Guest Pamela Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 How's spring going out on the island? Finally this week it has looked like it here, took forever. Its come to life a little bit...green up actually only a couple days behind schedule...looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Its come to life a little bit...green up actually only a couple days behind schedule...looks good. Yea it just really got going this week. Same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Its come to life a little bit...green up actually only a couple days behind schedule...looks good. Despite various others complaining of the contrary elsewhere, I also find that things are only a few days behind schedule here in Jersey. I think that the last several early Springs (2010 and 2012 in particular) and a need to "have winter die" from many who got tired of cold and gray and brown, altered their perceptions on "normal". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 I honestly see lower 80s for Monday and Tuesday and mostly 70s for the rest of the week. We won't get a 90 until Memorial Day IMO. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 I specifically remember when Willa Cather penned Paul's Case circa 1905 or thereabouts...she made the weather conditions central to the element of setting...when the title character Paul was in Pittsburgh...a town he held nothing but contempt for because he believed it to be a town for the rabble and working class...Cather made dreary rain the prevailing wx condition....but when Paul moved on to NYC....Cather had it snow continuously there...to make the setting a far more pristine one...in direct contravention to what she had painted for Pittsburgh. And, of course, Paul felt NYC was the center of the Universe...where the gentry & upper classes enjoyed all that the earth had to offer... William, Brings to mind the aerial scene of large and gentle snowflakes falling on NYC in the movie "The lemon drop Kid" with the award winning Silver Bells playing to a conclusion. Rich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Suddenly I'm "controlling this whole sub forum" or something to that effect. It's all good. i didn't realize you can change your screen name - anyways early next week NYC will take a run at 90 degrees - but cloud cover and wind direction will determine if it reaches 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 i didn't realize you can change your screen name - anyways early next week NYC will take a run at 90 degrees - but cloud cover and wind direction will determine if it reaches 90 I think we fall just short. Wouldn't surprise me if EWR hits 88-89. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 i didn't realize you can change your screen name - anyways early next week NYC will take a run at 90 degrees - but cloud cover and wind direction will determine if it reaches 90 Me on LI during the heat push my highest temp will be 70 degrees. Most times when were forecasted to be warmest on X day the seabreeze kicks in early and getting even close to the forecasted high is next to impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 i'll bet you $50 nyc gets less than .25" by friday morning Wrong again, shocker http://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:10001.1.99999 http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/hdfForecast?query=newark%2C+NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Me on LI during the heat push my highest temp will be 70 degrees. Most times when were forecasted to be warmest on X day the seabreeze kicks in early and getting even close to the forecasted high is next to impossible I think maybe on one or two days we can make it to the lower 70s, but staying in the 60s wouldn't be surprising either. The south wind will only allow us to warm up so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Wrong again, shocker http://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:10001.1.99999 http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/hdfForecast?query=newark%2C+NJ I hope no one took him up on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 I hope no one took him up on that. Yeah lol...0.38 here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 I hope no one took him up on that. I came really close but he wanted to use EWR and I thought the heavier rains would be closer to MMU. Still 0.36" so far at EWR and 0.32" at MMU. I would have won either way. This one is a win for the good guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Wrong again, shocker http://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:10001.1.99999 http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/hdfForecast?query=newark%2C+NJ he hasn't hit anything in a year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 he hasn't hit anything in a year If EWR had only recorded 0.24" I guarantee you he would be here claiming victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 If EWR had only recorded 0.24" I guarantee you he would be here claiming victory. think you'll ever see the $50? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 think you'll ever see the $50? No, and to be fair I never agreed to the bet. I don't see the point on betting money on weather lol. Now if he said the loser wouldn't post for a week I would have been all over that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Anyway, Caldwell Airport picked up 0.48" which is the closest reporting station to my backyard. Close to double Forky's maximum forecast. http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=07444 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Fringed up here...on the northeastern edge of the rain, only .14 at BDR. Currently 51 out-very raw morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 No, and to be fair I never agreed to the bet. I don't see the point on betting money on weather lol. Now if he said the loser wouldn't post for a week I would have been all over that. During the night of the mid December slop storm this winter, Sferic bet me a dinner that Nassau County wouldn't warm up above freezing, because of how temps all that day were in the mid 20s everywhere. We ended up warming to near 50 when the wind switched direction, and the snow and ice we had was gone in 2 hours. He's probably glad I didn't take him up on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 big deal, i was off by .15." you should have taken the bet. i won one with william a few years ago but felt badly afterward and didn't cash the check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 big deal, i was off by .15." you should have taken the bet. i won one with william a few years ago but felt badly afterward and didn't cash the check 0.15" is a big deal when we're only talking about 0.25" total. Somehow I doubt you would have paid up. Maybe next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 I was surprised to see the models trend much wetter overnight and follow the hrrr. The Nam and gfs were showing next to nothing yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 big deal, i was off by .15." you should have taken the bet. i won one with william a few years ago but felt badly afterward and didn't cash the check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 I was surprised to see the models trend much wetter overnight and follow the hrrr. The Nam and gfs were showing next to nothing yesterday. The NWS all day yesterday expressed caution with regards to the forecast. Both Mt. Holly and Upton stated that the HRRR and other short term models were handling the situation much better than the globals. Even the NAM was horrific which initialized at 12z and 18z completely dry. This should be no big surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Stebo wasnt exactly wrong. If your talking hi-res short range models the HRRR is a VERY good model. Im almost certain he also took into account the globals as well. Either way the HRRR is a great model but is not the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Stebo wasnt exactly wrong. If your talking hi-res short range models the HRRR is a VERY good model. Im almost certain he also took into account the globals as well. Either way the HRRR is a great model but is not the best It's (HRRR) been deadly within 12-24 hrs though going back to the start of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 It's (HRRR) been deadly within 12-24 hrs though going back to the start of winter. Let's not go overboard. I'm still waiting for my 18" on the backend that it promised me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Almost the entire area saw at least 0.25" of rain with some >0.50" lollies. http://water.weather.gov/precip/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Anyway, Caldwell Airport picked up 0.48" which is the closest reporting station to my backyard. Close to double Forky's maximum forecast. http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=07444 Actually this is the airport http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KCDW/2014/5/8/DailyHistory.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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