Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 The RAP has around 70 knots at 900mb over BOS. We'd prob have a shot at 60-65 knot gusts if we didn't have such an inversion. its not far off the deck, 300 ft up consistently gusting above 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 The RAP has around 70 knots at 900mb over BOS. We'd prob have a shot at 60-65 knot gusts if we didn't have such an inversion. Yeah the LLJ is quite impressive. It's interesting that it went from more sustained earlier, to more in the way of gusts now. I think the rain lowered mixing a bit, but these showers are bringing down some good winds at times. To this day, I think the January 2006 srly wind event is the bar set for me regarding these types of systems. That was on another level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 its not far off the deck, 300 ft up consistently gusting above 50 Had several gusts near or just a bit over 50 here. South and se winds rip here..maximized wind direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Wonder if this storm is being undersold,winds look pretty wild,convection solid,low top supercell in CMass? Helicity 663 near ORH on the NAM, 2-3 inches of rain in CT then a ppossible flash to sleet snow wonder if that flash freeze happens,perfect timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 NAM and GFS BUFKIT yesterday did well with these winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Wait till the squall line tears thru looks like a low topped squall line developing in northern NJ. We've seen though plenty of times that the winds within the squall lines themselves in these setups are pretty meh...best winds are typically out ahead of them or with a gust front. Right under them the rain cooled air establishes or enhances the inversion really preventing winds from mixing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Yeah the LLJ is quite impressive. It's interesting that it went from more sustained earlier, to more in the way of gusts now. I think the rain lowered mixing a bit, but these showers are bringing down some good winds at times. To this day, I think the January 2006 srly wind event is the bar set for me regarding these types of systems. That was on another level. 2006 is still the record here at work for winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Wow. That is some wind right there..lol. Yeah Steve, that was out of control. There is a roar, and then complete jet turbine sound like that day. Tons of damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 looks like a low topped squall line developing in northern NJ. We've seen though plenty of times that the winds within the squall lines themselves in these setups are pretty meh...best winds are typically out ahead of them or with a gust front. Right under them the rain cooled air establishes or enhances the inversion really preventing winds from mixing down. NAM today showed that well, 925 winds were greatest this afternoon then slack off but then 850 winds cranked, CAA winds will be decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Wow. That is some wind right there..lol. Yeah Steve, that was out of control. There is a roar, and then complete jet turbine sound like that day. Tons of damage. working very hard on getting a station up there with a web cam so everyone can watch it live. I know its a great barometer for interior elevation winds, often Blue Hill follows soon after with big gusts. I think on that day they hit 85 shortly after we recorded 92.3. It shows how inversions and winds with height work, hope to use it as a learning tool too, fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 NJ Severe Tstorm Warning for Camden and Mercer Co's until 430pm. Main risks are strong winds, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 No way that happens that would be a shocker wow lol Holy NAM that's cold and snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I drove through the front here in upstate NY. We were headed north toward Utica around 1000 It was 58 with a steady rain. The interior of the car suddenly fogged and the car thermometer started plunging. We went from 58 to 46 while covering 1 mile of pavement at 60 mph. Ten minutes later in Utica it was 41F. Now back home, 32F with snow sticking to the grass and patio table. Amazing day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 NAM today showed that well, 925 winds were greatest this afternoon then slack off but then 850 winds cranked, CAA winds will be decent yeah I was thinking earlier CAA winds could be fairly decent...looks like though winds behind the front really slack off so they shouldn't be as extreme as to what we are seeing now but maybe 25-35 mph gusts possible? I haven't looked at any models or anything...just basing looking at winds aloft from SPC meso page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 A tree fell and smashed my friends pool. Another friend sent me a pic of his backyard trees at 45 degree angles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Cold front has made it to western ma should be here soon Pittsfield is dropping like a rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Gotta think pretty saturated soils certainly enhancing wind damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Looking at the models it looks solid for a frozen end to things. Normal climo for April 15/16, elevated and interior is better. Some may ping for a while and not see too many flakes. Others may seen up to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Meh winds here. Decent but nbd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 No way that happens that would be a shocker wow lol Hard to believe...that would be close to advisory snows for some and a definite flash freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Hard to believe...that would be close to advisory snows for some and a definite flash freeze. I buy the flash freeze, not the advisory snows. Maybe berks and n orh county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 A tree fell and smashed my friends pool. Another friend sent me a pic of his backyard trees at 45 degree angles. Post pics please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2014 Author Share Posted April 15, 2014 Hard to believe...that would be close to advisory snows for some and a definite flash freeze. I buy it..It's happened from Chicago to DET to BUF..why not here too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I buy the flash freeze, not the advisory snows. Maybe berks and n orh county. I don't buy either. Flash freeze maybe for Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I buy it..It's happened from Chicago to DET to BUF..why not here too? Because they don't get a roaring downslope on a NW wind like we do. Midwest is much easier to get anafrontal snows than here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I don't buy either. Flash freeze maybe for Berks. I hope the NAM is wrong... that would be a mess tonight. The RPM is super bullish on the cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Because they don't get a roaring downslope on a NW wind like we do. Midwest is much easier to get anafrontal snows than here Yeah once you get east of Litchfield/Berkshire Counties it becomes really tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I hope the NAM is wrong... that would be a mess tonight. The RPM is super bullish on the cold too. NAM would be like 1-2 hours of S+ and total flash freeze. Didn't see the RPM...did it show the burst of heavy snow like the NAM? If it gets really cold, but we shut off the precip, then our chances for flash freeze obviously diminish. We get some frozen puddles but the roads would mostly dry out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 I don't buy either. Flash freeze maybe for Berks. Upon closer look subfreezing temps lag behind the front on the models, sure there is a nice drop, but not below freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 FWIW the Euro is definitely on the progressive side without much post-frontal snow. 19z RAP is more meh as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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