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When Will NYC See The First 70 Degree Reading Of Spring?


bluewave

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So far the high in NYC this month is 66 degrees. It will be interesting to see when NYC reaches

70 degrees for the first time this spring. Last year was also among the later dates after we were

fairly early with the first 70 degree readings from 2009-2012.

 

First 70 degree readings in NYC since 1980:

 

2014....4-11

2013....4-8

2012....3-8

2011....3-18

2010....3-19

2009....3-7

2008....4-10

2007....3-14

2006....3-10

2005....4-6

2004...3-27

2003...4-15*

2002...3-30

2001...4-9

2000...4-6

1999...3-18

1998...3-27

1997...4-7

1996...4-12

1995...3-15

1994...3-23

1993....4-19*

1992....4-10

1991...3-28

1990...3-13

1989...3-17

1988...3-24

1987...3-8

1986...3-19

1984...4-26*

1983...4-23*

1982....4-16*

1981....3-29

1980....4-13

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It may not be until after mid April when we see widespread 70F or higher readings based on the upcoming pattern. I suppose there could be a day or two that produces 70F readings ahead of a cold front or something, but I think it'll be more localized. The combo of NAO/PNA and EPO actually increases the chance of snow in the first half of April believe it or not. 

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Only 5 out of the 14 April first 70 degree readings at NYC since 1980 were able to hold out until 4-15 or later

when March stayed below 70 like this year.

 

2013....4-8

2008....4-10

2005....4-6

2003...4-15*

2001...4-9

2000...4-6

1997...4-7

1996...4-12

1993....4-19*

1992....4-10

1984...4-26*

1983...4-23*

1982....4-16*

1980....4-13

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The last five days of March 1998 had temps above 80 here with a max of 87 on the 31st...too warm too early for me.

And that ended with a crappo summer.  To me, summer in March/April usually (but not always, think 2002) means spring in July. Other examples were 1969, 1974, 1989, 1990, 1979 & 2000 (early May 90's), 2004 and 2009.

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My very rough guess is KNYC hits 70 Thursday of next week.

 

Winds ahead of a cold front look to turn westerly or SWerly... the only inhibiting factor could be clouds but afternoon 850 temps are in 5-10 C range and a bit of downslope should enhance things.

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Looks like this will be only the 8th time since 1980 that we wont reach 70 degrees by April 10th.

 

2003...4-15

1996...4-12

1993....4-19

1984...4-26

1983...4-23

1982....4-16

1980....4-13

 

Pretty impressive.  Even more impressive is that it's only the 2nd time in 14 years.

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Which is why I don't get the whining about a cold wet spring every year when it has ended the exact opposite overall. So what if there are a few cooler, dreary days.

I think this April could end up somewhat above normal as well unless things cool down substantially second half of the month.

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Yeah, colder than normal springs have been the exception rather than the rule since the late 90's.

 

attachicon.gifScreen shot 2014-04-09 at 10.06.35 AM.png

 

Interesting stats the 2007/2008 years seem a bit deceiving with both those years featuring prolonged periods of below to well below normal temps.  2007 had the April that felt more like January and 2008 had the May that was more like march.   Both recovered nicely but the duration of the cool was impressive.  2010/2011,2012,2013 all very nice springs for the most part. Does that show 13 as below normal?

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Interesting stats the 2007/2008 years seem a bit deceiving with both those years featuring prolonged periods of below to well below normal temps.  2007 had the April that felt more like January and 2008 had the May that was more like march.   Both recovered nicely but the duration of the cool was impressive.  2010/2011,2012,2013 all very nice springs for the most part. Does that show 13 as below normal?

 

NYC finished slightly below in 2013.

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