IsentropicLift Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 another garbage wxbell snowmap Notice the ? Regardless the 7"+ of QPF is pretty insane, regardless of precip type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 the 850 0c line never gets SE of high point. that map is impossible Okay I think everyone here is smart enough to know that that map won't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Okay I think everyone here is smart enough to know that that map won't verify. Really? Crap, I was hoping to bring my snowblower out of storage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 The Euro snowfall maps show sleet/freezing rain as "snow". 850mb temps are warm, while surface temps are dropping into middle 20s. The solution itself is too crazy to take seriously, at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 omg, the day 8 euro shows a crazy solution. btw, you didn't even read the contours right. the max is under 7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 omg, the day 8 euro shows a crazy solution. btw, you didn't even read the contours right. the max is under 7" who cares, it's slow this time of year...OMG he posted a fantasy map, OMG, the site is horrible! call the mods! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 It was very evident yesterday that we would not get those heavy amounts the euro was printing out. Gfs did well with this The gfs was too dry. Both models busted. One too wet (euro) one to dry (gfs). The truth as often is the case, was found somewhere in the middle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Well the 12z GFS goes nuts with the system now for the middle of next week. 5"+ of rain over a large area. All courtesy of a very potent, moisture packed 500mb low that cuts off to our southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Some temps between 12pm -12:30pm: NYC 62 EWR 64 TEB 64 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Good BDCF signal for Sunday before we torch Monday and cool down Tuesday ahead of the rainstorm that hopefully doesn't turn into what the gfs depicts. Very nice week in general though with mostly 60s so a few degrees above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Good BDCF signal for Sunday before we torch Monday and cool down Tuesday ahead of the rainstorm that hopefully doesn't turn into what the gfs depicts. Very nice week in general though with mostly 60s so a few degrees above normal. I think as currently modeled the BDCF stays northeast of our area in New England on Sunday. The Euro is the only aggressive model. We'll need to see more troughing and a stronger surface high northeast of us to start talking about big impacts from a BDCF here. You can see this on the DGEX: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/DGEXEAST_6z/f132.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 I think as currently modeled the BDCF stays northeast of our area in New England on Sunday. The Euro is the only aggressive model. We'll need to see more troughing and a stronger surface high northeast of us to start talking about big impacts from a BDCF here. You can see this on the DGEX: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/DGEXEAST_6z/f132.gif This is the 12z GFS today on Sunday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 If the GFS is correct, that's more than enough impetus for a backdoor cold front through our area. 1028-29mb surface high east of New England, actually pretty ideal for a strong backdoor blowing through. Thursday-Saturday look quite warm, then I think the largest positive departure day will be Monday in advance of the FROPA. The resurgence of the -EPO regime should ensure a return to normal to below normal temperatures for the middle to latter portion of April. Going to be tough to get sustained warmth in here until potentially the end of April or early May. Weeklies and NAEFS agree on the coolish regime for April 14th-25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 I think as currently modeled the BDCF stays northeast of our area in New England on Sunday. The Euro is the only aggressive model. We'll need to see more troughing and a stronger surface high northeast of us to start talking about big impacts from a BDCF here. You can see this on the DGEX: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/DGEXEAST_6z/f132.gif Oftentimes the backdoor fronts and troughing become more pronounced with time. I can remember a number of occasions where we were supposed to be warm 3-4 days out from one only to see it plow through in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 And this time of year the oceans are still very cold so a BDCF wouldn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Oftentimes the backdoor fronts and troughing become more pronounced with time. I can remember a number of occasions where we were supposed to be warm 3-4 days out from one only to see it plow through in the end. I agree with that. Just saying that as its modeled currently it doesn't look too dramatic. We'll see if it trends stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 -10 850s on the ggem in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 12z Euro looks less aggressive than the GFS with the backdoor cold front on Sunday. Monday is in the mid-upper 70s for the inland areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Does the 12z EURO still have the cold storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Does the 12z EURO still have the cold storm?of course not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 The storm is still there on the Euro, just a lot more progressive than the GFS and its previous run. Snow maps still spitting out a warning criteria snowfall for the interior northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Does the 12z EURO still have the cold storm? Nope. I want more snow but not likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 The 12z Euro has 850mb temps around 17C by 0z Tuesday, with a southerly flow. If that were push in here sooner, we could see 80+ degree temps for the inland areas on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Anyone know if Friday is going to be a washout? Im supposed to play golf in the afternoon in Sussex county..mainstream weather says 40 % chance of showers..agree? Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Anyone know if Friday is going to be a washout? Im supposed to play golf in the afternoon in Sussex county..mainstream weather says 40 % chance of showers..agree? Sent from my SCH-I545 Havent seen todays Euro but it seemed maybe showery during the day, with a weak low pressure riding the front overnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Havent seen todays Euro but it seemed maybe showery during the day, with a weak low pressure riding the front overnight? I can live with "showery" it's a downpour that I hate playing in.. Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 The 12z Euro has scattered activity all day on Friday before steadier rain moves in overnight into Saturday morning. 0.50"+ of rain for the event with over an inch in SE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Nope. I want more snow but not likely. There's a better chance we find Jimmy Hoffa this afternoon buried under the Chrysler Building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 There's a better chance we find Jimmy Hoffa this afternoon buried under the Chrysler Building. There is one elevator in the Chrysler Bldg that really acts up. Random buttons light up and it just stops at random floors sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 Nope. I want more snow but not likely. You need to seek professional help ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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