StudentOfClimatology Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 Never implied you were an a-hole, just an internet tough guy that trolls others without putting your money where your mouth is. Want to make a bet? All he did was rib you a bit on flubbed math. We all fail now and again, just laugh it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 ha...I'm actually going to be pissed if we don't get an area wide 18-30" storm...2/12-13 sucked Things have a way of evening out. We see it over and over again for many different reasons. The EC has lacked a high impact VA-ME storm for quite a while. We'll get a solid nesis event. Book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 Next winter will be huge. We are simply in a different regime now. The de-salinization of the North Atlantic and it's effect upon the Gulf Stream combined with an unstable polar vortex are all new players in the game. Global warmers better start looking at the last 15 years rather than the last 50 because I can imagine a panel convening around 2025-2030 asking "how did you miss this...why did you ignore current data and fixate on older" Now we got snow just about every single time we could 2013-2014 so I am uncertain by how much we will exceed 30" at DCA and 40+ in some suburbs but it will be at least that much and likely an overall colder winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 So my 46.5" this year was just a teaser for my 75" next year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 4 out of 3 people have problems with fractions this is 150% correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 So my 46.5" this year was just a teaser for my 75" next year? If you're getting 75 then I'm definitely getting close to 100" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 Next winter will be huge. We are simply in a different regime now. The de-salinization of the North Atlantic and it's effect upon the Gulf Stream combined with an unstable polar vortex are all new players in the game. Global warmers better start looking at the last 15 years rather than the last 50 because I can imagine a panel convening around 2025-2030 asking "how did you miss this...why did you ignore current data and fixate on older" Now we got snow just about every single time we could 2013-2014 so I am uncertain by how much we will exceed 30" at DCA and 40+ in some suburbs but it will be at least that much and likely an overall colder winter. That won't be easy for some of the burbs which have had a brutal winter (esp if you include March), but I can see that happening in a place like DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 I think 12/29/97 and 3/3/98 were 8-12"+ storms far far north and west and there was a decent one in January..that winter was still crappy for most, but I think Manchester still managed 25" and the higher spots in the catoctins got 35-40+ If I'm not mistaken (too lazy to look it up) Jan of 98 is when the 24 hr snowfall record was set in WV...35" or so at Canaan. That was a storm that destroyed the Central and southern Apps. I lived in SWVA at the time and elevations around 1500 feet had no snow, but 2000 feet had about 15". We had early release from school so we took off to Boone to ski. It snowed over 40 " there that day (date ?). It looked crazy on the cars that employees had driven to work that day. We drove home going under and around down trees and power lines. I swear that it snowed flakes that day the size of softballs. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 4 out of 3 people have problems with fractions There are 3 kinds of people in this world ... those who can count and those who can't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 My call ... 11/27 6" 12/3 6" 12/9 6" 12/15 6" 12/25 6" 1/2 6" 1/8 6" 1/12 6" 1/19 6" 1/26 6" 2/1 6" 2/7 6" 2/14 6" 2/19 6" 2/25 6" Total 60" LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 16, 2014 Author Share Posted April 16, 2014 That won't be easy for some of the burbs which have had a brutal winter (esp if you include March), but I can see that happening in a place like DCA. winter temps for Dec-Feb even in the colder stations are easily crushable.....and I don't care about any station in Pennsylvania...If I see the word Pennsylvania in this forum next winter I'll probably be banned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 16, 2014 Author Share Posted April 16, 2014 Sure, Fozz....insurmountable DCA: -0.8 IAD: -2.5 MRB: -1.6 HGR: -2.3 BWI: -1.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 QBO Low Negative NAO El Nino SNOW Historic SNOW 8 more months.... it begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 Sure, Fozz....insurmountable DCA: -0.8 IAD: -2.5 MRB: -1.6 HGR: -2.3 BWI: -1.8 in Fozz's defense, DEC really skewed an otherwise very cold extended winter this year of NOV-MAR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 My call ... 11/27 6" 12/3 6" 12/9 6" 12/15 6" 12/25 6" 1/2 6" 1/8 6" 1/12 6" 1/19 6" 1/26 6" 2/1 6" 2/7 6" 2/14 6" 2/19 6" 2/25 6" Total 60" LOL Mr Consistency....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 QBO Low Negative NAO El Nino SNOW Historic SNOW 8 7 more months.... it begins. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 QBO Low Negative NAO El Nino SNOW Historic SNOW 8 7 6 more months.... it begins. fixed Fixed again. It snows around here in October. Proof: http://1drv.ms/1eX12SP The awesomeness of the Winter of 2014-15 starts in October because, well, because I want it to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 Fixed again. It snows around here in October. Proof: http://1drv.ms/1eX12SP The awesomeness of the Winter of 2014-15 starts in October because, well, because I want it to. not imby.....I got nothing from that (non) event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 not imby.....I got nothing from that (non) event It's a proven fact that Oct snow is a curse more often then a precursor. I'll patiently wait for the Vet day HECS of 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 It's a proven fact that Oct snow is a curse more often then a precursor. I'll patiently wait for the Vet day HECS of 2014. I know you were j/k, but for mby I do believe it....November snows are another matter and usually portend a decent winter (11/13 is the perfect example) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 KLYH Dec 11 5.2 Jan 24th 4.1 Jan 30 11.5 Feb 3 2.2 Feb 7th Major ZR event with 1 inch sleet. Feb 11 15.5 March 4th 2.9 40-50 in LYH and ROA. We blaze after march 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 Fixed again. It snows around here in October. Proof: http://1drv.ms/1eX12SP The awesomeness of the Winter of 2014-15 starts in October because, well, because I want it to. I will stick to mid December for the awesomeness of Winter 2014-15 to commence. Dec 17 to be exact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 4 out of 3 people have problems with fractions For some reason, I'm reminded of that Tom Lehrer skit on New Math from way back... this is 150% correct ...Or, 133.33333333333...% correct (4/3), depending on your math point of view! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Next winter will be huge. We are simply in a different regime now. The de-salinization of the North Atlantic and it's effect upon the Gulf Stream combined with an unstable polar vortex are all new players in the game. Global warmers better start looking at the last 15 years rather than the last 50 because I can imagine a panel convening around 2025-2030 asking "how did you miss this...why did you ignore current data and fixate on older" Now we got snow just about every single time we could 2013-2014 so I am uncertain by how much we will exceed 30" at DCA and 40+ in some suburbs but it will be at least that much and likely an overall colder winter. I love this tremendously! I crave a Little Ice Age! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 Bump with my sig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 I want at least one of the three things below to occur this winter. 1. DCA/BWI/IAD get their first triple-digit snow season 2. DCA/BWI/IAD get their first 36"+ storm 3. Double-digit negative air temps at all three locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 I want at least one of the three things below to occur this winter. 1. DCA/BWI/IAD get their first triple-digit snow season 2. DCA/BWI/IAD get their first 36"+ storm 3. Double-digit negative air temps at all three locations I would say all three, plus a 75 day streak of 4"+ snow-cover at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 I figure if I get 34" from PD III, IAD breaks 3'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 I figure if I get 34" from PD III, IAD breaks 3'. Probably BWI too. DCA would be like 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 18, 2014 Share Posted August 18, 2014 DCA - 15" IAD- 36" KRMB - 40" Leesburg -38" Rockminster - 40" Mapgirl - 175" Stephens City - 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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