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April 26th-30th, 2014 Major Tornado Outbreak


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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0219 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

VALID 282000Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF MS...AL...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA

ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA...MS...AL...TN...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ELSEWHERE ACROSS A LARGE AREA

FROM THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY EWD TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND

CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...

A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT FROM PARTS

OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND

CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. NUMEROUS TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED...SOME OF

WHICH COULD BE INTENSE. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE

WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY.

...PRIMARY CHANGES TO THE DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...

/1/ AREAS FROM CNTRL MS TO NWRN AL HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO HIGH RISK

FOR A TORNADO OUTBREAK. SEMI-DISCRETE/DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ARE

EVOLVING ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE AXIS STRETCHING FROM N-CNTRL

MS TO W-CNTRL MS. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION SHOULD FORM FARTHER S WITH

DIURNAL HEATING...WITH ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY PROGRESSING EWD ACROSS

PARTS OF MS INTO WRN AL. WITH WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY-LAYER CONDITIONS

SUPPORTING MLCAPE AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG AMIDST 200-400 M2/S2 OF

EFFECTIVE SRH...AND GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF SEPARATED/ROTATING

UPDRAFTS...CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED IN GREATER COVERAGE OF TORNADOES

WARRANTING THE HIGH RISK UPGRADE. SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES ARE

EXPECTED.

/2/ MINOR ADJUSTMENTS HAVE TO THE MODERATE RISK TO INCLUDE MORE OF

NERN LA...SRN MS...AND WRN/CNTRL AL TO ACCOUNT FOR HIGHER SEVERE

THUNDERSTORM/TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE

FRONT/DRYLINE OVER THE SABINE VALLEY...WITH THE GREATER SVR RISK

SPREADING EWD ACROSS AL TONIGHT.

/3/ THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS EXTENDED NEWD INTO PORTIONS OF ERN

KY...WRN VA...AND VICINITY FOR SVR WIND AND TORNADO RISK SHIFTING

ENEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

..COHEN.. 04/28/2014

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With all these trees, ground tracking in this part of the country is nearly impossible. Need the news stations to get the copters up.

I don't think anyone in this area is experienced with copter chasing. Sounds like a good way to get a pilot killed.

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That storm to the west of Canton MS seems to really be getting its act together (sorry if I'm behind, radar scope seems to be a bit slow today).  Structure is improving with each scan and while velocity scan's aren't overly impressive the storm seems to be rapidly strengthening and improving in structure.

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

  WESTERN ATTALA COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

  SOUTHEASTERN HOLMES COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

 

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

 

* AT 231 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MIDWAY...AND

  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

 

  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

 

  SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

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With all these trees, ground tracking in this part of the country is nearly impossible. Need the news stations to get the copters up.

 

Unfortunately, MS isn't as used to this type of weather like OK and other plains states.  I wish more stations would be having live coverage.  I'm watching WLBT right now, and all they really have out in the field is a jerky, pixelated camera on the road.

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