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April 2014 General Discussion


Geos

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hit 71 earlier today, then down to 49 around 5pm, now back up to 63 and still rising. Rain totals haven't panned out here. Not even close.

Rain totals have been lower than expected so far, but there is a large complex of showers/storms lifting northeast from central IL that looks like it'll make it up this way. We'll see how much additional rain we can add from that.

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It's been pouring here for the last 15 minutes here. Will probably be close to 0.75" for the day.

 

As of 9:30pm - 0.76" has fallen today. 1.02" for the whole event so far.

 

Picture of some ground fog earlier today. Ground was quite warm and it was steaming as the cold rain started.

 

post-7389-0-23773000-1397445094_thumb.jp

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Quite a change in temps here today...

 

Made it up to 69 around 12:30. The lake breeze hit and dropped it back to the upper 40's-low 50's for the rest of the afternoon/evening. Bottomed out at 45 around 7:30...and have now jumped from 46 to 60 in the past 15min.

 

Should continue upward into the mid-60's based on OBS.

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we had about 1.5 inches here last night and then a couple torrential downpours in t storms already this evening. Amazing the difference between here and your area.

This result is pretty standard with these well developed systems.  This is why I don't typically enjoy these well developed systems.  Models try to sucker me into them by putting 1-2" of QPF here yet we will end up with <0.5".  This particular storm system has been even worse with <0.05" IMBY (I just missed the rogue 5 minute storm Saturday evening by 1 mile).  Everything else has remained pretty much north and west of 69.  Knowing is half the battle and I know these type of systems results IMBY.  I still hate it but I know it is going to happen (shame on me for hoping differently :lol: ) .

 

Outside of MBY the models seemed to do pretty darn well for areas to my west and north.

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4.52" of rain here, our biggest event since August 2009.  We needed rain and we sure got it.  The system was an underperformer along/southeast of the low track, but an overperformer nw of the track.

 

 

models were slowly but consistently shifting the heaviest QPF axis NW into your area in the days leading up to the event...wouldn't call it much of an underperformer as the writing was on the wall.

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000
SXUS73 KMKX 140716 RRA
RERMKX

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE
216 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT MILWAUKEE WI...

A RECORD RAINFALL OF 1.49 INCHES WAS SET AT MILWAUKEE WI
YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 1.35 SET IN 1876.

$
DDV

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