SnoSki14 Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 As long as Canada's cold, then you can't say for sure we'll see any sustained warmer periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 Light rain here at 47F, not the upper 50s that were predicted. I think temps will spike 5-10 degrees as soon as the clearing in Western NJ gets to us in about 30 minutes to 1 hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 I think temps will spike 5-10 degrees as soon as the clearing in Western NJ gets to us in about 30 minutes to 1 hour. Finally getting some sun..temp 52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 I have some filtered sunshine here already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 Took long enough, was supposed to get into the low to mid 60s today but only just now rising into the low 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 Sun's out, day is salvaged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 Temp steadily rising now. Already up to 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 Pretty crappy day overall..sun just came out in time for nothing! Rain off and on all day. Forcast bust today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 As long as Canada's cold, then you can't say for sure we'll see any sustained warmer periods. A real contrast here to 2010 and 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 The 12z Euro Ensemble mean has a decent-sized SE ridge in 11-15 day period, with a trough in the West Coast. However, higher heights over Alaska/NW Canada, mean will probably get some strong cold fronts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 Beautiful outside. Just finished playing baseball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 Beautiful outside. Just finished playing baseball. Yeah, nice night for some outdoor exercise. Comfortable in a t-shirt at 50F after sundown... I feel like a native of Yellowknife or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 The 00z GFS almost cuts off the low on Monday to our southwest. In any event ~1.50" of rain between now and Tuesday morning region wide with crappy showery conditions lasting well into Tuesday. In between both systems we manage to pull off a decent weekend. The wildcard still exists for what happens towards the middle of next week as yet another piece of energy drops into the base of the trough. Right now the ECMWF/GFS/GGEM all show weak development down south that gets pushed offshore, but that needs to be monitored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 Thursday night looks wet with rain moving in around midnight. Gfs nailed that while euro was squashing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 The 0z Euro has highs has NYC and NE NJ in lower 60s today. Then it looks miserable, with temps dropping into lower to middle 40s tonight and tomorrow with more light rain and drizzle. This weekend still looks good however with highs in the 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 The 0z Euro has highs has NYC and NE NJ in lower 60s today. Then it looks miserable, with temps dropping into lower to middle 40s tonight and tomorrow with more light rain and drizzle. This weekend still looks good however with highs in the 50s. Looking at some longer range models this morning towards the end of this month a transition to warmer or average to slightly above average temps may start creeping. Who knows this may be our turn to more consistent warmer weather finally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 Looking at some longer range models this morning towards the end of this month a transition to warmer or average to slightly above average temps may start creeping. Who knows this may be our turn to more consistent warmer weather finally how accurate have the "longer range models" been ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 Well even the first part of the month won't be terrible, looks below but nothing crazy at the moment. Even slightly below going forward sounds pretty good when average highs start to climb into and through the 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 Friday night could see a period of heavy rain, with the triple-point low and pwats rising to between 1.2" - 1.4": Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 Looking at some longer range models this morning towards the end of this month a transition to warmer or average to slightly above average temps may start creeping. Who knows this may be our turn to more consistent warmer weather finally The JMA is finally hinting at a warmer SE Ridge pattern here later this month from day 17-30. We'll have to see how far NW the warmer temps initially over the MA can push to catch at least a brief break from any backdoor potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 The 0z Euro has highs has NYC and NE NJ in lower 60s today. Then it looks miserable, with temps dropping into lower to middle 40s tonight and tomorrow with more light rain and drizzle. This weekend still looks good however with highs in the 50s. Typical spring 'round these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 The rain out west does look pretty intense. The 12z GFS looked wet through Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 The rain out west does look pretty intense. The 12z GFS looked wet through Saturday night. That all falls before 5 am saturday morning on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 12z Euro is only .50"-.75" of scattered rain from tonight until 2am Saturday. Completely dry for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 12z Euro is only .50"-.75" of scattered rain from tonight until 2am Saturday. Completely dry for the weekend. The Euro has been too dry and the radar out west looks impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 The Euro has been too dry and the radar out west looks impressive. It has? The Euro nailed yesterday from 5 days out. While the GFS and other models had .50"+, the euro consistently said shredded by the confluence and the verification was shredded and only trace amounts of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 It has? The Euro nailed yesterday from 5 days out. While the GFS and other models had .50"+, the euro consistently said shredded by the confluence and the verification was shredded and only trace amounts of rain. Plenty of rain fell yesterday in spots, just maybe not over your backyard. Not to mention, the Euro has been terribly inconsistent lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 Plenty of rain fell yesterday in spots, just maybe not over your backyard. Not to mention, the Euro has been terribly inconsistent lately. Showers fell yesterday west of the city. .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 Showers fell yesterday west of the city. .. Your point? To quote the great Earthlight from yesterday. The rain later this morning looks steady and maybe even somewhat heavy at times as it moves eastward. HRRR has this pinpointed. Although clouds may thin later today, the NAM is going to end up being way too warm with its mid 60's temperature forecast from yesterday. The later part of this week looks terrible with a warm front to our south and easterly winds here. We'll see who has the last today. My call is for ~1.00" region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 3, 2014 Share Posted April 3, 2014 Well what underwhelmed yesterday overwhelmed today, mid 60s now above forecast upper 50s for today. The dreaded easterly flow this time of year will make tomorrow feel entirely different, low to mid 40s for highs on Friday with cloudy skies and rain is ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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