TalcottWx Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 7:52 PM, Ginxy said: Watch how quick it is destroyed by cold water, best winds eastit looks further nw than I thought it would be right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 I'm not concerned with wind, never that strong to the west of the path. Rain and flash flooding will be the big story with the stalled front. I bet we see some 5" plus rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 7:52 PM, Ginxy said: Watch how quick it is destroyed by cold water, best winds east Destroy the wind, wring out the water. Somebody getting drenched? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 No question it has been trending west. Am really surprised about the west trend farther north. Generally its wagons east with TC's off of NE. Models just all too quick with the front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Looks west, and healthy. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 5 pm advisory is out, TS warning for ACK and eastern Cape Cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 8:56 PM, dan11295 said: 5 pm advisory is out, TS warning for ACK and eastern Cape CodKevin evacuated yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 This could be the rain our crispy yards are crying for: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Thinking this passes over or very close (just east) to Nantucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 GFS still looks near BM or just inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Anyone want to explain why the west trend? Is it quicker forward speed so the front hasn't had a chance to kick it east, or is it the trough digging a little deeper? Just curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 10:17 PM, ackwaves said: Anyone want to explain why the west trend? Is it quicker forward speed so the front hasn't had a chance to kick it east, or is it the trough digging a little deeper? Just curious.Ask Forky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 It's a bit quicker which may be part of It. However I still would not be surprised if the 00z early cycle corrected a bit to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 10:34 PM, CoastalWx said: It's a bit quicker which may be part of It. However I still would not be surprised if the 00z early cycle corrected a bit to the SE. Thanks, Scott. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 10:34 PM, CoastalWx said: It's a bit quicker which may be part of It. However I still would not be surprised if the 00z early cycle corrected a bit to the SE. The east movement everyone has been waiting for has definitely begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 11:08 PM, JC-CT said: The east movement everyone has been waiting for has definitely begun. In the end I think it goes probably over the BM or a hair SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 11:32 PM, CoastalWx said: In the end I think it goes probably over the BM or a hair SE. Any thoughts on probable locations for ultra-flood banding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 On 7/3/2014 at 11:37 PM, PeabodyFlood said: Any thoughts on probable locations for ultra-flood banding? Just depends where it sets up. It could be something like one band sets up into RI and maybe ectrl MA and then the uber stuff over SE MA and the Cape. Of course 25 miles means anything. You can't rule out a track just inside the BM either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Meh.... just hope it rains for a change. I'll say my winds don't gust beyond 30 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 The SPC WRF is a deluge. http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/spcprod/12/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 This is an awesome storm for early July. We're pretty lucky it's skipping east....I'm kind of amazed we're seeing something make a run at us this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 On 7/4/2014 at 12:18 AM, PolarVortex said: This is an awesome storm for early July. We're pretty lucky it's skipping east....I'm kind of amazed we're seeing something make a run at us this early. Bertha in 96 was a good one in July too, but this is early. It just happens to be a homebrew storm that allows for a close pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Seems like models are converging on a track just inside the benchmark. The adjusted NHC track looks ok to me. My yard is thirsty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Early cycle 00z guidance sort of stay similar to 18z it seems. Just SE of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 On 7/4/2014 at 1:36 AM, CoastalWx said: Early cycle 00z guidance sort of stay similar to 18z it seems. Just SE of ACK.is my 6am flight to fll sat looking ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 On 7/4/2014 at 2:05 AM, sbos_wx said: is my 6am flight to fll sat looking ok? Should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 On 7/4/2014 at 2:07 AM, CoastalWx said: Should be.Very good!Wind picking up. Must be elevated instability to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Man Hat is going to get rocked, will be in worst bands soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 On 7/4/2014 at 1:04 AM, SouthCoastMA said: Seems like models are converging on a track just inside the benchmark. The adjusted NHC track looks ok to me. My yard is thirsty You ain't kidding. Can't buy a drop here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted July 4, 2014 Share Posted July 4, 2014 Can a met other than Forky tell us whether Forky was right for the right reasons? He was right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.