Moonhowl Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 These storms that are about to move through in an hour or so are going to wake a few people up. Lots of lightning with them and some pretty heavy rain! Ha, you got that right, woke me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 Wow what a 24 hours. First we received 1.12 inches of rainfall from last night through the morning. We have received about 5 inches of rainfall in just 3 weeks. As Mike alluded to July has turned very wet for the mountains. Well those storms last night were very intense. They knocked out the satellite, the internet modem was fried and one of our TV's got fried. Also had a friend that lives up Hemp hill road who had a large locust tree blown over. Then the beautiful weather set in. We had a high of 70 degrees and we are sitting at a cool 66 degrees and it feels a bit nippy outside and for July this weather is awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 29, 2014 Author Share Posted July 29, 2014 Had a low of 52 degrees this morning and a high of 68. Current temp is 60 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Wow, weather look really good over y'all direction in WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Brother Luke with The Outdoor Gear Review does Grandfather Mountain Overnight Camping Trip up the SE Face on the Daniel Boone Trail: Intro Video Full Video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted July 30, 2014 Share Posted July 30, 2014 Had a low of 52 degrees this morning and a high of 68. Current temp is 60 degrees. Yesterday-it was down to 34 degrees at LeConte! http://www.highonleconte.com/daily-posts/always-new-things-to-learn-on-the-mountain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 30, 2014 Author Share Posted July 30, 2014 Nice Mike! We had a low of 43 degrees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted July 31, 2014 Share Posted July 31, 2014 Excessive Rainfall Warning put out for most of WNC. Looks like things are going to be pretty soggy for the next couple of days. Good thing I will be going to the beach.. but that forecast doesn't look much better! EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSIONNWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD148 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014...VALID 18Z THU JUL 31 2014 - 00Z SAT AUG 02 2014......REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM55 SSE RTN 50 E ROW 40 SSE GDP 10 ENE E38 45 SSE MRF 65 SW MRF60 WSW MRF 65 SE MMCS MMCS 45 SSW LRU 50 SSW DMN 75 ESE DUG20 WSW OLS 80 W OLS 70 S GBN GBN 25 NNE SDL 25 NNE SJN25 SSE GUP 35 WNW 4SL 25 W CPW 30 SE MYP 30 WSW FCS 25 NNW TAD10 S TAD 55 SSE RTN.SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM20 NNE RHP BCB 25 NNW LYH HBI 20 SSW FLO 30 E CHS 30 S CHS35 NW NBC 15 SSE AGS 10 E 3J7 10 WNW LZU 10 S 47A 10 S DNN20 NNE RHP.MODERATE RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM10 SSE GRD 15 W 27A 15 NW CEU 20 SW AVL 20 W MRN 10 NNE HKY10 NNE AKH 25 SW UZA 10 SSE GRD.SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ONGOING CONVECTION IN SC HAS LOWERED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE ACROSSNORTHWEST SC, INCREASING THE OVERALL FLASH FLOOD THREAT FORTONIGHT. A WEAK DISTURBANCE COULD CAUSE SOME CELL TRAINING FROMTHE SC COAST NEAR CHARLESTON INLAND TOWARDS THE TOPOGRAPHY THROUGHTHE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TONIGHT, MAINLY AFTER06Z, 850 HPA INFLOW INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN GA INCREASESOVER 25 KTS WHILE UPSTREAM MOST UNSTABLE CAPES REMAIN ~1000 J/KG(PER RECENT RAP GUIDANCE), SETTING OFF A NEW ROUND OF ORGANIZEDCONVECTION. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE HIGH OUTSIDE OFNORTHWEST SC AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NC, WHICH LIMITS THE OVERALLRISK. HOWEVER, VEERING WINDS IN THE LOW-LEVELS SHOULD ALLOW FORSOME FORWARD PROPAGATION, AND THE FORWARD PROPAGATING CORFIDIVECTORS SUGGEST 20 KTS OF NORTHEAST MOTION FROM NORTHERN GA INTOTHE WESTERN CAROLINAS. AS AN 850 HPA LOW MOVES UP THEAPPALACHIANS, HEAVY RAINS SHOULD SHIFT UP INTO SOUTHWEST VA DURINGTHE DAY TOMORROW. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NEAR THE 90THPERCENTILE FOR LATE JULY/EARLY AUGUST, IN THE 1.75-2" RANGE. THISSUGGESTS RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2" AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE WHERE CELLSBACKBUILD, OR MORE LIKELY, TRAIN. LOCAL AMOUNTS IN THE 3-5" RANGEARE POSSIBLE, WHICH COULD BREACH THE HIGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE.TOWARDS THE NC COAST, THE GUIDANCE IS INCONSISTENT ON A POSSIBLESIGNAL WITHIN OUR SECONDARY RAINFALL MAXIMUM WITHIN THE MARSHES OFEASTERN NC, GENERALLY EAST OF I-95, SO LEFT THEM OUT OF THEEXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREAS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Back in the mountains for the weekend. Surprised to see a flash flood watch. Hasn't even rained enough to wet the ground good and don't see anything on radar to change that. Not complaining but hard to see how they missed it by so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 Back in the mountains for the weekend. Surprised to see a flash flood watch. Hasn't even rained enough to wet the ground good and don't see anything on radar to change that. Not complaining but hard to see how they missed it by so much. The short range models yesterday had he heaviest rain work its way to along the Blue Ridge by this morning...which of course didn't pan out. That happens sometimes when you try to guess on where to place a short-fused Flood Watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted August 1, 2014 Share Posted August 1, 2014 The short range models yesterday had he heaviest rain work its way to along the Blue Ridge by this morning...which of course didn't pan out. That happens sometimes when you try to guess on where to place a short-fused Flood Watch. Not a drop of rain fell overnight despite being under a Flash Flood Watch..this was by far the worse blown forecast of the year-rainwise. It appears low-level convergence East of the Blue Ridge effectively prevented much upslope type rainfall. It wasn't hard to see the bust potential..upslope winds were very modest so any kind of mesoscale process could disrupt the flow quite easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 5, 2014 Author Share Posted August 5, 2014 Was a nice weekend. We had some rain Saturday with a total of .24 inches of rainfall. Today we had heavy rainfall this afternoon with a total of .35 inches of rainfall. It looks like we are in for a really wet period towards the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted August 5, 2014 Share Posted August 5, 2014 NC High Country Friends and Neighbors: Rays Weather is coming out with Apps for their proprietary content for the NC High Country in both an Apple App and an Android Map. It will be a superb app for current conditions in the NC High Country for all of us Outdoor Sportsmen and a great addition for this upcoming winter! The Apple App will be available in the next few days. The Android App is already available: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.raysweather.mobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 6, 2014 Author Share Posted August 6, 2014 Another cool morning by early August standards. So far a low of 53 degrees. Looks like a wet weekend on tape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted August 7, 2014 Share Posted August 7, 2014 I was just looking at records for Asheville and noticed that the airport itself has not recorded a single day above 90 degrees. Last time that occurred? The year of 2009. Also worth noting that the year of 2013 only had one day breaking the barrier of 90 degrees as well. I'm looking forward to this winter in AVL http://www.weather.gov/media/gsp/Climate/AVL/newAVL90degdayperyr.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 The Raysweather Apple for Apple Devices is now available Thursday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 1.06 inches so far today radar looks like a break before more heavy rain tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 9, 2014 Author Share Posted August 9, 2014 1.06 inches so far today radar looks like a break before more heavy rain tonight. Yep the rain must have came in just right for me. Picked up some 1.27 inches of rainfall today. Since July we have been in a very wet pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 10, 2014 Author Share Posted August 10, 2014 The radar has not been impressive but we have been getting moderate rainfall for about 2 and a half hours so far. right know we have picked up .62 inches of rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 10, 2014 Author Share Posted August 10, 2014 The rain just ended and what an impressive afternoon of localized rainfall. We ended up with 1.09 inches of rainfall from about 2:30 until know. What a soaker but it kept temps way down near 70 degrees all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Morning all!, just wanted to give a quick update on the move. We are moved in and sorting thru a lot of junk.....ugh. We start work today which is a transfer to the store I started at. The weather is hot but we are close enough to the beach to get the sea breeze. Typical afternoon thunderstorms but as Mike alluded to the vast majority graze the coast and pound areas just inland from us. Wish you all well & I will post soon when I have more time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Wow, the water look really good but I bet you'll miss the cold at some point this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 11, 2014 Author Share Posted August 11, 2014 Morning all!, just wanted to give a quick update on the move. We are moved in and sorting thru a lot of junk.....ugh. We start work today which is a transfer to the store I started at. The weather is hot but we are close enough to the beach to get the sea breeze. Typical afternoon thunderstorms but as Mike alluded to the vast majority graze the coast and pound areas just inland from us. Wish you all well & I will post soon when I have more time. Navarre.jpg Great to hear from you Don. Hope all keeps going well for you and your family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 12, 2014 Share Posted August 12, 2014 Wow, the water look really good but I bet you'll miss the cold at some point this winter Not the cold so much as I age but, no doubt about it.....when it snows it will just drive me nuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 14, 2014 Author Share Posted August 14, 2014 Nice and cool this morning. Low so far is 52 degrees. Loving this weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 Spent the day in Blowing Rock and now staying the night in Boone. It feels great here. Dews in the upper 40's to low 50's and temps in the 60's, is my kind of August weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 Spent the day in Blowing Rock and now staying the night in Boone. It feels great here. Dews in the upper 40's to low 50's and temps in the 60's, is my kind of August weather. They took out the gelato shop and the Bob Timberlake shop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 Will be heading back to Asheville this Saturday. Looking forward to cooler weather, although this summer isn't too brutal in Central NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 A few stats I put together for my page regarding yearly snowfall amounts at KAVL during weak el ninos, moderate el ninos, & neutral years. I was kind of surprised to find that we average more snowfall at the airport on moderate el nino years compared to the others I investigated. Weak El Nino Years (KAVL Snowfall) 52'-53' 15.7" 53'-54' 9.7" 58'-59' 4.1" 69'-70' 17.3" 76'-77' 13.0" 77'-78' 21.8" 04'-05' 6.6" 06'-07' 4.3" Average: 11.5" Moderate El Nino Years (KAVL Snowfall) 51'-52' 5.7" 63'-64' 25.8" 68'-69' 48.2" 86'-87' 29.5" 91'-92' 1.5" 94'-95' 3.5" 02'-03' 17.9" 09'-10' 39.2" Average 21.4" Neutral Years (KAVL Snowfall) 59'-60' 40.6" 60'-61' 4.0" 61'-62' 22.8" 62'-63' 9.0" 66'-67' 7.8" 67'-68' 15.2" 78'-79' 23.0" 79'-80' 13.8" 80'-81' 14.6" 81'-82' 21.8" 85'-86' 5.0" 89'-90' 3.0" 90'-91' 3.5" 92'-93' 21.2" 93'-94' 11.0" 96'-97' 8.3" 01'-02' 1.6" 03'-04' 14.3" 12'-13' .5" 13'-14' 10.0"+ (data was undetermined from NWS) Average 12.5" Though we don't seem to do as well on weak el nino years, I believe that we develop a nice -nao that will allow Asheville and wnc to have an above average year in snowfall, regardless of what the ENSO does. Here is my map outlook: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 Even the best snow years in Asheville are enough to make a snow lover want to cry! I'm not sure how the Asheville folks endure the abuse especially being surrounded by snowy mountains. Little closer to obtaining a new vacation home at a location that could best be described as snow nirvana. Hopefully will be mine in September... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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