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uncle W

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Falling apart on radar pretty quickly-doubt anyone gets more than a sprinkle or quick wetting of the ground and certainly nothing east of NYC where it's marine stable air

What radar are you looking at if I may ask?

 

NWS radar out of Binghamton shows it holding together fairly well. 

 

And if you look at the direction the activity is moving it wouldn't reach NYC or points east even if it held together completely. Some showers can't be ruled out for western sections.

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What radar are you looking at if I may ask?

 

NWS radar out of Binghamton shows it holding together fairly well. 

 

And if you look at the direction the activity is moving it wouldn't reach NYC or points east even if it held together completely. Some showers can't be ruled out for western sections.

NWS regional view of the NE...

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php

-

you're right, most would miss to the south, but I bet once it hits the dry/stable air of the backdoor front, it goes poof.

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If your lawn needs to be cut don't wait till the weekend because most models are putting out up to 2 inches qpf late Thursday through Saturday morning region wide and the grass and soil will takes a couple days to dry out after it stops

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014051406/gfs_apcpn_us_12.png

 

0z Euro gives the area only .60"-.85".

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I don't think we are in any kind of rain deficit at this point.  I still see standing water in the median in I-95 and the streams and rivers are craning.  I hate skeeters, and there are plenty of breeding ponds for them right now.

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Sunny and gorgeous temp in the 70s..mets bust and so much for that doom and gloom week

 

Models have been over-estimating the marine influence, especially the HRRR.

NYC is already up to 70 degrees after a forecast of 67 by the NWS.

HRRR only had highs of 65-67 for the coast for today and yesterday. Yesterday hit 71 and today is on it's way to the mid 70s or so.

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