90 tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 i think ewr will make a run at 90 tues where are you getting that info from ? latest gfs has the high much lower then that with alot of clouds http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 Additionally, most of our warmest days have been on weekends. That's not something you see often. What's the first week of June shaping up to look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 Made it up to 79 here in brookyn, seabreeze reached us about 5pm down to 72 now, what a perfect weather day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 JFK made it up to 77 by 2pm then fell back it's 69 there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 25, 2014 Author Share Posted May 25, 2014 I was working outside with my son early this afternoon...there was a gust of wind that blew over my flower pots and I was being bombarded with polly noses (Maple tree seedlings) from the front tree...it was like a micro bust from the cumulus cloud just to my north... before that and after the winds were pretty calm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 25, 2014 Share Posted May 25, 2014 Made it to 83 today before wind shifted east dropping temp to 71 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 I don't understand the weather pattern that's been keeping warmth away from us. Warm air is typically the dominant force by Memorial Day yet it's still the inferior pattern right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 I don't understand the weather pattern that's been keeping warmth away from us. Warm air is typically the dominant force by Memorial Day yet it's still the inferior pattern right now. It's El Nino. Check 1957 and 1965 for more info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 I don't understand the weather pattern that's been keeping warmth away from us. Warm air is typically the dominant force by Memorial Day yet it's still the inferior pattern right now. It's been above normal by like +2 or more this month with mid to upper 80s expected the next two days. How has the warm air been inferior exactly? Just because we haven't hit 90 yet doesn't mean anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 It's been above normal by like +2 or more this month with mid to upper 80s expected the next two days. How has the warm air been inferior exactly? Just because we haven't hit 90 yet doesn't mean anything. May 2013: We had the May 10th warmth, the May 16-17 warmth, the May 20-24 warmth, and the May 29-31 heat wave. May 2014: We had the May 1st warm but rainy day, the May 10th-12th warmth, May 20th, and the Memorial day warmth. It says we might get stuck in the 60s from Wed-Fri. After memorial day, highs in the 60s usually only show up when accompanied by rain. Last year, our only really cold days in June were the day Andrea hit and the day of the rainstorm the week after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 18z GFS MOS has 90 for Teteboro tomorrow. High temp was 84 today: KTEB GFS MOS GUIDANCE 5/25/2014 1800 UTC DT /MAY 26 /MAY 27 /MAY 28 HR 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 12 18 N/X 59 90 64 89 66 TMP 74 68 64 61 66 78 86 86 78 73 69 66 69 79 85 83 77 72 69 69 78 DPT 48 49 50 51 52 51 50 52 54 58 59 59 59 59 59 60 62 64 64 63 60 CLD CL CL BK FW CL CL CL FW BK CL BK CL OV SC OV OV OV OV OV OV BK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 May 2013: We had the May 10th warmth, the May 16-17 warmth, the May 20-24 warmth, and the May 29-31 heat wave. May 2014: We had the May 1st warm but rainy day, the May 10th-12th warmth, May 20th, and the Memorial day warmth. It says we might get stuck in the 60s from Wed-Fri. After memorial day, highs in the 60s usually only show up when accompanied by rain. Last year, our only really cold days in June were the day Andrea hit and the day of the rainstorm the week after. Take a look at the almanac page. Our warmest days can be in the upper 80s/mid 90s and our coolest highs are low to mid 50s so upper 60s and 70s is really not close to how cold it can be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 It's been above normal by like +2 or more this month with mid to upper 80s expected the next two days. How has the warm air been inferior exactly? Just because we haven't hit 90 yet doesn't mean anything.I think the mild overnight lows play a part in the departure. Anyway here's the departure over the last month http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/maps/current/index.php?action=update_product&product=TDept Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 ...i think a lot of beach goers will be disappointed today..all forecasters are calling for mostly sunny skies..its cloudy now and looking at the satellite picture, clouds are spilling SE from upstate NY..all 'future casts' have it clearing by mid afternoon..but by then its too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 Early morning clouds are associated with warm front temporarily stalled over New England. The latest HRRR has skies clearing out later this morning. And temperatures around 90 for away from the coast, this afternoon. If fact, I'm already see some sunshine here: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 I don't understand the weather pattern that's been keeping warmth away from us. Warm air is typically the dominant force by Memorial Day yet it's still the inferior pattern right now. caused by the blocking trough off the northeast coast and the circulation around it here has been mainly from the cooler east and north preventing the heat ridge out west from expanding east into the area which it likes to do this time of year. Tomorrow should be the most interesting day of the week - 1. Does someone reach 90 ? 2. Will there be another round of severe weather ? . Here is what Upton is saying: SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/ BACKDOOR CDFNT APPROACHES...BUT DOES NOT REACH THE CWA DURING THE DAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME COMPRESSIONAL HEATING AND MAY ALLOW TEMPS TO SHOOT UP HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE AND THE CURRENT FCST. LIMITING FACTOR HOWEVER WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND TSTM POTENTIAL. REMNANTS FROM UPSTREAM CONVECTION SHOULD PRODUCE A SUFFICIENT MID LVL WAVE FOR TSTM INITIATION. SBCAPE AROUND 1000 J/KG PER THE LATEST NAM...BUT DEEP LAYER SHEAR A BIT WEAK YIELDING LESS ORGANIZATION. THIS SHEAR COULD BE LOCALLY HIGHER HOWEVER DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE CONVECTIVE LY INDUCED WAVE. INCLUDED LIKELY POPS FOR TSTMS IN THE FCST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 My guess is that Newark will reach 87-88 today, but we'll see if they can have the first year since 08-09 with no 90's this week. High during last 7 days of May at Newark: 5-31-13....94 5-29-12....92 5-30-11....92 5-26-10....95 5-25-09....84 5-27-08....87 5-31-07....94 5-29-06....94 5-27-05....84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 Its already full sun and blue skies and heating up...welcome summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 ` Just a fantastic day sunday capped off by a Rangers victory. Today looking even better for summer weather enthusiasts, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 90 here we come! As we all expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 90 here we come! As we all expected Gonna be close. Either way very nice 3 days Sun - Tue. We need the Sun mosquitos worst ive seen in a bunch of years here in CNJ.. Looks like ridge builds back by the 1st with some heat on/around the 1st of June-ish possible. Its likely transient as we continue to have a weakness over the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 10AM Roundup (Happy Memorial Day) TEB: 78 NYC: 73 EWR: 77 LGA: 76 JFK: 74 ISP: 74 New Bsnwick: 75 BLM: 76 TTN: 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 Bring me back my winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 10AM Roundup (Happy Memorial Day) TEB: 78 NYC: 73 EWR: 77 LGA: 76 JFK: 74 ISP: 74 New Bsnwick: 75 BLM: 76 TTN: 77 Central Park between 3 and 5 degrees behind most other metro stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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