Harbourton Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 !8Z is close but no cigars. Will watch a few more runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 -5F the next six weeks i sincerely hope not. That would be a disaster. Lucky the CFS flips regularly but I think the ECM weeklies recently were calling fo-r below normal in March.Celcius. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Celcius. A 5 degree Celsius departure from normal is far worse than a 5 degree departure Fahrenheit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Congrats Philly and DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 There is some blocking present at 7days on the 12Z GFS in the form of a nice 50/50 low with blocking to north in the form of a very eastern 500mb ridge. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=168ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_168_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150225+12+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Congrats Philly and DC. euro2-25-12.png That's like 4 storms or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Congrats Philly and DC. euro2-25-12.png If anybody believes a EuroWx map after this winters performance, I have some land in the desert close to Ray I am selling for pennies on the dollar. Hit me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 If anybody believes a EuroWx map after this winters performance, I have some land in the desert close to Ray I am selling for pennies on the dollar. Hit me up Careful with that, there's gold in them thar hills... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Careful with that, there's gold in them thar hills... Snow too most winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Analog list ( personal not work related) ++ PDO, --QBO and neutral to week nino ENSO or as close to these as possible. I threw out 2012, to warm in march. All of these have a cold March with moderating conditions as the spring goes on, near normal summer temp wise as well. Normal to above normal precip. - 1980 - 1987- 1984 - 1996 -2003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 That EC run looked to far south to me, blend that and other models leaves us with a good shot for snow next week that could mix or change to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 That EC run looked to far south to me, blend that and other models leaves us with a good shot for snow next week that could mix or change to rain. Awesome let's move that 23" from DC 150 miles northeast and have back to back historic winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 That EC run looked to far south to me, blend that and other models leaves us with a good shot for snow next week that could mix or change to rain. Agree. With the PNA taking I expect a more northerly track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 That's like 4 storms or something. Almost all of the snow is from the modelled storm toward the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The Euro needs more than a timeout. It needs to be taken offline for a few weeks to allow for reprogramming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Waiting for Ray to make a thread, for Sunday night. All his threads this year panned out for LV. COME ON RAY Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Verdict is in ECM=extremely crappy model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Wednesday storm heads for Cleveland. Big blast of warm air ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 There is a lot of precip associated with the cutter mid week 1"+. Could see some flooding/ice jam issues with how cold it has been and how much ice is on the rivers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Yeah thats not good, the neshaminy is frozen solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z GFS for the day 5-6 event Upper Bucks 3" Philly 5-6" Cape May 16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jb1979 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z GFS for the day 5-6 event Upper Bucks 3" Philly 5-6" Cape May 16" I think that would be Cape May's biggest event since 2/5/2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 8-10 day means still show a strong flow out of the northwest - no rapid warm up on these maps. http://mp1.met.psu.e...2z/hgtcomp.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bliz299 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I think that would be Cape May's biggest event since 2/5/2010 And you are correct. 17.5, 6th; 21.8" storm total 5-6th. Of course the chance of ANYTHING close to that is sadly way too low.But I'm hoping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 8-10 day means still show a strong flow out of the northwest - no rapid warm up on these maps. http://mp1.met.psu.e...2z/hgtcomp.html Depressing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 ^^ It's winter!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 ^^ It's winter!! It may be winter, but it was extreme and relentless. If we had maderating breaks in between colder periods, it wouldn't bother me so much. Imagine if it was 95 degrees for 30 straight days, it was almost September and the forecast called for at least 2 more weeks of it. How would you feel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 We'll I'm not a hot weather fan, anything over 75f sucks, but I wouldn't be posting on a Summer weather board about it. I loved every cold degree and sparse flakes, so far, this winter (with the exception of the wind assisted cold degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Well I thought this was a WEATHER board as it's called American Wx, not American Winter Wx. My bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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