Weathergun Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 The band is pivoting east more now, so the snow shouldn't last much longer over any one area. The sky is starting to brighten here in Manhattan. The band is also shrinking. So places east shouldn't see as much. ISP also reported .57 liquid in the past 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 12z OKX sounding was definitely unstable: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 I guess we were all affected in some way. I think it will make us stronger, though. Bro, I like you, but what is this? If this was forecasted, I agree, it wouldn't be that big of a deal. But people were not prepared for it. Hell, it caught most of us by surprise. And on a Monday morning rush hour, no less. And from a wx weenie perspective, just watching this set up was hella-cool. C'mon... we live for "good" busts like this! And finally, I know a couple of inches of slush isn't as sexy as a 20" HECS... but a couple inches of slush is the reason I have a rod and screws in my leg, and I'm still hopping around on crutches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 It's no big deal, just 4-6" of unforecasted heavy snows during morning rush hour on roads traveled by millions. Very lake effect like with the narrow band of intense snowfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Bro, I like you, but what is this? If this was forecasted, I agree, it wouldn't be that big of a deal. But people were not prepared for it. Hell, it caught most of us by surprise. And on a Monday morning rush hour, no less. And from a wx weenie perspective, just watching this set up was hella-cool. C'mon... we live for "good" busts like this! And finally, I know a couple of inches of slush isn't as sexy as a 20" HECS... but a couple inches of slush is the reason I have a rod and screws in my leg, and I'm still hopping around on crutches. Just from a mesoscale perspective, this was a very impressive event indeed. Just that warrants discussion, besides the major impacts on a million plus people during Monday rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Bro, I like you, but what is this? If this was forecasted, I agree, it wouldn't be that big of a deal. But people were not prepared for it. Hell, it caught most of us by surprise. And on a Monday morning rush hour, no less. And from a wx weenie perspective, just watching this set up was hella-cool. C'mon... we live for "good" busts like this! And finally, I know a couple of inches of slush isn't as sexy as a 20" HECS... but a couple inches of slush is the reason I have a rod and screws in my leg, and I'm still hopping around on crutches. Fair enough, surprise snow is a nice bonus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Just from a mesoscale perspective, this was a very impressive event indeed. Just that warrants discussion, besides the major impacts on a million plus people during Monday rush hour. Definitely warrants the discussion. Some people need to work on the histrionics though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 The PNS: 000 NOUS41 KOKX 311528 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-010328- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1128 AM EDT MON MAR 31 2014 THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 8 HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT CONNECTICUT ...FAIRFIELD COUNTY... SHELTON 0.8 936 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 0.7 956 AM 3/31 COOP OBSERVER NEW CANAAN 0.5 839 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER ...NEW HAVEN COUNTY... NORTH HAVEN 3.5 1001 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER MERIDEN 3.0 904 AM 3/31 PUBLIC NORTH HAVEN 3.0 1042 AM 3/31 PUBLIC HAMDEN 2.5 1034 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER WOODBRIDGE 2.5 1113 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER EAST HAVEN 2.5 941 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER GUILFORD 1.5 1024 AM 3/31 PUBLIC WOLCOTT 0.7 1001 AM 3/31 PUBLIC NEW YORK ...NASSAU COUNTY... ALBERTSON 1.3 1021 AM 3/31 PUBLIC LEVITTOWN 1.2 833 AM 3/31 PUBLIC PLAINVIEW 1.0 800 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER WANTAGH 0.9 910 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... SELDEN 5.1 1105 AM 3/31 PUBLIC CORAM 5.0 1117 AM 3/31 PUBLIC LAKE GROVE 5.0 1029 AM 3/31 PUBLIC ISLIP AIRPORT 4.6 1114 AM 3/31 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER LAKE RONKONKOMA 4.3 1122 AM 3/31 PUBLIC CENTEREACH 4.3 1108 AM 3/31 NWS EMPLOYEE STONY BROOK 4.2 1003 AM 3/31 TRAINED SPOTTER SAYVILLE 4.0 1044 AM 3/31 PUBLIC YAPHANK 4.0 1113 AM 3/31 PUBLIC RONKONKOMA 4.0 1027 AM 3/31 PUBLIC OAKDALE 4.0 1003 AM 3/31 NWS EMPLOYEE 1 N HAUPPAUGE 3.4 1003 AM 3/31 NWS EMPLOYEE SAYVILLE 3.0 900 AM 3/31 NWS EMPLOYEE WEST ISLIP 3.0 1027 AM 3/31 PUBLIC BAY SHORE 3.0 1121 AM 3/31 PUBLIC UPTON 2.5 1126 AM 3/31 NWS OFFICE RIDGE 2.0 1038 AM 3/31 PUBLIC $$ LN Note: Most of the snow fell in a 1-2 hour timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Definitely warrants the discussion. Some people need to work on the histrionics though. .. Suffolk County... Selden 5.1 1105 am 3/31 public Coram 5.0 1117 am 3/31 public Lake Grove 5.0 1029 am 3/31 public Islip Airport 4.6 1114 am 3/31 FAA contract observer Lake Ronkonkoma 4.3 1122 am 3/31 public Centereach 4.3 1108 am 3/31 NWS employee Stony Brook 4.2 1003 am 3/31 trained spotter Sayville 4.0 1044 am 3/31 public Yaphank 4.0 1113 am 3/31 public Ronkonkoma 4.0 1027 am 3/31 public Oakdale 4.0 1003 am 3/31 NWS employee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 last night at 9:45pm when i posted "HRRR gives parts of long island a snowstorm early monday morning," a few guys immediately ripped the model to shreds. HRRR is very hit and miss... but give it its due... it pulls some winners out of its hat. it didnt nail exact location, but no one was predicting signifcant snow on LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 .. Suffolk County... Selden 5.1 1105 am 3/31 public Coram 5.0 1117 am 3/31 public Lake Grove 5.0 1029 am 3/31 public Islip Airport 4.6 1114 am 3/31 FAA contract observer Lake Ronkonkoma 4.3 1122 am 3/31 public Centereach 4.3 1108 am 3/31 NWS employee Stony Brook 4.2 1003 am 3/31 trained spotter Sayville 4.0 1044 am 3/31 public Yaphank 4.0 1113 am 3/31 public Ronkonkoma 4.0 1027 am 3/31 public Oakdale 4.0 1003 am 3/31 NWS employee Yes, 5" of snow in a matter of couple hours is noteworthy. It isn't something that should shut the area down, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Definitely warrants the discussion. Some people need to work on the histrionics though.omg it made traffic slow! unforgettable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Yes, 5" of snow in a matter of couple hours is noteworthy. It isn't something that should shut the area down, however.if you map those locations they're all within a 10 mile wide corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 omg it made traffic slow! unforgettable! Cool story bro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 What a disaster for the area though, I feel bad for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 The 4.6" snowfall at Islip brought the seasonal figure over 60". To date, 2013-14 has seen 63.5" snow fall at Islip. Only 1995-96 had more, with 73.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 The 4.6" snowfall at Islip brought the seasonal figure over 60". To date, 2013-14 has seen 63.5" snow fall at Islip. Only 1995-96 had more, with 73.5".what was islip's seasonal total from the 04/05 winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 what was islip's seasonal total from the 04/05 winter? 58.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 what a year for the whole nyc mrtro.....but central li....omg!! wow!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 This was one of the best NAM/HRRR short term snow forecasts of the cold season here. While the NAM was a bit too far east, the heavier snow signal in the band was there. The RGEM What too light and too far west. What do we have to do to get to to get midlevel lapse rates this steep during the thunderstorm season? These great lapse rates have been fairy common this cold season. OKX 12z 700-500 lapse rate: 7.08 C/km Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 It must not be real because it didn't jackpot Monmouth County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 You guys are acting like we live in Atlanta. Come on. Aren't you the guy who constantly says that accumulating snow after March 15 is a rare event here. So now we have such an event and you say "come on"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 1" in Long Beach from what I was told, so that brings us up to 55" for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Fixed It must not be real because it didn't jackpot Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 The 4.6" snowfall at Islip brought the seasonal figure over 60". To date, 2013-14 has seen 63.5" snow fall at Islip. Only 1995-96 had more, with 73.5". Interesting to note that 1997 - 1998 El Nino was the strongest El Nino on record and we are developing an El Nino now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Interesting to note that 1997 - 1998 El Nino was the strongest El Nino on record and we are developing an El Nino now. Wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Per Hurricane expert on TWC 1992 and 2004 are possible analogs for this upcoming tropical season. Of course both of those years featured major landfalls in Florida. I don't really feel comfortable saying that any season might compare to 2004, that was a once in a lifetime type season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Per Hurricane expert on TWC 1992 and 2004 are possible analogs for this upcoming tropical season. Of course both of those years featured major landfalls in Florida. I don't really feel comfortable saying that any season might compare to 2004, that was a once in a lifetime type season. Until the next year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Even with a strong El Niño, it's hard to imagine a season that's even less active than the last one ACE wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 A well-defined swath of snowcover to our west from yesterday's initial band. A general 6-12" fell from west of Scranton to east of Binghamton, though if you loop this morning's visible satellite imagery, it's amazing to see how quickly the snow is disappearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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