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April 26th-30th, 2014 Major Tornado Outbreak


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NCsandhills, on 27 Apr 2014 - 9:20 PM, said:

ANY IDEA IF THIS WILL HIT SEARCY OR WHAT PART I HAVE TONS OF FRIENDS IN SEARCY MY BROTHER IS WORKING IN SEARCY RIGHT NOW

 

Unless it takes a hard right it looks to go NW of Searcy at this time.

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0437
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0809 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN TX...NRN LA...SRN AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 97...

VALID 280109Z - 280215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 97 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH 97 COVERING PARTS OF NERN
TX...NRN LA...AND SRN AR MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN TIME BEYOND ITS
SCHEDULED 02Z EXPIRATION TIME.


DISCUSSION...AN ONGOING SUPERCELL STORM IN FAR NERN TX WILL CONTINUE
TO ADVANCE EWD...WITH THE DOWNSTREAM 00Z SHV RAOB INDICATING MLCAPE
AROUND 2200 J/KG AND AROUND 45 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN SEVERE RISK...WHILE STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS
AND ASSOCIATED FORCED-ASCENT-INDUCED MID-LEVEL COOLING POTENTIALLY
OFFSET THE GROWTH OF SUBSTANTIAL NOCTURNAL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.
THIS ASCENT MAY ALSO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION THIS EVENING. STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL YIELD A
TORNADO RISK AS WELL...AND THESE FACTORS MAY WARRANT LOCAL EXTENSION
OF THE TORNADO WATCH IN TIME FROM PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX EASTWARD.

 

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ANY IDEA IF THIS WILL HIT SEARCY OR WHAT PART I HAVE TONS OF FRIENDS IN SEARCY MY BROTHER IS WORKING IN SEARCY RIGHT NOW

 

 

It's passing a decent distance NW of Searcy - would take a truly radical and unlikely turn to affect Searcy, and if that doesn't happen in the next radar scan it's pretty much beyond Searcy and can't hit it.

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TWC just showed a product from the SPC with Jim Cantore (didn't catch what it was) but it shows another round of storms developing and pushing through the high risk area tonight...

 

They were showing the HRRR.

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TropicalAnalystwx13, on 27 Apr 2014 - 9:33 PM, said:

HRRR.

 

 

Ensō, on 27 Apr 2014 - 9:34 PM, said:

They were showing the HRRR.

 

 

YanksFan27, on 27 Apr 2014 - 9:35 PM, said:

HRRR

 

Well I guess it was the HRRR then. Thanks.

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