MikeGold Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I constructed a 45 mile long elevation profile running from near Whittier ENE to Asheville to show differences in rainfall over the last 24 hours. Very typical SW wind event profile. Totals ranged from well over an inch to as low as 0.14 in the rain shadow areas. SW wind moist air invades SW NC and progresses NE. Moisture is squeezed out/maximized in the Plott Balsams then downsloping starts to run rampant in Haywood county. In this particular case, totals increased again near Asheville-in particular East of Asheville perhaps because the mountain wave dampened out at that distance and moist winds with more of a Southerly component invaded the low spots in the Blue Ridge and spread into Buncombe county. Also there may have been some CAPE to work with in those areas as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 Good stuff Mike. Ya Moisture around here was pretty meager. We only picked up about .20 inches of rainfall. Not the soaker I was looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 Cold front on our door steps. I really like the idea of seeing some snow action along the boarder county's. Its going to get very windy and very cold for this time of the year. Wow at the expanse of freeze warnings across the country. Very impressive for Mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Good stuff Mike. Ya Moisture around here was pretty meager. We only picked up about .20 inches of rainfall. Not the soaker I was looking for. Cold front on our door steps. I really like the idea of seeing some snow action along the boarder county's. Its going to get very windy and very cold for this time of the year. Wow at the expanse of freeze warnings across the country. Very impressive for Mid April. I was expecting about 3" of rain on the mtn top but it appears Gulf Coast convection once again robbed it. I need to come up with a decent way to figure out when this is a factor and when it won't be. Regarding snow-looking at the BUFKIT profiles..it depicts the cold air as being very shallow so not really favorable for snow showers but looking at real time SPC meso analysis..certainly shows some overlap of moisture and negative 850 temps headed towards the mtns so who knows. (Temps already in the low 40's on Mt. Mitchell) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 I was expecting about 3" of rain on the mtn top but it appears Gulf Coast convection once again robbed it. I need to come up with a decent way to figure out when this is a factor and when it won't be. Regarding snow-looking at the BUFKIT profiles..it depicts the cold air as being very shallow so not really favorable for snow showers but looking at real time SPC meso analysis..certainly shows some overlap of moisture and negative 850 temps headed towards the mtns so who knows. (Temps already in the low 40's on Mt. Mitchell) Ya sitting right at 48 degrees here. Will be interesting seeing the temps drop during the day in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 Wind whipped rain has arrived. Temps have plummeted to 38 degrees. Might be getting interesting soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Picked up .98 so far radar shows a little more rain to come so I'll probably pass an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Neat stuff Mike! Thanks for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Down to 43.7 in Weaverville. At 6:00 am it was 57! Gonna be a cold windy afternoon & night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Temp has dropped to 30 degrees at Clingman's Dome with significant precip (Freezing rain? Heavy snow?) falling. Despite rather modest radar returns...rain gauge and webcams views confirm heavy showers falling last couple of hours with rainfall totals now up to 1.5" on the mtn top. I noticed that Google Earth now includes a pic somebody took from my observation tower. It is now named the Mount Lyn Lowry Observation Tower. It appears to have become a regular tourist destination.. Ha! If you look left, you can make out the Blue Ridge Parkway and the very top of one of the rain gauges. If you look to the right-you can see Maggie Valley and Ghost Town. Straight ahead is Waterrock Knob. It should be obvious why those gauges are highly exposed during high winds from the South or SW with horizontal rain causing rain catch issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 It is now snowing in the Smokies as of 11:45 AM. GSMNationalParkInfo @gsmnp 2m Snowing / Sleeting over much of the park. No real accumulation yet (nor expected). Roads are slick in spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 We have moderate sleet and snow here at about 3500 feet. Temp is down to 34 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Down to 39.7 in Weaverville. When the precip rates pick up we are getting some sleet & half melted snow flakes mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 Another heavy burst of snow and sleet! Wow is the wind kicking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Low cut itself off earlier then projected, maybe this will get interesting! Sun peaking out downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Flurries falling here in Asheville! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 We've had some bursts of fairly heavy snow & sleet in Weaverville this afternoon. Sure doesn't feel like April out there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Nice sized flakes falling downtown. Nothing on the radar but this reminds me of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 35 degrees and a few flakes flying in East Asheville; tonight puts spring in a coma; so much for having any shade trees for another month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 16, 2014 Author Share Posted April 16, 2014 Wow what a day! Mid April and looked and felt like mid December. We had snow off and on all day and we still have flurries blowing around. Current temp down to 27 degrees! WOOOO do I love this weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 My body is all messed up now, lol. I was just enjoying 85 degrees weather on Saturday and now it's in 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davenc Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 Hiked to obs deck on Brasstown Bald yesterday and today. About 2000' climb. Amazing to experience the change in temp but most impressive were the winds and heavy fog. Monday evening the top (4784') was locked in fog with what I would guess to be gusts upwards of 40mph. Today was much colder with a flake here and there with less wind and by the time I reached the top the clouds were racing just overhead. Super fun hikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted April 16, 2014 Share Posted April 16, 2014 It's 17.4 this morning and breezy with a skiff of snow on the ground. It's April 16, enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 16, 2014 Author Share Posted April 16, 2014 It's 17.4 this morning and breezy with a skiff of snow on the ground. It's April 16, enough. Lol Joe! Was just thinking this is one of the latest dates I think I have seen it drop into the teens. Also 17 degrees here with a skiff on the cars. Had a fire last night and a fire this morning and ya um it is April 16! Another heavy Freeze tonight also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 17, 2014 Author Share Posted April 17, 2014 Another freeze this morning. Low of 25 degrees. Looks like we may get we this Friday into Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted April 18, 2014 Share Posted April 18, 2014 We're moving to our Salter Path home this weekend. Pretty good winter, thanks for putting up with us atmospheric challenged posters. I don't post much in the summer so someone please PM me if a hurricane is coming. Cheers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 18, 2014 Author Share Posted April 18, 2014 We're moving to our Salter Path home this weekend. Pretty good winter, thanks for putting up with us atmospheric challenged posters. I don't post much in the summer so someone please PM me if a hurricane is coming. Cheers! Enjoy Joe! Look like our rainfall amounts are creeping up the more this low moves further inland. Looks like we could get a good dose of rainfall this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 18, 2014 Author Share Posted April 18, 2014 Far from 60 degrees today. So far only made it up to 49 degrees with clouds all day. Radar looks prime for some decent rainfall tonight. Maybe half an inch or more possible. Also don't look know but I do not think we are done with the frost/freezes this season. GFS has been hinting at another cold shot in about the 10 day period and the Euro jumped on board today also. Something to keep an eye on because that would be extremely late especially for the crops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted April 18, 2014 Share Posted April 18, 2014 Too bad about the rain coming into the area... UNCA's baseball game was going to be on ESPN3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 18, 2014 Author Share Posted April 18, 2014 Too bad about the rain coming into the area... UNCA's baseball game was going to be on ESPN3. That's pretty cool. I think the best chance for the rain will be overnight tonight and clear up tomorrow through the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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