Chinook Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Mena, Arkansas area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 The area north and east of Joplin I believe is under the gun. based on surface vorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKStorm Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Quapaw, Oklahoma. tornado hit downtown. Heavy damage. Triage setup downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Quapaw OK had heavy damage from a tornado, about 40 minutes ago. This is very close to Baxter Springs KS (mentioned before) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Shear is EVERYTHING and plenty of backed flow across wrn MO with 2000J MLCAPE to work with. That's all it takes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 I'm kinda waiting for the real high risk area over south-central AR to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 If the storm near Hot Springs can organize, it would be the one to take a run at Little Rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Developing tornado on KCTV5 chopper cam http://www.kctv5.com/category/215375/kctv5-livestream-mva2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Cell passing over Diamond, MO is a perfect structure. Highly like a TOR is actively on the ground there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 614 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014 MSC107-272345-/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140427T2345Z/PANOLA MS-614 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR PANOLACOUNTY... AT 613 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THISTORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BALLENTINE...OR 7 MILES WEST OFBATESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. AT 559 PM CDT...LAWENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR HOOD ROAD NEAR THE PANOLA ANDQUITMAN COUNTY LINE. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BATESVILLE...GLENVILLE...BALLENTINE...HAYES CROSSING AND JOHN W KYLE STATE PARK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Shear is EVERYTHING and plenty of backed flow across wrn MO with 2000J MLCAPE to work with. That's all it takes. Its interesting that most of the reports so far have come outside of the Moderate Risk area... looks like there haven't been any confirmed TOR reports in AR yet. The event is still young, but I'm pretty sure most of the earlier mesoscale models had significant activity in AR before 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Quapaw OK had heavy damage from a tornado, about 40 minutes ago. This is very close to Baxter Springs KS (mentioned before) From what I can tell there was no Tornado Warning in effect when Quapaw was hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Well, that was no fun....... Hearing from local TV that there's a lot of damage in Baxter Springs and Quapaw, OK I got split by the supercells....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 This is the Quapaw/Baxter Springs tornado... Looks like it was roping out near Galena when this pic was taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Its interesting that most of the reports so far have come outside of the Moderate Risk area... looks like there haven't been any confirmed TOR reports in AR yet. The event is still young, but I'm pretty sure most of the mesoscale models had significant activity in AR before 00z. I always like those areas to the north such as in MO where the flow is really backed and you get that theta-e tongue to boost CAPE enough to get tornadoes despite the really high CAPE to the south. Sometimes the forcing in this area only allows for a brief period of discrete cells before they line out...but they can overperform. I think some models had a later show for AR...I have to think it's just a matter of time before srn AR lights up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 I'm kinda waiting for the real high risk area over south-central AR to go. the most recent HRRR runs are suggesting there won't be any substantial activity in AR till later tonight (03-04z), and the focus will be further south in TX and LA associated with the advancing cold front. Then again the HRRR failed to capture the recent development of supercells north along the KS/MO border, so take this with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Joplin airport now reporting a Tornado on their latest metar. You do not see this all that often in obs... KJLN 272242Z 16017G23KT 10SM +FC CLR 24/17 A2933 RMK TORNADO B41 SW MOV N AO2 PK WND 18027/2157 LTG DSNT S-NW T0244016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Well, that was no fun....... Hearing from local TV that there's a lot of damage in Baxter Springs and Quapaw, OK I got split by the supercells....... I'm sure that's no fun for you, but at 22z I was worried, glad they split you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Interesting cells both ENE of Little Rock (more mature and severe warned) and SSW of Little Rock that both have intriguing composite reflectivities. Either one could get going in later frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 067 WWUS20 KWNS 272327 SEL2 SPC WW 272327 ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-280700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 102 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 630 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI EASTERN OKLAHOMA * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH OF KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF FLIPPIN ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 95...WW 96...WW 97...WW 98...WW 99...WW 100...WW 101... DISCUSSION...SEVERAL SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE KS/MO BORDER WILL TRACK EASTWARD INTO WESTERN MO DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WHILE OTHER STORMS DEVELOP SOUTHWARD ALONG THE AR/OK BORDER. STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF TORNADOES /INCLUDING ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES/ THROUGH THE EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 I always like those areas to the north such as in MO where the flow is really backed and you get that theta-e tongue to boost CAPE enough to get tornadoes despite the really high CAPE to the south. Sometimes the forcing in this area only allows for a brief period of discrete cells before they line out...but they can overperform. I think some models had a later show for AR...I have to think it's just a matter of time before srn AR lights up. I think so too... but the lack of real nice discrete cells from the HRRR in AR gives me pause. It would be a pretty bad bust if the 95% tornado + 80% significant tornado PDS watch doesn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ensō Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Damn. VWP from LZK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noxx Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 new wall cloud on http://www.kmbc.com/news/watch-live-severe-weather-coverage-from-kmbc-9-news/25684390 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 coverage for storms south of Memphis http://www.wmctv.com/category/196691/action-news-5-live-video-coverage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 634 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN VERNON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI... * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 634 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NEVADA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. A TORNADO WAS REPORTED SOUTHWEST OF NEVADA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Quapaw, OK from Shawn Reynolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 According to the AP two reported dead in Quapaw, Oklahoma. No tornado warning issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Batesville, Mississippi area NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN614 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014PANOLA MS-614 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR PANOLACOUNTY...AT 613 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THISTORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BALLENTINE...OR 7 MILES WEST OFBATESVILLE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Two warned cells with the warmfront in NW MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Is the disruption of low-level flow by convection in ctrl AR reducing the low-level shear by veering low-level winds to the south of the warm front? Is that why nothing discrete is really forming in the High Risk? What factors haven't played out as SPC and/or some models expected by now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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