RCNYILWX Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 6:55 PM, andyhb said: Incredible effective shear magnitude in place over LA, MS and AL. In addition, an axis of very high 0-3km CAPE along that corridor, which will likely continue to increase/expand across AL as the airmass recovers this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 6:55 PM, andyhb said: Incredible effective shear magnitude in place over LA, MS and AL. Even higher when you zoom in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AgeeWx Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 6:55 PM, mapgirl said: can you explain what makes it "holy cow"? Backed surface winds, very minimal cap, good speed shear, and the depth of the moisture all make me say "holy cow", as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AgeeWx Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Plus, your 850 trajectories are coming straight off the Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 6:52 PM, David Reimer said: Check out the 18Z LIX sounding! Holy cow! Just give it some more surface heating and it's pretty much all there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 a tornado has occured (1826z) on the edge of extremely unstable air in coastal NC radar near Cove City, NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 7:15 PM, 1900hurricane said: Just give it some more surface heating and it's pretty much all there. Yup, a very impressive sounding. If we can get those wind fields to advect northward into MS to improve on the sounding JAN made then I think E/SE MS is in for it. I'm sitting in Brandon, MS off I-20 just watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Some cells firing in W.MS and E. LA none really getting going though atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Southern MS looks ripe and ready for innitiation. Too much sunshine right now in central, northern Alabama and Tennessee for my liking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Tom Skilling from Chicago put up a picture of the Illinois twister from this morning: https://www.facebook.com/TomSkilling/posts/10152329734216760 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevinbente Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 7:15 PM, 1900hurricane said: Just give it some more surface heating and it's pretty much all there. Hi 1900, where do you go to look at these soundings? Can I have the link to them? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 7:35 PM, kevinbente said: Hi 1900, where do you go to look at these soundings? Can I have the link to them? Thanks! There's a tab on the SPC page called "Forecast Tools," and under it will be a link labeled "Observed Sounding Analysis." This should get you to some of the more recently recorded soundings. I'll also put the hyperlink below: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 strong cells are starting to pop south of Raleigh, NC. Is this being covered in the SE subforum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 7:43 PM, Chinook said: strong cells are starting to pop south of Raleigh, NC. Is this being covered in the SE subforum? Yes, folks starting to talk about it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 7:43 PM, Chinook said: strong cells are starting to pop south of Raleigh, NC. Is this being covered in the SE subforum? Yeah around Fayetteville is looking like there could be several cells starting to rotate........ we do have a thread in the SE forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 7:07 PM, AgeeWx said: Backed surface winds, very minimal cap, good speed shear, and the depth of the moisture all make me say "holy cow", as well. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Looks like we could have a tornado warning soon near Fayetteville, NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Virtually no change on the new outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 7:45 PM, downeastnc said: Yeah around Fayetteville is looking like there could be several cells starting to rotate........ we do have a thread in the SE forum Let's keep all outbreak related things in here. If you want to go talk about "x" storm in IMBY then that's fine in SE subforum but lets keep the tornado related things in here along with the rest of the outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 7:55 PM, Brick Tamland said: Looks like we could have a tornado warning soon near Fayetteville, NC. Yep. 999 WFUS52 KRAH 291955 TORRAH NCC051-163-292045- /O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0015.140429T1955Z-140429T2045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 355 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... NORTHWESTERN SAMPSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 445 PM EDT * AT 354 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES NORTH OF JEROME...OR 13 MILES EAST OF FAYETTEVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ROSEBORO...STEDMAN...SALEMBURG...AUTRYVILLE...VANDER AND BUSHY LAKE NATURAL AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. && LAT...LON 3489 7864 3504 7879 3526 7855 3505 7834 TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 227DEG 9KT 3501 7867 $$ -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Tornado Warning has been issued for Eastern Cumberland County and Northwestern Sampson County until 4:45 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 WRAL streaming live. http://www.wral.com/weather/video/13604532/#/vid13604532 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Small hook developing over Brookhaven, MS. Only SVR warned right now but it should continue to strengthen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Fairly strong rotation south of Wilson, NC with that warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 The Wilson county NC TOR warned storm is exploding. Tops went from 36k to 45k in one scan and the hail estimate is 3.5". Circulation still seems fairly broad but it's a monster and could start producing at any time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 8:09 PM, Dunkman said: The Wilson county NC TOR warned storm is exploding. Tops went from 36k to 45k in one scan and the hail estimate is 3.5". Circulation still seems fairly broad but it's a monster and could start producing at any time. Also could get really close to Wilson proper thats 50k+ people.......I cant believe I am stuck at work I could be there in 15 mins from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Plume of 2000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE feeding the cells in NC there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Preliminary track map for the last two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Canton, MS cell is looking quite nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 On 4/29/2014 at 8:16 PM, Buckeye05 said: Canton, MS cell is looking quite nice. Just crossed an OFB from the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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