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April Discussion..Mild overall..and really not wild


Damage In Tolland

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The 00z NAM and the 00z RPM actually give a little mini jackpot zone into E MA from a very strong ribbon of lift that hits them after the soundings cool enough....you can see this strong ribbon of precip all the way down into the Delmarva right now.

 

 

Apr_15_radar1045pm.gif

 

 

 

 

 

 

There's no guaranteed way to tell if they will be right, but certianly something to watch. I do think the Euro will end up too quick to shut off the precip.

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The 00z NAM and the 00z RPM actually give a little mini jackpot zone into E MA from a very strong ribbon of lift that hits them after the soundings cool enough....you can see this strong ribbon of precip all the way down into the Delmarva right now.

Apr_15_radar1045pm.gif

There's no guaranteed way to tell if they will be right, but certianly something to watch. I do think the Euro will end up too quick to shut off the precip.

RAP does the same,timing ?
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-RAPL at BDL. -SN DXR

 

ASOS obs looking better out in western NE and E NY....lots of 1/2 and 3/4 with lower ceilings or obscured ceilings versus earlier. So the ML fronto is trying really fight against the low level drying flow.

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Everyone should be able to see a decent period of snow.  Looks like an equal opportunity storm for flakes. That plume is looking impressive for SNE, too...all the way down to the Delmarva.  Man if this was stationary over any one area for like 12 hours in a firehose.  Wish that were the case!

 

April_15b.gif

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ASOS obs looking better out in western NE and E NY....lots of 1/2 and 3/4 with lower ceilings or obscured ceilings versus earlier. So the ML fronto is trying really fight against the low level drying flow.

 

There's definitely a secondary burst...there's the initial mixing and changeover time, but then it backed off for a bit just flurrying flakes and little grauple-like pellets on a wet ground.  After a little lull there, it comes back on and starts accumulating nicer.  That difference between like 33-35F -SN and 31-32F is huge.

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There's definitely a secondary burst...there's the initial mixing and changeover time, but then it backed off for a bit just flurrying flakes and little grauple-like pellets on a wet ground.  After a little lull there, it comes back on and starts accumulating nicer.  That difference between like 33-35F -SN and 31-32F is huge.

 

 

The strengthening ML fronto right now is causing that nice heavier burst....it has filled in on radar too and ground truth is confirming it. It is definitely a fight against the really strong CAA low-level drying flow...but for now the lift is winning the battle which is what we'll need to continue to see 1-3" totals.

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We only pinged for about 15 mins. Over to snow now. 

 

Was it even that long?  When I left McDonalds on Prospect Ave it was plain rain...got home like 4 min later and still rain...ran right to the bathroom and heard pings then...about 10 min later or so I looked out and it was snow.  I think the pings were only like 5-10 min at most

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