Harbourton Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 This weekend is sneaking up as more favorable getting the low up the coast. 12z models were closer. If it ejects to fast across south it goes out to sea, to slow and. It comes up coast and then get shoved east. Monday Tuesday chance next week as well. Like most times this year there isn't enough blocking from the NAO to turn these storms up the coast. The only reason I'm interested is that last year minor dips in the teleconnections caused some decent storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 just an FYI, some pretty good analogues showing up on CPC, i mean if you like Jan 96, Feb 03, Feb 06 etc.....tried to cut and paste the link but I couldn't get it to work, but it is easy to find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 0z ECM with a bomb kinda Feb 2006 storm strength but about 75 miles further east we get brushed in SEPA, DC borderline temps for a huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 0z ECM QPF gradient is HUGE! wunderground through 132hr and it's stuck AC 1" Philly .3" NYC .1-.3" Allentown .07" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 0z ECM Day 8 a New England blizzard late developer that skips(minor accumulations) the Delaware Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 0z ECM QPF gradient is HUGE! wunderground through 132hr and it's stuck AC 1" Philly .3" NYC .1-.3" Allentown .07" Yeah that was one heck of a gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Pattern setting up in about 8-14 days is just sick! Huge -epo, +pna, -ao, -nao (based off of eps and support from GFS ens). Might we finally be entering a period of stormy and cold weather? It's KU time! Long range models may not have nailed every teleconnection but had this period nailed for active weather (22-28) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 The Almanac had this a yr ago! Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looking like a deep freeze with something brewing for Super Bowl Sunday 2/1-2/3 time frame. Anyone else seeing that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Honk Honk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Honk Honk Looks like a GL cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looks like a GL cutter. I doubt it would cut positively tilted trough with and open low and lots of confluence to the north, but I am just pointing out the potential for something large during this time frame is present. GFS has been honking this period as well and showing the system passing to our south. Point is there is a lot of potential there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looks good on the EC at 240hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This year especially, 240hrs is a crapshoot at best - hell 72 hrs has been very unreliable. Unless that little bit of blocking holds up on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 If these 8-10 day mean maps are anywhere close to reality, we could be looking at an exciting early February due to the potential for a -NAO. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/CMCNA_12z/hgtcomp.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It's going to be fun as we move into February. The sub tropical jet looks to be wide open too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GFS looks beautiful for earl Feb potential. Huge overrunning with the subtropical jet looking like a firehose. It's a little south verbatim but that Baja low is ejecting east and it's a nice signal at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Not to mention the PV dropping south to provide ample cold. Mountains of potential moving forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 0z ECM has another Miller B much like the GFS next Friday. Behind that one the arctic cold follows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 There's a chance we might have 2 at-least-major-maybe-historic snowstorms a week apart.... followed by a huge PV that could give us below zero lows... Yup... backloaded winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Still on track for a clipper coming in Thursday evening with possibly a general 3" snowfall. Snow on Snow on Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Anyone know what the potential 2/1 threat is looking like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Anyone know what the potential 2/1 threat is looking like?miller a. Cold storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Still on track for a clipper coming in Thursday evening with possibly a general 3" snowfall. Snow on Snow on Snow Anyone know what the potential 2/1 threat is looking like? Good Lord let's just get though tomorrows event w/o busting....although it's fun to have hope down the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Good Lord let's just get though tomorrows event w/o busting....although it's fun to have hope down the line. Oh I have hope down the line. Nice shot of warmth trying to come north long range GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 GGEM a hit for everybody Sunday 8-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 GGEM a hit for everybody Sunday 8-10" Map? Here we go again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 GGEM a hit for everybody Sunday 8-10"I'm hibernating until then.. call me when the first flakes fall!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Now hope the Euro supports... This is a Miller A so it SHOULD be an easier forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Map? Here we go again... Been posted in MA side, hell with what euro says its dead to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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