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uncle W

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 172  

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  

1240 PM EDT THU MAY 22 2014  

 

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  

 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF  

NORTHERN NEW JERSEY  

EASTERN NEW YORK  

EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA  

 

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM  

UNTIL 800 PM EDT.  

 

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...  

SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2  

INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE  

SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE  

 

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60  

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF  

GLENS FALLS NEW YORK TO 35 MILES WEST OF PHILADELPHIA  

PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE  

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 172  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  1240 PM EDT THU MAY 22 2014    THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A    * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF     NORTHERN NEW JERSEY    EASTERN NEW YORK    EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA    * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM    UNTIL 800 PM EDT.    * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...    SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2      INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE    SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE    THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60  STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF  GLENS FALLS NEW YORK TO 35 MILES WEST OF PHILADELPHIA  PENNSYLVANIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE  ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). 

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 172

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1240 PM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 172 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT

FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NJC003-013-017-019-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-230000-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0172.140522T1640Z-140523T0000Z/

NJ

. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERGEN EASTERN UNION ESSEX

HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER

MIDDLESEX MORRIS PASSAIC

SOMERSET SUSSEX WARREN

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Although most of the profile is unidirectional, lower surface pressures just to the west of our area are allowing the flow at the surface to back to more southerly and southeasterly as opposed to west of south, which is keeping the clouds around. The NAM did a better job at outlining the surface winds than the GFS. 

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How does the weather look for tomorrow? Better then today?

 

The 12Z runs seem to all have pushed the inverted trof feature more NE tomorrow which probably means less SHRA/TSTM activity than earlier thought, I don't think anyone south of CT, far NRN NJ, Hudson Valley sees a whole lot tomorrow and most of it will be 18-22Z.  The clouds should be much better with N-NE winds than the S-SE winds of today too.  LGA will probably be colder than JFK tomorrow.

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Spoke too soon, clouded up and looks like another severe storm thread has bit the dust yet again. I have to stop seriously looking at these threats on LI, its getting as rare as hens teeth to get a good thunderstorm where i live. Tommorow looks even more boring if you will with widely scattered t-storms

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Sun is breaking out on Rt46 in Wayne. Should start to see some breaks near the city in the next hour or so.

Still total low overcast here in the city, stable onshore T-storm killing flow. We'll be lucky to see some lame elevated convection from these storms, more likely just some showers.

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