forkyfork Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 oh look, a cold wxbell map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 oh look, a cold wxbell map I wonder if they still think Nino isn't coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 ...Snowing in Texas in mid-April. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Webcams are awesome in Wisconsin, 30-40 OTG snowmobile folks flying by in heavy snow. Been a long time since we had one of these great winters. links? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 links? johndee.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 I wonder if they still think Nino isn't coming. they're going weak to moderate Nino ala 02-03, 04-05 and 9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 oh look, a cold wxbell map any map by any vendor shows what the GFS predicts, stupid post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 they're going weak to moderate Nino ala 02-03, 04-05 and 9-10 I noticed the super nino alarmists have backed off lately on their predictions, they ran with April data which has little correlation to winter conditions. I am hoping its as big a fail as the October death vortex calls by the MJO huggers and the Cicada invasion predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Oh looks its a cold wxmap by the next generation wx lab Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 they're going weak to moderate Nino ala 02-03, 04-05 and 9-10 Well '09'-10 def wasn't close to weak...it was a mdoerate to strong Nino. '02-'03 was moderate. '04-'05 was definitely weak though. There's still a lot of time for this one. The eastern Nino regions are still much colder than a Nino like '97-'98, so I'm doubting the Super Nino, but I could def see a pretty strong event ala '09-'10 or '57-'58 or '65-'66. If we are to make a run at an even stronger Nino ala '82-'83 or '72-'73, then we'll need to see these next waves of WWBs sustain very well into the east PAC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 any map by any vendor shows what the GFS predicts, stupid post that map is colder than the rest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 that map is colder than the rest who cares...it's a cold windy couple of days and then we warm it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 they're going weak to moderate Nino ala 02-03, 04-05 and 9-10 Were those the years they mentioned? LOL. Pick the snowiest years I guess. If we can get something central and west based it has a chance..but of course they pick those years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Here you go Wiz. 8C/KM lapse rates down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 I think you need to wait until the end of May to see what these Kelvin waves and WWB do, in order to claim super Nino. Seems like the next 6 weeks will be telling. CFS I think was trying to cool waters a bit behind this next wave. Overall though, it's been impressive sub surface warming. Lets hope the eastern regions stay cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 record lows for Wed AM BTV 18 in 1908 ORH 21 in 1948 BOS 26 in 1887 HFD 21 in 1943 CON 15 in 1943 PWM 19 in 1943 BDR 29 in 1981 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 I think you need to wait until the end of May to see what these Kelvin waves and WWB do, in order to claim super Nino. Seems like the next 6 weeks will be telling. CFS I think was trying to cool waters a bit behind this next wave. Overall though, it's been impressive sub surface warming. Lets hope the eastern regions stay cooler. agenda driven hype, super nino coming, its out of control. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 someone's been drinking the wattsupwiththat kool aid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 that map is colder than the rest nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 A Ginxy delight. WU text forecast for MBY. Tuesday Night 04/15 100% Rain early followed by a mixture of wintry precipitation late. Low 32F. Winds W at 20 to 30 mph. Snow and ice accumulations around one inch. Wednesday 04/16 60% Snow ending during the morning followed by clearing and sunshine during the afternoon. High 47F. Winds NW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 60%. Snow accumulations less than one inch. Wednesday Night 04/16 0% Clear. Low 28F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 someone's been drinking the wattsupwiththat kool aid so you think a super nino is coming? and what koolaid? I looked at models, looks like a moderate west based NIno at worst, so a pool of very warm water in April will lead to a super Nino, cool, happy forecasting has come that far where even if no models show it, because some alarmist ran with it it will be true. Reality based is what I like , I could care less what either side says you are just as bad as the other. Hypsters on both sides are ruining real science. Dont paint me into a corner like you do with everyone, people have independent thought processes, deal with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 ASH is 75..I bet some of those places like ASH/MHT hit 80-82 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 ASH is 75..I bet some of those places like ASH/MHT hit 80-82 or so. Nice, 67 here at work, winds S gusting to 27 sustained around 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 NAM is definitely pelt-tastic for many after 06z Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 72.0F at home. Should be close to 80 later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 NAM is definitely pelt-tastic for many after 06z Tuesday. GFS too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 so you think a super nino is coming? and what koolaid? I looked at models, looks like a moderate west based NIno at worst, so a pool of very warm water in April will lead to a super Nino, cool, happy forecasting has come that far where even if no models show it, because some alarmist ran with it it will be true. Reality based is what I like , I could care less what either side says you are just as bad as the other. Hypsters on both sides are ruining real science. Dont paint me into a corner like you do with everyone, people have independent thought processes, deal with it. lol Most of the experts who know a lot more about global circulation and ENSO than we do are hedging toward super nino and think it definitely has a shot (though they all admit it's not a lock but a distinct possibility). Szygys and soil samples can only tell you so much. As for the "alarmist" stuff I actually haven't seen a whole lot from the national media or even the west coast going nuts. A blog post or a tweet or a brief article does not constitute out of control hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 NAM is definitely pelt-tastic for many after 06z Tuesday. It is crazy cold in the boundary layer. Even has freezing rain for the Berkshires pre-sleet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Wow, 40kts at PYM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 It is crazy cold in the boundary layer. Even has freezing rain for the Berkshires pre-sleet lol Like -5C at 950..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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