Ian Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 12z Euro bailed on the low along the front stalling and pummeling idea. who'd have thunk it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Well. 12z Euro calmed down a bit. The low is further north than last night's run and the whole system is less juicy (though it's still really juicy). At least in the sense that it's only dropping 1.3"~ in liquid on DCA rather than the 4.2" featured in yesterday's Euro Run of the Century. All rain. This will be an interesting system to watch regardless of what it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 12z Euro bailed on the low along the front stalling and pummeling idea. who'd have thunk it. Yea, but the odds of the MA getting a good mid apr snow are about the same as tourney tip uconn odds winning the championship. whoooda thunkit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 12z Euro bailed on the low along the front stalling and pummeling idea. who'd have thunk it. Noob question here - was the model reacting to the intensity of the precip along the tail end of the front, inventing a low, and then going from there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Noob question here - was the model reacting to the intensity of the precip along the tail end of the front, inventing a low, and then going from there? It's all upstairs @ h5. Without closing off there won't be a crawling dynamic ull with cold feed. 12z euro dropped that idea. Even if it does close off it will take more than just cold air to the N to produce wintry precip. It would likely have to happen at night and take a perfect track so the best dynamics on the NW side of the ull pass overhead. Similar to what the ull on the 30th did. Mid Apr is a much different beast than late march. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Yea, but the odds of the MA getting a good mid apr snow are about the same as tourney tip uconn odds winning the championship. whoooda thunkit?There was precedent for them being awesome. Not so much for us and April snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 9, 2014 Share Posted April 9, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 9, 2014 Share Posted April 9, 2014 Admittedly, I have little insight into what exactly the 1 or 2 runs of the Euro actually depicted, because its clearly Spring and I dont care. But just a hunch that the model really did not have a 10" + snowstorm verbatim, for coastal areas of MD, DE, NJ etc. More like RIP fake Weatherbell snow maps, and they should seriously find something more constructive to do with their time and talent than generating ridiculously inaccurate(but pretty) maps for modeled snow in mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 9, 2014 Share Posted April 9, 2014 Admittedly, I have little insight into what exactly the 1 or 2 runs of the Euro actually depicted, because its clearly Spring and I dont care. But just a hunch that the model really did not have a 10" + snowstorm verbatim, for coastal areas of MD, DE, NJ etc. More like RIP fake Weatherbell snow maps, and they should seriously find something more constructive to do with their time and talent than generating ridiculously inaccurate(but pretty) maps for modeled snow in mid April. Ha - good point about Wxbell. You know, it's funny - the european ensembles continue to show some snow. 11 of the 50 from the noon run have a trace or more at DCA. 9 have an inch or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted April 9, 2014 Share Posted April 9, 2014 Ha - good point about Wxbell. You know, it's funny - the european ensembles continue to show some snow. 11 of the 50 from the noon run have a trace or more at DCA. 9 have an inch or more. hey, always go with the ensembles if they're showing snow for DCA even in mid-April, I'm in.........sane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 Euro is back to showing a snowstorm....looks like 4-5 inches for Leesburg lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 Latest ECMWF snowmaps from Wxbell are a doozy with snow all the way down to the Bay... But looking at temps suggests light snow well to the NW of the DC around the PA/MD/WV border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 Latest ECMWF snowmaps from Wxbell are a doozy with snow all the way down to the Bay... But looking at temps suggests light snow well to the NW of the DC around the PA/MD/WV border Wunderground says 2-4". So flakes maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 Latest ECMWF snowmaps from Wxbell are a doozy with snow all the way down to the Bay... But looking at temps suggests light snow well to the NW of the DC around the PA/MD/WV border I heard that NIH is experimenting with Wxbell snow maps as a possible antidepressant for depressed snow lovers. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 All I'm looking for Wed night is a mass slaughter of the overly eager bugs that emerge this weekend. Let's do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 I'm out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 Kinda suprised that we got zero April snow. You would think we'd at least see mood flakes after the snow continued through March unabated. I guess the snow finally looked at the calendar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 I'm out. Why would you go in..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 Kinda suprised that we got zero April snow. You would think we'd at least see mood flakes after the snow continued through March unabated. I guess the snow finally looked at the calendar. I'm not sure why anyone would be surprised about missing out on April snow. We're not NNE or the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 I'm in. 1-2 inches, calling it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 I'm calling SnowTV tuned into the local gov channel with coverage of a hearing for deciding whether or not to re-stripe a parking lot or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 What's the weather going to be like at 11:59 pm on the 15th? Will I be able to drop off my taxes without hassle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 I LIKE the latest european ensemble run. Seven members have 6" or more of wxbell snow for DCA - probably 10 for IAD. Ensemble mean for DCA is 1.2" of snow. The median (more accurate in this case) is...0" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 What's the weather going to be like at 11:59 pm on the 15th? Will I be able to drop off my taxes without hassle? Drop them off at my house with a blank check. I'll take good care of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 In the next two weeks, the AO and NAO crash; the PNA soars; and well you know......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 All I'm looking for Wed night is a mass slaughter of the overly eager bugs that emerge this weekend. Let's do it. The overly eager bugs were out weeks ago, and froze. Bugs are out. And so am I. Out. Its Spring. April snow is impotent and irrelevant. Stop looking at snow fiction on the Euro and go mow your chick weed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 The overly eager bugs were out weeks ago, and froze. Bugs are out. And so am I. Out. Its Spring. April snow is impotent and irrelevant. Stop looking at snow fiction on the Euro and go mow your chick weed Ha. Well then let's kill them again! In my opinion, you can't kill bugs enough times. If temps truly hit 28F at DCA Thursday night (doubtful......) then we'll have a record low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 Gfs now shows about .5-1" for northern areas. This airmass looks pretty darn cold for mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 80's the day before, the ground would be too warm for accumulations outside of the higher terrain. What a setup tho, dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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