KamuSnow Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Granted he just wrote " -1" " on his map, but a cursory examination of his map would suggest that its really "up to 1 inch", and the 1" line is actually over ABE. That said, I still don't see how they get much of anything. Certainly his forecast snow map is NOT supported by the 0Z GFS or NAM or the 12Z Euro. I saw yesterday that the NAM was showing a (new) snow accumulation over parts of eastern PA and NJ, but like you said, nothing appears to support it, surface or otherwise. On the front end there appears to be too much warm air everywhere but at the surface, on the back end the precip looks to be out of here before it gets cold enough. Maybe the freezing rain is being counted as snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 DT new map 1" northern bucks and montco 1-3" Allentown He may look like an idiot again. If he has another bust, he should retire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 DT new map 1" northern bucks and montco 1-3" Allentown Was there an 1" of snow within 200 miles of Montco? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 19, 2015 Author Share Posted January 19, 2015 Was there an 1" of snow within 200 miles of Montco? I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 JB thinks the POTENTIAL is there for what the European is showing to come to fruition. He thinks there will be spots in the mid-atlantic to New England that might be able to near their seasonal snow averages before the end of the month. He said it has the earmarks of a period of time weather weenies will long remember. Of course he qualifies the statement with he is not yet making a forecast but patted WXBELL team on their backs for seeing the cold returning when so many others were saying winter over etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 January 20 11:27 AMPer JB GFS West correction to continue Gives 3 reasons "1) Notorious model bias. As it is, it has the big snowstorm in the I-95 corridor now, but I suspect that instead of being on the northwest side of the heaviest snow, the big cities will wind up close to the rain line for awhile, which blends into reason 2) The very warm water off the east coast. This has been helping the ridge in the atlantic back in and lead to some of the southerly spikes we have seen this winter so far. In this case, and increasingly into early spring, it will help fuel bigger storms 3) Feedback look of trough. While I think the upgrade is likely to be better, it seems to me the models handling of the trough is suspect. Besides, its hard to believe given the stale air that is going to be lurking over the southeast ( the colder air will try to drain south behind the clipper, but that will be more inland) that this would cut outside of Hatteras. If it cuts inside, its liable to be tightening quicker You know, there can be big storms back to back. 1966 is an example. We saw an example in 1968,1972,etc. We had 3 in 7 days here in State College in 1978. Its a heck of pattern with a heck of a potential" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 JB on his video this morning said the the 15 days thru the first week of February....he believes will be "epic" for weather weenies. He says between the snow, rumours of snow (no doubt he will not fuel any of those!) and severe cold which he is certain is coming will make this a very memorable time for those who love winter weather. Coldest period will be days 10 to 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 JB on his video this morning said the the 15 days thru the first week of February....he believes will be "epic" for weather weenies. He says between the snow, rumours of snow (no doubt he will not fuel any of those!) and severe cold which he is certain is coming will make this a very memorable time for those who love winter weather. Coldest period will be days 10 to 15. Did He ever give location? Not that I buy into jb, just curious about his cya approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Problem is that is a very broad statement. For DC and regions south that is likely to ring true on current projections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 He may look like an idiot again. If he has another bust, he should retire. That's too funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Problem is that is a very broad statement. For DC and regions south that is likely to ring true on current projections. All JB does is release broad statements that don't really mean much. That way if it happens he can claim he was right all along and if it doesn't happen he can say "well technically I never said it would definitely happen...", he used to be a good met but now he's just a hype machine that only cares about clicks on his site. I haven't seen a solid JB discussion in well over a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 The two letters JB should be banned/blocked (**) from here...kinda like f**k...the guy is a mess and offers zero. If somehow he is correct (<25%)...it's luck which many here could do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Cosgrove going with 8"+ and timetable for parts of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 11pm tv rundown.... kathy orr 1-3" nw burbs (said to watch out for those "heavy bands of rain moving in on the radar"..this was actually the heavy sleet some of us saw) cecily tynan downgraded to C- 2" (nearly there already and snowing very hard but she explained storm details so much better than kathy orr) sheena parveen not really clear on predicted totals but showed a model with 1-2" ( again, fairly good analysis but always miss hurricane at 11pm) based on current snow rates, radar and nearly 2" already, I think all three will be too low with final amounts!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Cosgrove going with 8"+ and timetable for parts of the area. wow.. for who and where did you see that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 wow.. for who and where did you see that? Face book and I meant thunder not timetable stupid autocorrect. Looks like he nailed it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 love larry c... visited my (now 27 year old) son's second grade glenside elem class way back when he was on local philly tv... bring him back!! i should do facebook just so I can follow him! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheManWithNoFace Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Pretty shameful spin job by 101.5. I heard a dreadful forecast with Dan Zarrow's name on it last night around 8pm for "4inches north and west of the turnpike." This morning they try to play it off like that was a good call. Average of 4" in north NJ? Must have missed the NWS p.I.s. Pretty sure snow fell south of the turnpike too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Local news stating heaviest will be well offshore. Minor amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 http://epawaweather.com/weather-alert-maps/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Anyone know what Larry Cosgroves thoughts are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Anyone know what Larry Cosgroves thoughts are? He has a twitter feed here - https://twitter.com/larrycosgrove I don't do twitter but will occasionally look at public feeds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Anyone know what Larry Cosgroves thoughts are? Big time snows with more lifting than models are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Big time snows with more lifting than models are showing.Wasn't he backing way off a couple days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Here comes the more important snows already from the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just saw DT's last call bumped me to 12-18". The moment of truth is coming with 12z euro drum roll please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looking like anyone getting 6" west of the river will be lucky at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 DT lost ECM support, at least in PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looking like anyone getting 6" east of the river will be lucky at this point.You mean west of the river correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 You mean west of the river correct? Yeah, fixed it... duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now