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4-25-14 Severe event


downeastnc

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So go figure... splitsville here. One to the east and one to the NW and alot of thunder and ligthning in the back ground. Neighbors must think Im wack.  I put 5 good thick padded blankets on the car to prevent hail damage and they go around.

 

That cell east of Danville over top of South Boston looks very ominous. Sky is pitch black with a tint of blue and green.

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Look like the storm near Dunn is going to ride I-95 through Johnston County. That's little too close to home...

Looks like it's going to ride up or to the East of 95. Clayton's gonna miss out on this round, I think. Four Oaks & Smithfield might catch it.

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The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Granville County in central North Carolina...
  Vance County in central North Carolina...
  north central Wake County in central North Carolina...
  northwestern Franklin County in central North Carolina...
  east central Durham County in central North Carolina...

* until 345 PM EDT

* at 237 PM EDT...fire officials in Durham reported a severe
  thunderstorm producing quarter size hail...and possibly damaging
  winds in excess of 58 mph. This storm was located near
  Creedmoor...and moving northeast at 45 mph.

* Locations impacted include...
  Henderson...Oxford...Creedmoor...Butner...Franklinton...Kittrell...
  Stem...Stovall...Middleburg...Berea...Lake Butner...Falls Lake
  state rec area...Falls Lake...Falls Lake boat ramp...Satterwhite
  Point Marina...Gillburg...Gorman...Purnell...South Henderson and
  Dabney.

 

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Hail params are looking rather decent...

 

With PWATS around 1.3"/Decent lapse rates...I wouldn't be surprised to see some interesting hail reports from this event (IE. covering the ground) 

 

 

 

 

there are some reports of that already not so much large hail just lots of pea to nickel size stuff but the slow movement is letting it pile up....

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Im surprised to see more storms firing up west of here back towards GSO and south considering the storm band of storms that came through earlier.

Usually the atmosphere stablizes after a strong band.

 

But they're strenghtening because more and more thunder is popping.

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mcd0404.gif

 

 

 

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0404
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0222 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN NC AND SRN VA

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 91...

   VALID 251922Z - 252045Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 91 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE TORNADO POTENTIAL IS INCREASING ACROSS PARTS OF THE
   PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA AND SRN VIRGINIA.

   DISCUSSION...SFC MESOANALYSIS REVELS A WWD-ADVANCING AGGREGATE
   OUTFLOW/SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY RUNNING ROUGHLY FROM HALIFAX TO
   CUMBERLAND COUNTY. AS ONGOING DISCRETE/SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
   EVOLVING OVER THE PIEDMONT SPREAD E INTO THE MOISTER/MODERATELY
   UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT EAST OF THIS BOUNDARY...THEY WILL ENCOUNTER
   RELATIVELY BACKED SFC WINDS TO BOOST EFFECTIVE SRH TO AROUND 200
   M2/S2. LOW-LEVEL HELICITY WILL FURTHER INCREASE AS STRONGER DEEP
   FLOW ARRIVES IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN ACCOMPANYING PV MAX AND
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW RESPONDS. TRENDS IN RAX VWP DATA ALREADY REFLECT THIS
   RESPONSE. AS SUCH...THE RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE IN THE
   NEAR-TERM...PARTICULARLY IN ERN NC AND SERN VA. A STRONG TORNADO
   RISK WILL EXIST.

 

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