Juliancolton Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 I heard somebody use the January 1989 storm as an analog. That was studied as part of the ERICA project and underwent a strong warm seclusion, 66 mb pressure fall in 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Geez, 4km is 15-20" snow on the outer cape and ACK. It's really ramped up. "almost" about to believe a ginxy miracle is about to happen. WV imagery is impressive last 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 People are outraged that school isn't called off here yet. Its like they look at a weenie map 5 days ago, and never look again. My boss told me today Bridgewater was getting 8-12. I told him there's a better shot we may not see a single flake lol The gp, has no clue about anything . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Pretty awesome as the western system is about to take over/phase whatever we want to call it. How that erupts and how fast.... http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ALB&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20140326&endTime=-1&duration=5 Off to bed, hoping to wake up to a nice coating...but not optimistic. Take pics for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 People are outraged that school isn't called off here yet. Its like they look at a weenie map 5 days ago, and never look again. My boss told me today Bridgewater was getting 8-12. I told him there's a better shot we may not see a single flake lol I have Boston-area colleagues who live on the south shore who mentioned today that they were taking work home "for tomorrow's snow day." It really is funny how people can lock onto something that they saw or heard days earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 RAP and HRRR appear to have been totally useless. They're steadily backing west throughout the entire run(s) each time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Sandy? Or are we not counting that. Last February ticked down to 968 as a reference. winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 I have Boston-area colleagues who live on the south shore who mentioned today that they were taking work home "for tomorrow's snow day." It really is funny how people can lock onto something that they saw or heard days earlier. Exactly lol, even if they see something that says otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 When was the last time we had a sub 960? I remember a small 954 busting buoys in the GOMaine but that was a microstorm.Can't remember a storm this size since 93,there was a reason this time period analogged 93,placement aside excellent analogOf course, one screws us east, the other west. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 I heard somebody use the January 1989 storm as an analog. That was studied as part of the ERICA project and underwent a strong warm seclusion, 66 mb pressure fall in 18 hours. That's one of them. I believe it blitzed the M.A with a heavy snow fall in < 12 hours or so. We were routing a vessel westbound to ORF. It got hammered by 60kt winds and waves near 40 feet. Vessel sustained some damage including to the bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Geez, 4km is 15-20" snow on the outer cape and ACK. It's really ramped up. "almost" about to believe a ginxy miracle is about to happen. WV imagery is impressive last 2 hours. lol,just seems the trough has more tilt than progged 20 miles will mean 1000 for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 RGEM doesn't appear to be on the NAM party train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Of course, one screws us east, the other west. lol lol…3/3 and last week ended up great analogs Cape May has over 5 now and prob close to 20 for the month lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 LOL RGEM actually cut back I think...always tough to tell by the panels, but it looks to have backed off by a noticeable amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 That's one of them. I believe it blitzed the M.A with a heavy snow fall in < 12 hours or so. We were routing a vessel westbound to ORF. It got hammered by 60kt winds and waves near 40 feet. Vessel sustained some damage including to the bridgehopefully no ships in this path, The IKE is crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Well good night, folks. I always enjoy ball busting challenging forecasts and also the great discussions here. Batten down the hatches stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Lol T definition of crushed. ACY looks to end up with 3-5 maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 hopefully no ships in this path, The IKE is crazy fair number of freighters/tankers out there but that's about it http://shipfinder.co/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 fair number of freighters/tankers out there but that's about it http://shipfinder.co/ Canada is in trouble, this is 112 mph Snow at times heavy mixed with ice pellets changing to rain after midnight. Snow and ice pellet amount 15 cm. Rainfall amount 5 mm. Blowing snow in the evening. Wind east 100 km/h gusting to 130 except gusting to 180 in the Wreckhouse area in the evening and after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Like Sandy this is going to have unreal surge in the RF quad in Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Ack has a legit shot at big numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Canada is in trouble, this is 112 mph Snow at times heavy mixed with ice pellets changing to rain after midnight. Snow and ice pellet amount 15 cm. Rainfall amount 5 mm. Blowing snow in the evening. Wind east 100 km/h gusting to 130 except gusting to 180 in the Wreckhouse area in the evening and after midnight. It's a storm for the ages. I just don't know still if it's going to be memorable for here or not. RGEM didn't bite, RAP/HRRR/RGEM pretty much all in agreement. Radar is impressive we're seeing those first bands fly NW now south of ACK. WV imagery shows the leaf developing very quickly. RGEM pauses that for a bit as the original low draws up and then ignites everything late tonight. That little bobble is enough. It "looks" like this all wants to come together now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Canada is in trouble, this is 112 mph Snow at times heavy mixed with ice pellets changing to rain after midnight. Snow and ice pellet amount 15 cm. Rainfall amount 5 mm. Blowing snow in the evening. Wind east 100 km/h gusting to 130 except gusting to 180 in the Wreckhouse area in the evening and after midnight. Don't think it gets that name for those clear and calm days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 This is brutal for the forecasters tonight. NAM/4km NAM consolidate the low very quickly this evening. That might be a little suspect given what we knew earlier about the extension SE. NAM says that's mostly/totally gone within another hour or two. RGEM holds onto that eastern extension in an elongated fashion and delays bgenesis just a tiny bit later. http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ALB&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20140326&endTime=-1&duration=5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Don't think it gets that name for those clear and calm days.yea right,just cruised through their zones, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Surge guidance suggests a max of 2.6 ft for coastal Nova Scotia. Usually you can double those forecasts to get close to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Ack and east of Barnstable will do well. Polar will have a windwhipped light snowstorm likely. Ground blizzards galore still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Surge guidance suggests a max of 2.6 ft for coastal Nova Scotia. Usually you can double those forecasts to get close to reality.underdone imho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 PV check out kdox radar ML is tucked in a little bit,might be your little push west you need later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Absolutely beautiful http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/ Loop the WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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