bluewave Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Except it totally missed the + departures in the eastern 3rd of the country. Those should decline over the next 10 days as we see mostly near to below normal temps over our area. The original idea of warmer West and Southeast looks good with the coldest temps over the Lakes and Midwest. It was just hinting at slightly below normal here for the month. Central Park is at +0.5 down from +3.5 over a week ago. Maybe NYC finishes the month 0 to -1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Ray taking Pazzo to school Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Storms incoming from PA. A few warned cells west of Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 Storms incoming from PA. A few warned cells west of Philly. And so begins another "severe" storm season watching cells weaken as they cross the Delaware (but somehow manage to refire and blast Monmouth county) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 22, 2014 Share Posted April 22, 2014 And so begins another "severe" storm season watching cells weaken as they cross the Delaware (but somehow manage to refire and blast Monmouth county)Southern NJ is better for storms, flat terrain and sometimes the outflow boundaries interact favorably with the sea breeze fronts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 And so begins another "severe" storm season watching cells weaken as they cross the Delaware (but somehow manage to refire and blast Monmouth county) so much fun…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 so much fun…. Getting some nasty sprinkles at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 And so begins another "severe" storm season watching cells weaken as they cross the Delaware (but somehow manage to refire and blast Monmouth county) Not in the summer season unfortunately...we're not nearly as lucky. We're a magnet for snow but it's the polar opposite for convection. I've lost count of the number of times T-storms looked healthy crossing through Mercer County, only to collapse once to Englishtown. Whether it's loss of instability, poor timing, or another factor, the caveat always seems to shine through. Those who have been around this area long have told me that the 80s and 90s were much more active T-storm wise here. 2000 and onward has sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Not in the summer season unfortunately...we're not nearly as lucky. We're a magnet for snow but it's the polar opposite for convection. I've lost count of the number of times T-storms looked healthy crossing through Mercer County, only to collapse once to Englishtown. Whether it's loss of instability, poor timing, or another factor, the caveat always seems to shine through. Those who have been around this area long have told me that the 80s and 90s were much more active T-storm wise here. 2000 and onward has sucked.That's also true here on the island. Growing up I can remember multiple squall lines with legit 60mph plus winds. The 98 derecho being the biggest and best. Since then we haven't had a single event qualify as severe wind wise at my current location! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 . It won't rain constantly but it could be steadier and heavier at times and it's the type of storm that fills up the reservoirs. They are already full and the drainages above them are still wet with plenty of flowing surface water. We really don't need the rain in the watershed areas right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 They are already full and the drainages above them are still wet with plenty of flowing surface water. We really don't need the rain in the watershed areas right now. I was mainly talking about hydrology issues. We've been laying the groundwork the past few weeks for significant issues down the road if this wet pattern persists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 It's it me or is "leaf out" going to be very late this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 It's it me or is "leaf out" going to be very late this year? With this next pattern for the next ten days or so im thinking that we may not statt having a consistent leaf out till mid may. Who knows maybe mikehobbyist call of leaf out in june may not be all that inaccurate. I was off yesterday and 95% of the trees i have to go up to see an actual bud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 With this next pattern for the next ten days or so im thinking that we may not statt having a consistent leaf out till mid may. Who knows maybe mikehobbyist call of leaf out in june may not be all that inaccurate. I was off yesterday and 95% of the trees i have to go up to see an actual bud. We have budding but it seems to be taking much longer than previous years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Pretty windy today. Sustained at about 23 Mph here in jersey city at the marina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Impressive blocking pattern to close out the month and start May. This will be the biggest NAO drop since last October. The first two closed lows pull down cooler air the next few days as they exit New England. The third one next week will originate further west so it will be wet in addition to cool. I guess the six month run of the NAO failing to drop to -1 or lower had to end sooner or later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Impressive blocking pattern to close out the month and start May. This will be the biggest NAO drop since last October. The first two closed lows pull down cooler air the next few days as they exit New England. The third one next week will originate further west so it will be wet in addition to cool. I guess the six month run of the NAO failing to drop to -1 or lower had to end sooner or later. f120.gif f204.gif nao.sprd2.gif Too bad it couldn't be 2-3 months ago. This pretty much guarantees a cold, rainy, and raw stretch to end the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Is this a new designation? I remember getting red flag warnings but never a fire weather watch ..FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNINGTHROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITYFOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE REGION...* AFFECTED AREA...THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE REGION.* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 18 PERCENT.* TIMING...LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE SPREAD POSSIBLE IF IGNITION OCCURS.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONSARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLERED FLAG WARNINGS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Not new, have had them forever. Not sure about how common they are used in Eastern Region, but out here we use them all the time. Is this a new designation? I remember getting red flag warnings but never a fire weather watch ..FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNINGTHROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITYFOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE REGION...* AFFECTED AREA...THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE REGION.* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 18 PERCENT.* TIMING...LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE SPREAD POSSIBLE IF IGNITION OCCURS.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONSARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLERED FLAG WARNINGS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Finally getting to the time of year where even a cooler day is nice out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Finally getting to the time of year where even a cooler day is nice out. That's your opinion though. Not a fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 That's your opinion though. Not a fact. Man, thanks for this insightful clarification! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Damn, some places NW of Boston are over 2" of rain already today. Eastern New England taking a pounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Man, thanks for this insightful clarification! The sky is blue today with puffy white clouds...opinion or fact? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 The sky is blue today with puffy white clouds...opinion or fact? Opinion. To me, the sky is azure if not cerulean, and the clouds consist of streaks, undulations, and bumps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Man, thanks for this insightful clarification! some people might not think today is a nice day at all. I live on a houseboat. Windy, cool days aren't too pleasent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 It's overcast here and windy. It's in the upper 50's and the wind is making it feel like an early March day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Finally getting to the time of year where even a cooler day is nice out unless you live on a houseboat or in a treehouse. Better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Better? Haha, nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 23, 2014 Share Posted April 23, 2014 Enjoy the nice weather on Sunday because next week is going to be down right miserable for a lot of folks here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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