thewxmann Posted April 13, 2014 Share Posted April 13, 2014 Not very enthusiastic about the TX storms. They have a kind of anemic look to them, not surprising given that the bulk of the vertical motion is off to the east, and a subsident regime is left behind. They reside in an impressive parameter space but the CINH with time and eastern direction will increase. Kinematic support is waning as well, not sure if there will be any enhancement of the LLJ after sunset. Between now and 01Z is the time for tornadoes to come from those storms before their updrafts get choked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 13, 2014 Share Posted April 13, 2014 Not very enthusiastic about the TX storms. They have a kind of anemic look to them, not surprising given that the bulk of the vertical motion is off to the east, and a subsident regime is left behind. They reside in an impressive parameter space but the CINH with time and eastern direction will increase. Kinematic support is waning as well, not sure if there will be any enhancement of the LLJ after sunset. Between now and 01Z is the time for tornadoes to come from those storms before their updrafts get choked. Agree with this. They looked not bad for a little while there (especially the southernmost of the two), but their echoes are beginning to wane a little bit already. Their prime is probably already past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted April 13, 2014 Share Posted April 13, 2014 And just after I wrote my post, the Stephenville storm evaporates... I haven't been following this event as closely, but from what I've seen in the latest HRRR and from discussions of HRRR in the previous posts, it pretty much bombed this event. NAM was actually not too bad, yesterday night's run and some runs before that showed convection S of the Metroplex and a break in and around it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Looks like a pretty good couplet near Ringling, OK but it's pretty far from the radar site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 New tor warning for the cell sw of Ardmore as it moves se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 That tornado warning is right where the cold front and the dryline are zipping up. I'd have to go back and look, but the last one might have been at the boundary intersection too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 That aforementioned cell is just starting to move into the area of better parameters per SPC meso page. Concern also for new cells developing se of Wichita Falls and on sw as they may impact the DFW metro later this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Some more rotation in Ardmore now on the Northeast side of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 That's a pretty decent looking, right moving cell south of Lone Grove, has become more isolated. What is interesting to me is that the 00z SPC WRF had basically this exact thing at this time with a tail end charlie supercell in a very similar location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 That cell impacting LR right now - any chance of it becoming tornadic? It is headed straight for mama's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSMweather Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Sirens are going off here in Ft. Smith due to the tornado warning here. Some pretty strong straight-line winds came through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 It does look like there was a pretty strong embedded hook/couplet that passed north of Charleston, Branch, and Caulksville, AR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSMweather Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Watching 4029 and they said a tornado was reported in Peter Pander, AR at 9:08 Here is the live wire if anyone is interested. http://www.4029tv.com/live-4029-news/21465972 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 At least it wasn't a total bust day: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Kinda surprised that cell is still going. Might pass me just to the south if it manages to stay alive a couple more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Kinda surprised that cell is still going. Might pass me just to the south if it manages to stay alive a couple more hours. Best, it's looked all day. Might make it to Houston given 6 more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Anyone know if there is confirmation on the supposed brief Oklahoma tornado? Is the streak over? 2258 8 NNE VELMA STEPHENS OK 3456 9761 VERY BRIEF ... REPORTED VIA KWTV (OUN) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Kinda surprised that cell is still going. Might pass me just to the south if it manages to stay alive a couple more hours. Dying as it reaches you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Dying as it reaches you... How many hours has it been since that cell's initiation? 10? I'm pretty surprised it lasted this long... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Anyone know if there is confirmation on the supposed brief Oklahoma tornado? Is the streak over? Well, OUN tweeted about it. https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/455487084262727681 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Apparent video confirmation of Lovelady, TX tornado yesterday with several mobile homes destroyed, one critical injury and damage to the local high school. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dpr806e7_ls&feature=player_detailpage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 ^^ Plenty of instability, but the shear is lacking for really exciting FUNderstorms. Enough speed shear for some marginally severe hail at best, IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 From yesterday's chase in and around Ardmore, OK: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ca7mc5h9PW8&list=UUEXaLo_xhdnyk6JG_-WXvyA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 From yesterday's chase in and around Ardmore, OK: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ca7mc5h9PW8&list=UUEXaLo_xhdnyk6JG_-WXvyA Great catch! That storm had about the best structure I've ever seen from a storm along a "real" cold front (i.e., winterlike temps behind it and surging southward at the time). You sure deserved it, after taking such a monumental risk driving the length of the Plains for this iffy setup. Unfortunately, I was baited south to the dryline, where I had been forecasting a better environment for days leading up. As I arrived on each storm (first one near Mineral Wells, second near Stephenville), they both rapidly fell to the cap within 15 minutes. Decided to cut my losses and ignore the third storm to the south, which then proceeded to last all evening. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Great catch! That storm had about the best structure I've ever seen from a storm along a "real" cold front (i.e., winterlike temps behind it and surging southward at the time). You sure deserved it, after taking such a monumental risk driving the length of the Plains for this iffy setup. Unfortunately, I was baited south to the dryline, where I had been forecasting a better environment for days leading up. As I arrived on each storm (first one near Mineral Wells, second near Stephenville), they both rapidly fell to the cap within 15 minutes. Decided to cut my losses and ignore the third storm to the south, which then proceeded to last all evening. Oh well. Thanks man. Yes, it actually ended up being a fantastic trip. We were able to watch the LP supercells in Kansas the day before and we got 3 separate beauties in OK on Sunday. Some of the most incredible structure I've ever seen coupled with the lighting. The driving never overwhelmed us... we were never that exhausted, and we just plain had fun. We were able to sell enough footage to basically pay for the trip so all-in-all it was almost perfect and we got to test out our new setup. It was also encouraging to note, that with Millenicom and the Wilson Sleek amp, we never once lost 4G. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKevinM Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 Thanks man. Yes, it actually ended up being a fantastic trip. We were able to watch the LP supercells in Kansas the day before and we got 3 separate beauties in OK on Sunday. Some of the most incredible structure I've ever seen coupled with the lighting. The driving never overwhelmed us... we were never that exhausted, and we just plain had fun. We were able to sell enough footage to basically pay for the trip so all-in-all it was almost perfect and we got to test out our new setup. It was also encouraging to note, that with Millenicom and the Wilson Sleek amp, we never once lost 4G. Absolutely the best structure I've ever seen with the Ardmore storms. I would have loved to see a tornado, but just to have the warm weather, thunder, and a gorgeous storm after the winter we've had, it was totally worthwhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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