ChescoWx Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 from JB this evening on Joaquin, He said he finds himself allied with modeling that he has always thought inferior.. To quote him "So why not change. Well for one the way hurricanes hit the US, and this is why I have been so adamant about saying this season is over, is, in essence, the way the pattern is. Digging trough catches storm with major positive anomalies over northeast Canada into the Altantic. In fact, if ALL MODELING WERE OUT TO SEA, AND THE EURO WERE WEST, I would most certainly be on the side of the Euro. The other thing is the ECWMF sometimes has problems near the east coast. It seems to make sure the digging trough and the hurricane stay separate. At 48 hours it looks like its going to get caught" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Thread bumped, must be getting closer to winter . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 DT has declared victory for his call based off of the Euro. Is it safe to sound the all-clear now? Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 DT has declared victory for his call based off of the Euro. Is it safe to sound the all-clear now? Sent from my LG-V410 Unreal. 5 days out and you are all calling victories. Smh Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Unreal. 5 days out and you are all calling victories. Smh Sent from my iPhone Dont lump me into any group declaring victory...please. I have done nothing of the sort. My question was somewhat serious, somewhat tongue-in-cheek. I realize there are still several scenarios on the table but was wondering if there really is some sort of overwhelming support for DTs ots forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Gov Christy declaring state of emergency while DT posting all over FB and twitter for mostly sunny from DC to BOS. You just cant make this stuff up. Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Gov Christy declaring state of emergency while DT posting all over FB and twitter for mostly sunny from DC to BOS. You just cant make this stuff up. Sent from my LG-V410 He declared a state of emergency in preparation for the Pope (who was not setting foot in NJ). lol Although in all seriousness, that low that was south of here off the coast spinning for days plus the cold front and stuff about to run up the front, has been tearing up the beaches (none of that due to Joaquin). It's just sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 1, 2015 Author Share Posted October 1, 2015 from JB this evening on Joaquin, He said he finds himself allied with modeling that he has always thought inferior.. To quote him "So why not change. Well for one the way hurricanes hit the US, and this is why I have been so adamant about saying this season is over, is, in essence, the way the pattern is. Digging trough catches storm with major positive anomalies over northeast Canada into the Altantic. In fact, if ALL MODELING WERE OUT TO SEA, AND THE EURO WERE WEST, I would most certainly be on the side of the Euro. The other thing is the ECWMF sometimes has problems near the east coast. It seems to make sure the digging trough and the hurricane stay separate. At 48 hours it looks like its going to get caught" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Was away all day today....but it looks like the Weather Bell folks changed their forecast (officially) at 5am this morning.....now the latest tweet from JB "For a hurricane that's not likely to pass within 400 miles of the US this weekend there is certainly a heck of a lot of hype out there"......things that make you go hmmm!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Steve D seems to be the only voice of reason on my twitter feed. Playing the wait and see game, along with the "observations over models" game. After his blizzard failure, I had my doubts, but he is still my favorite along with Bernie Rayno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 steve d https://nynjpaweather.com/winter-forecast-for-201516/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Hurricane releases his winter outlook tomorrow night. Let's hope Glenn makes us happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Hurricane releases his winter outlook tomorrow night. Let's hope Glenn makes us happy! At best I see him going near avg in temps/snow. But probably below in snow totals and above in temps. In Philly, something like: Snow: 15"-20" Temps: +2 for the winter Just a guess, who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 From what I remember Glenn went above normal snowfall last two winters and is on a hot streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Glenn went 30-38" with 3 big storms late in the season. Says the NAO/AO basically cancel out the mild El Nino effects second half of winter. Warm early, record highs. Cold second half. Sent from my LG-V410 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Hurricane with a big second half of winter and a bold +6F January that's impressive and ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Thats like the King of all January thaws...tho based on his December outlook we may not have even been frozen. Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Shame on our forum, I found this in the mid atlantic forum. http://www.nbcphilad...lFlowFB_PHBrand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Shame on our forum, I found this in the mid atlantic forum. http://www.nbcphilad...lFlowFB_PHBrand That link goes back to this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Glenn's forecast in a nutshell and link: http://tinyurl.com/odo48qm Jan is ugly at +6 and delayed Spring w/March at -4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Throw this in as well from Glenn. I hate this type of setup. Snows...melts quickly and a backloaded Winter. Also a couple (2-3) larger storms, otherwise nada. I like continuous 3-4 inchers and it last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Cecily going with 20-24" in backloaded winter. Could be as low as 12" or as high as 32" depending on El Nino maintaining strength and influence. http://6abc.com/weather/cecily-tynans-winter-weather-outlook-/1082334/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 That link goes back to this thread?Thats weird, I'll try and repost.This should work. http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/weather/stories/Long-Range-Winter-Forecast-Glenn-Hurricane-Schwartz-2015-346882392.html?_osource=SocialFlowFB_PHBrand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Cecily going with 20-24" in backloaded winter. Could be as low as 12" or as high as 32" depending on El Nino maintaining strength and influence. http://6abc.com/weather/cecily-tynans-winter-weather-outlook-/1082334/ So basically she is covered from 12 to 32 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 goo.gl/4odZdv You'll need to cut and paste if interest.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 goo.gl/4odZdv You'll need to cut and paste if interest....screenshot91.png umm something went wrong there here you go: Who likes snow! http://epawaweather.com/2015/11/06/epawa-winter-outlook-2015-2016/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 So basically she is covered from 12 to 32 inches. Cracked me up...but yes, thought the same. That's not a forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 22, 2015 Share Posted November 22, 2015 JB update from this AM.....sees a cold start to December and then a warmer month but sees a SW to NE snow event during that timeframe. Then a warmer (he says it will have to be after the cold start) to get to the WB forecast. He calls up a 1986-87 winter analog that matches the heart of winter as he sees it. There really seems to be strong agreement among most vendors with how they see the winter playing out. Now will any of them be right...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 fwiw ... Hurricane mentioned tonight that he's sticking with his call of a cold and snowy second half to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Dr. Joe D with Wxbell says the models are catching on to the coming pattern change which should get underway around the New Year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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