Chicago Storm Posted April 21, 2014 Share Posted April 21, 2014 Have a thread like this in the GL/OV sub-forum... For events that sort of "pop-up" the day of, and/or events that are not really thread worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 21, 2014 Author Share Posted April 21, 2014 Near Kirkland, TX... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Pretty nasty supercell coming into the Great Falls, MT area currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 9, 2014 Share Posted May 9, 2014 tornado warned storm that has moved through Wayne County, MO to Bollinger County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 9, 2014 Share Posted May 9, 2014 Pretty nasty looking storm coming in on Shreveport currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Closing in on Rapid City. Still not entirely sure where to go today. Probably eastern WY to start? Not sure the 5% is worth fully biting on esp given tomorrow could be eastern NE tho unclear there too. Fun stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 HRRR has several storms along WY/SD border at 00z. Not sure if that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Closing in on Rapid City. Still not entirely sure where to go today. Probably eastern WY to start? Not sure the 5% is worth fully biting on esp given tomorrow could be eastern NE tho unclear there too. Fun stuff. Eastern Wyoming looks to be the place. 4km NAM keeps showing something firing up there and moving it into the Black Hills area by 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Eastern Wyoming looks to be the place. 4km NAM keeps showing something firing up there and moving it into the Black Hills area by 00z. We're in Newcastle now watching the stuff to the west develop before moving in more. Hopefully the best one doesn't run into the heart of the Black Hills. On another note, dews are verifying per model guidance. Lots of high clouds tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 We're in Newcastle now watching the stuff to the west develop before moving in more. Hopefully the best one doesn't run into the heart of the Black Hills. On another note, dews are verifying per model guidance. Lots of high clouds tho. Very nice looking supercell in Wyoming now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Very nice looking supercell in Wyoming now.Beautiful structure https://twitter.com/islivingston/status/468168713716244480And it's following the only road in the area. Tho turning right to the south of it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Sweet https://twitter.com/islivingston/status/468173994240139264 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 Beautiful structure https://twitter.com/islivingston/status/468168713716244480 And it's following the only road in the area. Tho turning right to the south of it now. And it just cost me a windshield!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 Didn't know cars had four windshields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 Didn't know cars had four windshields. Let alone 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 Haha, bad data connection obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN BOX BUTTE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA... SOUTHEASTERN SIOUX COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 715 PM MDT * AT 629 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF LAKE MINATARE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED TORNADO ON THE GROUND. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... KILPATRICK LAKE AROUND 700 PM MDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 And it just cost me a windshield!!Damn that sucks. We only took one or two big ones before bailing. Lots of quarters etc. Gorgeous storm. WY ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 Damn that sucks. We only took one or two big ones before bailing. Lots of quarters etc. Gorgeous storm. WY ftw. Shouldn't be an issue, it's a rental. That was a beautiful storm though so I can't complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 Days 1-3 are a tough forecast for a chasecation. Two distinct areas are about 800 miles apart; so, hedging in DSM or OMA is not an option. I would barely lean High Plains, but one could make a reasonable argument for the Midwest. High Plains have the best low level turning all 3 days. Midwest has best heating Day 2-3. Arrival of jet stream in Midwest improves speed shear Day 3. Midwest is veered at low levels Day 3, but jet stream level wind direction is greater than 270 - still promoting some directional shear. However Day 3 also looks better on the High Plains, thanks to the front lifting back north as a WF. Tie breaker might be Day 3 terrain, favoring High Plains. If today and Day 3 favor High Plains, Day 2 might be a rest day, national/state park, or perhaps structure on the High Plains. Day 2 looks ever so slightly better Midwest; but, the long drive would keep me High Plains since Day 1 and Day 3 I prefer the High Plains. I will save Day 4-8 for the medium/long range thread a little later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 We're staying west of course. Tomorrow looks fairly blah and today may be too. But the 500 low has transitioned from dying out to slowly progressing east so no real reason to wander far from the high plains for a while probably. Southern high plains looks decent later in the week. Verbatim might see storms every day for the next 10 tho some days aren't so hot for supercells perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 Timelapse from the Wyoming cell yesterday https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VoO89cqDgJU#t=85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 20, 2014 Share Posted May 20, 2014 Worst pattern ever http://twitter.com/islivingston/status/468558849658875904/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted May 20, 2014 Share Posted May 20, 2014 Worst pattern ever http://twitter.com/islivingston/status/468558849658875904/photo/1 lol, congrats... but you could work on taking your blessings with a dose of humility. Pattern still sucks. We'll see what Wednesday brings, though. It looks interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 20, 2014 Share Posted May 20, 2014 lol, congrats... but you could work on taking your blessings with a dose of humility. Pattern still sucks. We'll see what Wednesday brings, though. It looks interesting. Haha. Man we see so much **** storms back east it's hard not to get excited. Super high bases at least. Wed does look good. Could be some good days further south after too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 20, 2014 Share Posted May 20, 2014 Nicely done again Ian. As much as we'd love a major outbreak, I'd take one photogenic storm in the High Plains over just about any setup obscured by trees in the East. I too think we'll have more days to sniff out gems in the next week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 20, 2014 Share Posted May 20, 2014 Since tomorrow is my last day out here this month I'm willing to bet that the second half of this week is going to see a few tornadoes. That Wyoming storm was awesome, but I really want to see a few tubes this year so I'm feeling Brett's pain so far this season.(Not counting rain curtains in NE last week) The middle two weeks of June is my last chance besides weekend chases so I hope some of you are right about it being a June year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 20, 2014 Share Posted May 20, 2014 Pretty strong wording in the D2 with a 30% hatched risk in place. DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1227 AM CDT TUE MAY 20 2014 VALID 211200Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH AND MID-MS VALLEY REGION... ..SUMMARY SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WEDNESDAY. VERY LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES MAY ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY. SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS THE OH VALLEY. ..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WEDNESDAY. DESPITE THE NEUTRAL-WEAK HEIGHT RISES IT APPEARS CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN WY...SWD INTO CO. ELY UPSLOPE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW NORTH OF SYNOPTIC FRONT IS EXPECTED TO FORCE 50F+ SFC DEW POINTS TO THE FRONT RANGE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE BY 21Z. NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS REGION ARE QUITE IMPRESSIVE WITH ELY COMPONENT IN THE LOWEST 2KM AND SBCAPE AOA 1500 J/KG AT DEN TO 2000 J/KG AT LIC. SUBSTANTIAL VEERING WITH HEIGHT AND SFC-6KM BULK SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 45KT FAVORS LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST HAIL ALGORITHM SUGGESTS HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES MAY BE NOTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY AND CLOUD BASES SHOULD BE FAIRLY LOW GIVEN THE EXPECTED 20 T/TD SPREADS. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL CONDITIONS SEEM FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES GIVEN THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS COULD EVOLVE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS DURING THE EVENING HOURS AS SUPERCELLS MERGE NEAR THE CO/KS BORDER. AS LLJ INCREASES INTO NEWD-PROPAGATING CONVECTION SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY SPREAD INTO CNTRL KS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...JUST NORTH OF SFC FRONT. HAIL IS THE PRIMARY THREAT AFTER 04Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 20, 2014 Share Posted May 20, 2014 Worst pattern ever http://twitter.com/islivingston/status/468558849658875904/photo/1 Nice man Mike Bettes is analyzing your photos on TWC right now. Very cool shots! I would say the chase was worth it ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 20, 2014 Share Posted May 20, 2014 Wednesday looks pretty good in NE CO/ NW KS... SPC also very much on board with the aforementioned strongly worded 6Z D2 SWO... Best day we might see in a while where you'll have a pretty good shot at getting a tornado IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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