yoda Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/492_100.gif -- GGEM at 72 has a 1039 H just north of the ND/Canada border and a 1007 low in SW Utah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Wow @ GGEM... Surface low over southern Arkansas @ 108 and over N Alabama @ 120. And nearly a 1040 H in ND http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/136_100.gif -- 00z GGEM at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 992 just east of Norfolk at 144 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/495_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The GFS ensemble means have been remarkably consistent with bringing a storm over/just outside the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Canadian looks like a big hit for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 wow GGEM is a monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The GFS ensemble means have been remarkably consistent with bringing a storm over/just outside the benchmark. Um NO... they have been s of the Benchmark actually and base don how much further the 0z monday dec 20 op- GGEM is I would think the GGEM ensembles stay south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Canadian looks like a big hit for many. No joke. I may have to stay up for the precip maps at 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 BIG win tonght for the ECMWF HUGE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 BIG win tonght for the ECMWF HUGE Everyone is flipping out now as the GGEM seems to have found the 12z GFS solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 132 color 00z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 SOme of these posts are comical IMO, the storm is still over 100 hours out...the big player in this storm is when/if it phases and if that causes it to turn up the coast...Obviously that wont be figured out yet, indications are that it may not, but thats not to say that it absolutely cant...Everyone take a step back, watch these model runs, analyze them but keep a level head...point is, many look to see snow on Xmas day, be happy about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 BIG win tonght for the ECMWF HUGE Err isn't it a better idea to wait for the 0z Euro to come out tonight before stating this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 GGEM says hold on, BIG TIME STORM COMING ON GGEM, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Err isn't it a better idea to wait for the 0z Euro to come out tonight before stating this? he is talking about the last several runs of the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The GEM can have a west/warm bias so be wary... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yea it does... I have a feeling this storm will not be a big deal up to the I-80 corridor in the mid atl.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The GEM can have a west/warm bias so be wary... No one is wary when a model shows the solution they want. We are starting to see some inconsitency on the GFS and GGEM now and to me that shows the players here arent as certain as many believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 he is talking about the last several runs of the euro I just think it's odd to compare tonights outputs (and really just the GFS as of now) to previous model runs of the Euro before the Euro runs tonight with the data that all of the models are using. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Hey, DT. Combine this with 132 and Chester is invaded by the National Guard for Xmas. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_144.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yea it does... I have a feeling this storm will not be a big deal up to the I-80 corridor in the mid atl.... I assume you mean I-81? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I just think it's odd to compare tonights outputs (and really just the GFS as of now) to previous model runs of the Euro before the Euro runs tonight with the data that all of the models are using. And also to a model that as of just Thursday showed two runs that clobbered the east coast with snow today. My back still hurts from shoveling today. Thanks Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Everyone is flipping out now as the GGEM seems to have found the 12z GFS solution. the cmc is not like the 12Z GFS solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 the cmc is not like the 12Z GFS solution I shouldnt have followed everyones initial reactions. I just looked at it and it has a broad 500 mb trough and the low stays south of the BM from what I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 the cmc is not like the 12Z GFS solution OR the Euro. He posted that too early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I assume you mean I-81? No.. I-80 runs east/west through PA and NJ.. doesn't look like much precip (.1) gets this far north on the GFS or the EURO... not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 No one is wary when a model shows the solution they want. We are starting to see some inconsitency on the GFS and GGEM now and to me that shows the players here arent as certain as many believe. when the GFS was BURYING everyone on the 0z and 12z runs.... I Posted thread on WHY that solution was not viable the thread is pinned you outa read it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 No.. I-80 runs east/west through PA and NJ.. doesn't look like much precip (.1) gets this far north on the GFS or the EURO... not good. oops, sorry.....i misread your original post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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