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NNE Thread: Heading into the Heart of Winter


powderfreak

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Light to at times moderate snow falling here in Stowe on the Mountain Road between town center and ski resort. Haven't measured but eyeballing it we are closing in on an inch of fluff here. Snow growth is about as good as it gets with large stellar dendrites falling at a good clip. The first couple hours of light snow (started around noon) had poorer snow growth, but we've gotten most of the accumulation in the past hour even though its been snowing for almost 4 hours.

Forecast is calling for 3-6" total which seems a bit high but I could see getting into the lower end of that range given high ratio snow we are seeing now.

Late Afternoon: Snow. High near 16. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Tonight: Snow, mainly before 1am. Low around 12. South wind 5 to 9 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Radar showing a general area of moisture moving across the area, so the snow should be pretty widespread.

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I noticed that I never sent in my report from this morning, so I've added that below, and I'll have a 4:00 P.M. update out shortly.

Saturday 1/15/2011 6:00 A.M. update: It’s crystal clear out there now, but at some point we got another 0.4 of fluff overnight. Next system up is the clipper, and the NWS point forecast for this location (2 to 5.5 inches through Sunday) seems more in line now with the BTV discussion (2 to 4 inches in the mountain areas).

Some details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below:

New Snow: 0.4 inches

New Liquid: Trace

Temperature: 0.0 F

Sky: Clear

Snow at the stake: 16.0 inches

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Event totals: 1.3” Snow/0.05” L.E.

Saturday 1/15/2011 4:00 P.M. update: We were up at Bolton Valley and had just boarded the Wilderness Lift (elevation ~2,150’) when the clipper snowfall started there today; I looked at my watch and it was just a couple minutes before noon. The snowfall was comprised of small, 1 mm flakes, but from the initial flakes it ramped up in intensity very quickly. Of course, we were ascending about 1,000’ on the lift at the time as well, so that could have played a part in it too. The snow continued all afternoon, increasing in intensity to moderate snowfall by later in the afternoon, but with the small flakes there was only about a half inch on our car down at 1,500’ when we were leaving around 3:30 P.M.. Not surprisingly, the skiing was excellent as the mountain is reporting 3 feet since Monday and the new snow was already starting to freshen up the packed areas. The trees and other untracked spots held great snow, and we generally found powder depths of 20-24 inches above the base layer, with spots close to 30 inches:

15JAN11A.jpg

The intensity of the snow let up as we descended into the Winooski Valley in the Bolton area, but it was snowing harder at the house a few miles east along the Bolton/Waterbury line (495’). As of 4:00 P.M. I found 1.3 inches of snow on the snowboard, and we had light to borderline moderate snow falling. The flake size had definitely increased from what it had been at the start of the afternoon on the mountain, with some flakes up to about 4 mm in diameter. Our point forecast calls for an additional 1 to 3 inches tonight, and a little more tomorrow before the system winds down, so there should be another excellent ski day on tap. The snowfall has been just slow and steady over the past couple of hours, with an additional 0.4 inches on the board as of 6:00 P.M. I’ll plan to do another update at 10:00 P.M. if I haven’t headed off to bed.

Some details from the 4:00 P.M. observations are below:

New Snow: 1.3 inches

New Liquid: 0.05 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 26.0

Snow Density: 3.8%

Temperature: 19.2 F

Sky: Light Snow (1-4 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 16.5 inches

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I asked Scott this but I must be in his doghouse ... how's the Euro looking for us? Mostly frozen? We're walking the tightrope here, one way or the other.

The 12z Euro run was pretty ugly, Tracked the low right thru Central Maine, We would start as snow but changeover pretty rapidly IP to rain with maybe some snow on the backend as the low departs, The saturday event looked decent as it would be a SWFE Miller B type storm that looks like it would be all snow, Then the freezer door is opened........

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Event totals: 2.0” Snow/0.06” L.E.

Saturday 1/15/2011 10:00 P.M. update: Flakes have been much bigger this evening, but the snowfall has been very light. We did however hit the 2-inch mark for the event with this round of precipitation. The NWS says the best forcing for snowfall has moved east of the area, and the precipitation will now become more orographic, so we’ll see how that plays out around here.

Some details from the 10:00 P.M. observations are below:

New Snow: 0.7 inches

New Liquid: 0.01 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 70.0

Snow Density: 1.4%

Temperature: 19.8 F

Sky: Light Snow (2-10 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 16.0 inches

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Event totals: 2.0” Snow/0.06” L.E.

Saturday 1/15/2011 10:00 P.M. update: Flakes have been much bigger this evening, but the snowfall has been very light. We did however hit the 2-inch mark for the event with this round of precipitation. The NWS says the best forcing for snowfall has moved east of the area, and the precipitation will now become more orographic, so we’ll see how that plays out around here.

Some details from the 10:00 P.M. observations are below:

New Snow: 0.7 inches

New Liquid: 0.01 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 70.0

Snow Density: 1.4%

Temperature: 19.8 F

Sky: Light Snow (2-10 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 16.0 inches

Nice ratio!

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Nice ratio!

I had 1.0" with 0.03" w.e.

I've never had anything like 0.7"/0.01" before. I think my best is 0.9"/0.02" for 45:1. At those kinds of small amounts I suppose it is possible albeit short-lived. We're talking about a couple of tenths of liquid though...you can probably sublimate/evaporate 0.01" of it before you bring it in to melt it down. :snowman:

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Hello everyone. New guy here after lurking for a few weeks. I'm two miles northwest of downtown Montpelier at 900' elevation. A solid inch and a half of new fluff here on Saturday after the eight inches from last Wednesday's storm.

I'm pretty weather savvy compared to the general population but nowhere near as well informed as most of you guys. I hope to learn a lot (as I already have) from this forum and...not embarrass myself too much. ;)

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Hello everyone. New guy here after lurking for a few weeks. I'm two miles northwest of downtown Montpelier at 900' elevation. A solid inch and a half of new fluff here on Saturday after the eight inches from last Wednesday's storm.

I'm pretty weather savvy compared to the general population but nowhere near as well informed as most of you guys. I hope to learn a lot (as I already have) from this forum and...not embarrass myself too much. ;)

Welcome :)

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