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uncle W

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Can't wait for the warm weather..the last two days have been horrible

 

The last two days were not even close to being horrible....but Im weird and enjoy cool weather and clouds Lol I really should move more north. I love the cloudy, cool misty days. The only time I appreciate when it's hot and humid is when theres a strong cold front rolling through.

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The last two days were not even close to being horrible....but Im weird and enjoy cool weather and clouds Lol I really should move more north. I love the cloudy, cool misty days. The only time I appreciate when it's hot and humid is when theres a strong cold front rolling through.

Move to Seattle.  Lots of cool cloudy weather there ;)

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Move to Seattle.  Lots of cool cloudy weather there ;)

hahaha no thank you. I do appreciate 60 degrees and sunny with a breeze too. I just hate the 75+ with high humidity

 

I love the variety of wx that we get here in the Northeast...

 

Only thing good about the summer as Earthlight would put it, is sundresses and thunderstorms :)

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The last two days were not even close to being horrible....but Im weird and enjoy cool weather and clouds Lol I really should move more north. I love the cloudy, cool misty days. The only time I appreciate when it's hot and humid is when theres a strong cold front rolling through.

Lol..to each there own, but being a landscaper the last two days have been ruff...the grass is very high and wet, this misty rain seems to be the worse to work in. We really need a few days to dry out...

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The GFS is on board with the Euro now with only low 80's for NYC before the backdoor

arrives on Tuesday. The GFS had a high of 85 for Tuesday on the run yesterday and

has now backed off to 74 behind the backdoor.

NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   5/10/2014  0000 UTC                        FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192       SAT  10| SUN 11| MON 12| TUE 13| WED 14| THU 15| FRI 16| SAT 17 CLIMO X/N  77| 59  80| 61  82| 65  74| 56  70| 60  73| 56  71| 56  71 53 71
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The GFS is on board with the Euro now with only low 80's for NYC before the backdoor

arrives on Tuesday. The GFS had a high of 85 for Tuesday on the run yesterday and

has now backed off to 74 behind the backdoor.

NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   5/10/2014  0000 UTC                        FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192       SAT  10| SUN 11| MON 12| TUE 13| WED 14| THU 15| FRI 16| SAT 17 CLIMO X/N  77| 59  80| 61  82| 65  74| 56  70| 60  73| 56  71| 56  71 53 71

 

It will likely come down to cloud cover prior to the front.   I still think many areas should reach the low-mid 80s mon/tue. 

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It will likely come down to cloud cover prior to the front.   I still think many areas should reach the low-mid 80s mon/tue. 

 

The Euro has the backdoor passage Tuesday morning so any 80's on Tuesday should probably end up

around central or southern NJ. 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

207 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

SOUTH CENTRAL MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

NORTHEASTERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 203 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THE STORM WAS NEAR MARTINSVILLE...MOVING EAST

AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN

EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

CHATHAM AROUND 235 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE WINDS OF MORE THAN 57 MPH...OR HAIL ONE

INCH OR LARGER.

&&

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0123 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NY...WRN MA...WRN CT...NJ...ERN PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 101823Z - 102030Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH TSTM ACTIVITY

FROM SRN NJ NNEWD INTO WRN CT/WRN MA. SVR COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE

LOW AND A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...HEATING ALONG A WEAK PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH HAS INCREASED

TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S FROM SRN NY SWD TOWARDS

THE DELMARVA. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE FAIRLY WEAK BUT LOW-LEVEL

LAPSE RATES ON THE ORDER OF 7 TO 8 DEG C PER KM AMIDST A FAIRLY

MOIST ENVIRONMENT ARE STILL SUPPORTIVE OF MODERATE INSTABILITY.

RECENT MESOANALYSIS ESTIMATES MLCAPE AROUND 500 J/KG.

MEAN FLOW ACROSS THIS AREA IS A BIT STRONGER THAN AREAS FARTHER SW

WITH OKX AND DOX VAD PROFILES OBSERVING 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OF 39 KT

AND 38 KT...RESPECTIVELY. ADDITIONALLY...0-6 KM MEAN WIND ON THESE

VADS IS AROUND 30-35 KT. THIS TYPE OF FLOW MAY SUPPORT LOOSELY

ORGANIZED STORMS WILL A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS. SOME SMALL

HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

TRENDS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE MONITORED BUT ANTICIPATED LOW SVR

COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

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