JC-CT Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Euro was a bit too warm in the aftn tomorrow. It has a weenie pocket of 925 temps just below 0C as well as 850 temps just below over ern areas where precip was heaviest. Probably argues for catpaws and maybe some parachutes in the higher elevations in the ORH hills areas. It's tomorrow night as the second s/w move through and precip blossoms that we have a greater risk of some snow. That's a decent burst as modeled and you are going to need quite the lift and dynamics if you want some paste. I think the euro would do it. GFS too, but they differ where. He speaks in past tense when referring to future events. He doesn't always drink beer, but when he does, he drinks Dos Equis. Stay thirsty, my friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Where in Quebec? LOL, not in SNE. Sorry you live in a pit.You might want to peak at the link I posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Actually speaking I trees I'm looking out the window here in Hartfors and the trees I see are leaving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Actually speaking I trees I'm looking out the window here in Hartfors and the trees I see are leaving Where are they going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 You might want to peak at the link I posted Yes and it agrees hills in CT are not 2-3 weeks behind this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 He speaks in past tense when referring to future events. He doesn't always drink beer, but when he does, he drinks Dos Equis. Stay thirsty, my friends. Sorry, I was speaking from a point of view of describing the model..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Sorry, I was speaking from a point of view of describing the model..lol. Oh, you meant too warm - for snow. I totally missed that, lol sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Yes and it agrees hills in CT are not 2-3 weeks behind this area. 2-3 weeks is stretching it. I've been making note of dates for things like foliage in bloom or peak for the past 12 years in addition to my regular obs and I run about 7-10 days behind the CT river valley. Perhaps 14 days for some types of vegetation but I wouldn't say that in general. My forsythia finally made it to full bloom yesterday and that's a week behind my average. The latest was May 5th is 2003 and the earliest has been March 25th is 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 2-3 weeks is stretching it. I've been making note of dates for things like foliage in bloom or peak for the past 12 years in addition to my regular obs and I run about 7-10 days behind the CT river valley. Perhaps 14 days for some types of vegetation but I wouldn't say that in general. My forsythia finally made it to full bloom yesterday and that's a week behind my average. The latest was May 5th is 2003 and the earliest has been March 25th is 2012. Have you noticed variability in forsythia? For instance the ones near my house are sun drenched and opened 4-5 days earlier than ones in other areas. I know the ones that opened up later seem to be more in radiational cooling areas..but I was surprised how late it was. I know it's a weird question, but I like observing details about flora like that. I'd say our forsythia was full bloom a few days ago (if I understand the term full bloom), but we also has about 2 days where it was 70 here while you guys had rain and in the 50s. Usually this area isn't as quick to bloom thanks to seabreezes...but through the first 15 days. that was missing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Can trees leave at night? I swear everyone I look out the window the leaves came out kore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 OMG!!!! They are comin out more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 The trees are MUCH farther along at work in Glastonbury than they are at home in Columbia. Some of the small trees in Glastonbury actually have green things on them. Just sticks and red knobs at home. And no, that's not what she said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 The trees are MUCH farther along at work in Glastonbury than they are at home in Columbia. Some of the small trees in Glastonbury actually have green things on them. Just sticks and red knobs at home. And no, that's not what she said. It's just my experience that the trees leaf out when they feel like it. It's not dependent on weather. It's like giving child birth...the child comes when it's ready and just like the leaves come when they are ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 The trees are MUCH farther along at work in Glastonbury than they are at home in Columbia. Some of the small trees in Glastonbury actually have green things on them. Just sticks and red knobs at home. And no, that's not what she said. It's just my experience that the trees leaf out when they feel like it. It's not dependent on weather. It's like giving child birth...the child comes when it's ready and just like the leaves come when they are ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Have you noticed variability in forsythia? For instance the ones near my house are sun drenched and opened 4-5 days earlier than ones in other areas. I know the ones that opened up later seem to be more in radiational cooling areas..but I was surprised how late it was. I know it's a weird question, but I like observing details about flora like that. I'd say our forsythia was full bloom a few days ago (if I understand the term full bloom), but we also has about 2 days where it was 70 here while you guys had rain and in the 50s. Usually this area isn't as quick to bloom thanks to seabreezes...but through the first 15 days. that was missing. Yeah, I've seen areas that get a lot of sun bloom first but really by only a few days around my neighborhood. The date I use is when the flowers are fully open. I believe that's what it means to be "in bloom". I should do a graph plotting the average temperature for the previous 15-30 days along with the date of full bloom along with potential sunlight and see if there is a correlation. I suspect it would match up pretty well but I don't have a large data set. It's probably just a matter of available sunlight and temperatures....temps were much warmer in March 2012 which led to an earlier bloom. I don't consider a week here or there anything too special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Looks like cheap midnight highs for most spots tomorrow. Still low 50s up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Looks like cheap midnight highs for most spots tomorrow. Still low 50s up here. Highs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 18z NAM looks to change ORH over to snow for 0.07" of QPF on Sunday morning...the model output data keeps most stations as all rain, but even the GFS is showing 0.03" as snow at ORH. Up north, it looks like no snow at BTV, while MPV at 1,200ft goes over to -SN for 0.1" QPF, but even CON showing up with 0.14" as snow. Looks like the chance is there for some coating to an inch type amounts if it can come down hard enough...hopefully someone pulls it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Man the 06z GFS is really interesting from like nrn ORH to SW NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Euro seems like it's one of the colder solutions after 6z tonight. It's more of a question of how organized the precip is because you will need a good burst of lift if you want any snow. Euro is much less impressive than the GFS in that regards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2014 Author Share Posted April 26, 2014 That was a fun 11 mile run this morning in rain and 39 degrees. Brutal. Had to dress in winter gear with hat and gloves..Just soaked to the bone. This blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2014 Author Share Posted April 26, 2014 Euro seems like it's one of the colder solutions after 6z tonight. It's more of a question of how organized the precip is because you will need a good burst of lift if you want any snow. Euro is much less impressive than the GFS in that regards. GFS gives me an inch or 2. I doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 That was a fun 11 mile run this morning in rain and 39 degrees. Brutal. Had to dress in winter gear with hat and gloves..Just soaked to the bone. This blows Screw that...no way in hell I would run in that. You are going to be cold to the bone for the day now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2014 Author Share Posted April 26, 2014 Screw that...no way in hell I would run in that. You are going to be cold to the bone for the day now. Hot shower now. Honestly this was one of the worst conditions wise run I've ever done. I'd rather it be dry and cold and windy. But Saturdays are my long run day..so no matter what you suck it up and do it. As i was running today..I made up my mind..I'm going to run Boston next year for a charity. I already have the charity in mind. Details to follow soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Hot shower now. Honestly this was one of the worst conditions wise run I've ever done. I'd rather it be dry and cold and windy. But Saturdays are my long run day..so no matter what you suck it up and do it. As i was running today..I made up my mind..I'm going to run Boston next year for a charity. I already have the charity in mind. Details to follow soon Money to help Wiz get his licence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 radar looks like it will dry it out after the next 2-3 hrs at least for Western NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Money to help Wiz get his licence?I don't know if I want Wiz driving. Did you see some of his posts last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 I don't know if I want Wiz driving. Did you see some of his posts last night? You mean you don't want someone who weighs 100lbs soaking wet, loaded on 40s and driving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 26, 2014 Author Share Posted April 26, 2014 Money to help Wiz get his licence? Will you be able to get him a met job at WSI once he gets his degree next year? Imagine..you and Wiz..working side by side..analyzing models, sending out METARS, talking severe, sharing clothes..it could be a great partnership Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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