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NNE Spring


mreaves

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Looks like we may have some flooding concerns come weds-thurs

FLOOD WATCHNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME344 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED RISK FOR FLOODING OVER THE NEXTSEVERAL DAYS...MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-131545-/O.NEW.KGYX.FA.A.0004.140413T0744Z-140417T0000Z//00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDOVER...ROXBURY...UPTON...WILSONS MILLS...COBURN GORE...RANGELEY...KINGFIELD...BINGHAM...JACKMAN...RUMFORD...NORWAY...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...FARMINGTON...WILTON...MADISON...SKOWHEGAN...PITTSFIELD...SANFORD...BERWICK...NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEWISTON-AUBURN...LIVERMORE FALLS...AUGUSTA...WATERVILLE...WINTERPORT...UNITY...BIDDEFORD...SACO...OLD ORCHARD BEACH...KITTERY...PORTLAND...SOUTH PORTLAND...WESTBROOK...BATH...TOPSHAM...BOOTHBAY HARBOR...WISCASSET...WALDOBORO...CAMDEN...ROCKLAND...THOMASTON...BELFAST...LINCOLNVILLE...COLEBROOK...BERLIN...LANCASTER...LITTLETON...NORTH CONWAY...LEBANON...HANOVER...PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE...CLAREMONT...NEWPORT...CHARLESTOWN...CONCORD...HOOKSETT...LACONIA...MEREDITH...ROCHESTER...DOVER...SALEM...DERRY...EXETER...PORTSMOUTH...HAMPTON344 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE...  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN WESTERN MAINE...  ANDROSCOGGIN...CENTRAL SOMERSET...COASTAL CUMBERLAND...COASTAL  WALDO...COASTAL YORK...INTERIOR CUMBERLAND...INTERIOR WALDO...  INTERIOR YORK...KENNEBEC...KNOX...LINCOLN...NORTHERN  FRANKLIN...NORTHERN OXFORD...SAGADAHOC...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...  SOUTHERN OXFORD AND SOUTHERN SOMERSET. IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...  BELKNAP...COASTAL ROCKINGHAM...INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM...  MERRIMACK...NORTHERN CARROLL...NORTHERN COOS...NORTHERN  GRAFTON...SOUTHERN CARROLL...SOUTHERN COOS...SOUTHERN  GRAFTON...STRAFFORD AND SULLIVAN.* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING* THE COMBINATION OF MILD TEMPERATURES...RAINFALL...AND SNOW MELT  WILL KEEP MOST RIVERS RUNNING HIGH THROUGH THE PERIOD. SNOW  MELT...RIVER ICE...AND A PERIOD OF RAIN LATER TODAY WILL  CONTRIBUTE TO RISING WATER LEVELS ON AREA RIVERS. VERY MILD  TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL THEN ACCELERATE THE SNOW MELT. A  MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THREAT WILL THEN DEVELOP BY TUESDAY AS  WARM TEMPERATURES AND ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY  RAINFALL MOVE INTO THE REGION.* AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT ANY RIVER FLOODING THROUGH MONDAY  IS LIKELY TO BE MINOR FIELD AND ROAD FLOODING. THE POTENTIAL FOR  MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN THE TUESDAY THROUGH  WEDNESDAY TIME PERIOD ON MAIN STEM RIVERS...AS WELL AS SMALLER  RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ONCURRENT FORECASTS.YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLEFLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BEPREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.&&$$SCHWIBS
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Yeah BTV put out a Flood Watch on Friday for this area, and one of the longest running flood watches I can remember but it's that time of year. Issued Friday morning and valid through Wednesday haha.

Should be more substantial melting with the warm temps Monday and with today's rain brooks , rivers and streams are already running high here and with the potential heavy rain mid week it could be seriously problamatic

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Should be more substantial melting with the warm temps Monday and with today's rain brooks , rivers and streams are already running high here and with the potential heavy rain mid week it could be seriously problamatic

 

Yeah our river in town is running decently, but not near flood.  However, seeing as it drains all of Mansfield's east side and neighboring peaks, along with the considerable SWE left up here, an inch of rain plus 3-5" worth of melt could be interesting.  The upper elevations are near 20" SWE so that may cause some issues if even a fraction of that comes out.  Similar to a thunderstorm sitting over the mountain that dumps several inches of rain into the system.

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It's funny how MADIS thinks all of the U30s and L40s obs in the dreary sector are suspicious. Usually I only see that in the winter in the north country when there's extreme radiational cooling.

http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/raws_ca_monitor.cgi?state=NH&rawsflag=290&timeobs=3&orderby=e&type=0&refrsh=99

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Posted this in the other thread, but wanted to make sure Tamarck saw it.  Wondering what he's got for water content as I'm sure he's still got a decent pack left.  This is pretty darn ripe now.

 

At my 1,500ft plot, the snow is now running >40% water content as of this afternoon.

 

Snowpack is 14-16" deep on level ground at that elevation, and contains a whopping 6-7" of snow-water equivalent.  This is on par with the highest I've seen which is in that 40-50% water range...as last April I had a core with 64" depth and 26" SWE at 3,000ft.

 

 

post-352-0-25497700-1397425949.jpg

 

6.5" SWE

 

post-352-0-47633100-1397425947.jpg

 

16" depth in another spot

 

post-352-0-68440900-1397425948.jpg

 

7" SWE

 

post-352-0-11281600-1397425948.jpg

 

 

 

This is the stuff when you walk through it, there's water pooling in the bottom of your footprint its so moist.

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