SmokeEater Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Severe warning south of the Metroplex now. Tops on that already 48,000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 Wow, every cell that develops in AR is almost immediately developing an appendage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noxx Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Looks like a close call on TornadoRaiders on TVN right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 So I've got 2 friends on their way back from a chruch conference this evening and they're gonna be traveling to NTX through Arkansas. How worried should I be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Dryline is starting to light up from Eastern Kansas down to the more established cells in SE Oklahoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 So I've got 2 friends on their way back from a chruch conference this evening and they're gonna be traveling to NTX through Arkansas. How worried should I be? You should tell them to stay put where they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 So I've got 2 friends on their way back from a chruch conference this evening and they're gonna be traveling to NTX through Arkansas. How worried should I be? Where in Arkansas are they going? For the most part- yes. They need to be paying attention to the weather substantially. If they're going to like El Dorado, then it's not *as* big of a deal. If they're going to like Fayetteville, they'll pass through some danger zones but the other side is better. If they're going to Little Rock...then it's all danger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Personally I have a gut feeling for the area around or just a hair N and NE of Little Rock to see something very nasty later this evening. That boundary is going to try and lift through there, low level jet cranking up, strong instability feeding into that area this evening, and perhaps an outflow boundary from the convection going through Memphis.... I think that area has all the ingredients... Your gut feeling seems to be backed up by one (or more) runs of the HRRR. This is 16z run, forecast for 00z, with a huge storm about 100mi north of Little Rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Looking forward, the 2 OK supercells could potentially impact Mena and Fort Smith, and it would be closer to their mature stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 This is from my house looking North East uploadfromtaptalk1398632830201.jpg Sent from my SM-N900V Is that the cell currently over Vinita, OK? Looks to track towards the Joplin area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKStormFan Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 TornadoRaiders stream seems to have disconnected, bad timing! That cell looks very menacing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Cell down near Dallas is cranking. Lacking some Low level helicity (as it's just off the dryline) but that will come soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Is that the cell currently over Vinita, OK? Looks to track towards the Joplin area.that would be the one in has organized fairly wellSent from my SM-N900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 The cell down in Texas is also something to watch... by far the best thermodynamics ( > 3000 J/kg) there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 You should tell them to stay put where they are. Unfortunatly that's outside my authority. The're on a charter bus with a bunch of other people. They're traveling through TN atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 that would be the one in has organized fairly well Sent from my SM-N900V It looks like about 5 or 6 cells just popped up around it's perimeter, SW MO may be under the gun in the next couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKStormFan Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 East Dallas cell now at 57k with overshooting tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Ennis cell looks like it might be starting to get some broad rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 443 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN CEDAR COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA... SOUTHWESTERN JONES COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA... SOUTHEASTERN LINN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA... * UNTIL 515 PM CDT * AT 441 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MOUNT VERNON ...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 A secondary 990 mb low seems to be forming in the TX panhandle moving east as it circles our main 984mb low up in nw KS. This should only aid svr development in the high risk area this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 cell near Wilburton and Red Oak, OK now severe warned. I wonder if this will turn into the next tornado warning in 15min+ ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Wow storm in AR could track from Bluffton, to Briggsville to Danville AR if it continues it's trajectory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Where in Arkansas are they going? For the most part- yes. They need to be paying attention to the weather substantially. If they're going to like El Dorado, then it's not *as* big of a deal. If they're going to like Fayetteville, they'll pass through some danger zones but the other side is better. If they're going to Little Rock...then it's all danger. Just got word that they are indeed passing through LR later tonight. They're gonna be there probably late evening. Will have more details soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Forecast string of pearls does seem to be currently developing from se KS southward through eastern OK into TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Just got word that they are indeed passing through LR later tonight. They're gonna be there probably late evening. Will have more details soon. Sounds like they'll be passing through the worst possible areas at possible the worst times depending on how late is 'late evening' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF AR...ERN OK...NERN TX...NRN LA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 100...97... VALID 272152Z - 272245Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 100...97...CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES IS INCREASING IN CNTRL/W-CNTRL/SWRN ARKANSAS. THE TORNADO RISK CONTINUES ELSEWHERE ACROSS TORNADO WATCHES 97 AND 100. DISCUSSION...SEMI-DISCRETE/DISCRETE CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING WITHIN A PLUME OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/CONFLUENCE CHARACTERIZED BY UPPER 60S-AROUND 70F SFC DEWPOINTS FROM SW TO W-CNTRL ARKANSAS. STORMS WILL LIKELY MATURE WITHIN THIS ZONE AND CONTINUE TO ATTAIN SUPERCELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS GIVEN 50-65 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. WITH THE 21Z SPECIAL SOUNDING FROM LZK INDICATING LARGE STREAMWISE VORTICITY FOR SFC-LAYER INFLOW...SUPPORTING EFFECTIVE SRH AROUND 600 M2/S2...THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES IS INCREASING. THIS WOULD ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE WITH CONVECTION THAT INTERACTS WITH A WARM FRONTAL ZONE CURRENTLY DRAPED NW/SE ACROSS ARKANSAS WHERE SFC WINDS ARE MORE BACKED. ADDITIONAL STORMS THAT DEVELOPED ALONG A PACIFIC FRONT FARTHER W ACROSS ERN OK WILL CONTINUE TRACKING EWD AND ENCOUNTER INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WITH THE ATTENDANT TORNADO THREAT INCREASING INTO FAR ERN OK AND WRN AR IN THE SHORT-TERM. ..COHEN.. 04/27/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noxx Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Just got word that they are indeed passing through LR later tonight. They're gonna be there probably late evening. Will have more details soon. First thing is to make sure they pay attention to the situation and acutally listening to some regional radio stations! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 The cell down near DFW is a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Quickly closing in on the tor warned cell in NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.