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Central PA & Fringes - Autumn dawns


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I should augment my post so as not to sound like the whiny post based on unfounded rationale.

 

It just seems like all signs are pointing to where it may, operative-word "may" be cooler than normal. Although we may see temp swings heat and cool. So while "90 degree days on half a hand" may be a bit silly, it does seem as if they won't be as frequent as in some years.

 

And yes, I know that "average" is 81-85, so that should be expected.

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After last Friday's deluge, the weather turned perfect for the weekend.  I got married on Saturday and you couldn't have asked for better conditions.  

 

Congratulations!  While I'm not going to have the perfect weather you had, I'm just hoping for a 2 hour window, on Friday.

I'm getting married on Friday at Brodhead Creek Park at 1:00 PM.  The weather sites are giving conflicting info, and I was hoping one of you might be able to give me the scoop on what the chances of rain might be between noon and 2:00 pm on Friday.

Have an indoor place as a backup, but it doesn't come close to the beautiful Pennsylvania nature.

 

Thanks

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208 PM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL SCHUYLKILL COUNTY IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...
 
* UNTIL 245 PM EDT
 
* AT 207 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER BRANCHDALE...AND MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  POTTSVILLE...SCHUYLKILL HAVEN...MINERSVILLE...ORWIGSBURG...PORT
  CARBON...TREMONT...FRIEDENSBURG...MARLIN...RENNINGERS...
  FORRESTVILLE...BRANCHDALE...SELTZER...DONALDSON...HECKSCHERVILLE...
  BUCK RUN...BEURYS LAKE...LAKE WYNONAH...CRESSONA...PALO ALTO AND
  GORDON.
 
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 109 AND 118.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.
 
DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. ALTHOUGH A 
TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY 
AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE... SUCH AS A 
BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

Schuylkill County FTW thus far.

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TOR for Columbia / Northumberland / Montour:

 

 

236 PM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN COLUMBIA COUNTY IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...
  EAST CENTRAL NORTHUMBERLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN MONTOUR COUNTY IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...
 
* UNTIL 300 PM EDT
    
* AT 235 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
  NEAR DANVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
 
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BLOOMSBURG...ELYSBURG...CATAWISSA...FERNVILLE AND RUPERT AROUND 240
  PM EDT.
  NUMIDIA...SLABTOWN...MAINVILLE AND KNOEBELS GROVE AROUND 250 PM
  EDT.
  MOUNT CARMEL...KULPMONT...ARISTES...WILBURTON NUMBER ONE...
  WILBURTON NUMBER TWO AND SHUMANS AROUND 300 PM EDT.
 
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE MARION
HEIGHTS...BLOOMSBURG UNIVERSITY AND ESPY.
 
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 225 AND 233.
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1857z velocity capture of the tor warned cell and a very defined couplet. Despite the radar height at this distance from CCX only able to see down to 6800 feet, I'd be confident on saying there's likely something on the ground with this. +60kt in v.-60kt outbound. 

 

post-1507-0-64272000-1400785321_thumb.pn

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4 panel capture of the cell when it was over Reading. Top right frame is the estimated hail size based off of the VIL products (3.26" max in that frame). Bottom left is the Correlation Coefficient product which is showing that the radar beam is getting some major distortion downstream from the cell as it hits the hail inside the cell.

 

post-1507-0-35602800-1400787527_thumb.pn

 

I'll be curious to see what kind of hail damage pics come out of there. CTP facebook is posting hail damage pics from the tornadic storm in Danville and they're impressive. They just posted one of a car with the back windshield broken out.

 

Via CTP facebook (Danville, PA):

post-1507-0-75763300-1400787635_thumb.jp

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4 panel capture of the cell when it was over Reading. Top right frame is the estimated hail size based off of the VIL products (3.26" max in that frame). Bottom left is the Correlation Coefficient product which is showing that the radar beam is getting some major distortion downstream from the cell as it hits the hail inside the cell.

 

attachicon.gifreading_hail.png

 

I'll be curious to see what kind of hail damage pics come out of there. CTP facebook is posting hail damage pics from the tornadic storm in Danville and they're impressive. They just posted one of a car with the back windshield broken out.

 

Via CTP facebook (Danville, PA):

attachicon.gif10397160_721107954606961_8731239701431155546_o.jpg

i was just telling Tom (wmpt) about that picture. looks like some dents in the car too.

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