CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Models are still rather cloudy and bleak for tomorrow until after 2-4pm east of the CT river it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 30, 2014 Author Share Posted April 30, 2014 Today is it..the worst of the worst.' Changes afoot for next week and beyond. May could potentially come in AN TUESDAY AND BEYOND...FURTHER PATTERN MODIFICATION HERE WITH ZONAL FLOW TRENDING TOWARD A WESTERN US TROUGH AND A DEVELOPING DOWNSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE EAST. THIS WOULD SUGGEST MILDER TEMPS AND A TREND TOWARD DRIER WEATHER. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY TELECONNECTIONS WITH NEGATIVE AO AND NAO TRENDING NEUTRAL ALONG WITH A POSITIVE PNA TRENDING NEUTRAL AS WELL. Next week looking very nice after Monday's cool down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 30, 2014 Author Share Posted April 30, 2014 Pretty impressive stuff..Going right against Powderfreak's ideas last fall interestingly enough Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 10m The end of month cold means April finishes below normal in CONUS, the 14th of the past 15 months plain east! pic.twitter.com/8LaWHE4wls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Next week will probably have self destructive sun Monday and Tuesday...Monday might be a real chilly day with aftn clouds and any shwrs. Then, we'll have to watch where the WF ends up late next week because if it's just SW of us, then another 2 day disaster could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Wow 25 inches of rain Pensacola in 24 hours 35.50 inches of rain in April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Next week will probably have self destructive sun Monday and Tuesday...Monday might be a real chilly day with aftn clouds and any shwrs. Then, we'll have to watch where the WF ends up late next week because if it's just SW of us, then another 2 day disaster could happen. I'm so happy I was able to spend the weekend at V. Tech. Really enjoyed the 80* sun--felt bad having to tell my wife while she was waking to 36* rain. How delayed are the leaves and flowers? Aside from a crocus, I don't think I've seen anything up here. The grass is greening a bit, but nothing on the trees (buds on bushes though). 35.0/34 .14 on the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 I'm so happy I was able to spend the weekend at V. Tech. Really enjoyed the 80* sun--felt bad having to tell my wife while she was waking to 36* rain. How delayed are the leaves and flowers? Aside from a crocus, I don't think I've seen anything up here. The grass is greening a bit, but nothing on the trees (buds on bushes though). 35.0/34 .14 on the day My guess is maybe a week or so on avg give or take a few days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Fugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 37.8°F with a ENE wind gusting to 22 mph. The windchill is even impressive for the last day of April. I would take this over any 90°F, humid, sweat inducing day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 We so often pay for our winter in spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Next week will probably have self destructive sun Monday and Tuesday...Monday might be a real chilly day with aftn clouds and any shwrs. Then, we'll have to watch where the WF ends up late next week because if it's just SW of us, then another 2 day disaster could happen. Euro looked like a few flakes Sunday night in the higher hilltops? Or maybe graupel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Euro looked like a few flakes Sunday night in the higher hilltops? Or maybe graupel. Yeah it had some QPF deep into the cold air. That looks like a euro faux QPF event to me, but we'll have to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 KORH with what appears to be more IP reported last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 I don't have a lot of issues with Kevin's readings...I just wish he had it online. He uses every social network out there and has a million dollar yard, but can't get his station online. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 I don't have a lot of issues with Kevin's readings...I just wish he had it online. He uses every social network out there and has a million dollar yard, but can't get his station online. Most of the time they are fine, or with his high dewpoint for example...reasonable accurate given the wet mulch bed..but there are definitely times where it's a head scratcher. I'll leave it at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 KORH with what appears to be more IP reported last night.Yeah...probably based on other obs. Of course UP can still be plain rain though. I thought the previous night's UP looked more questionable. Automation FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 ORH/BDL/PVD have locked in below average for April....that would be 6 consecutive months...and I know at least 8 out of last 9 for ORH. Not sure BOS will make below normal, but it will be a photo finish if they rot at like 43F all day today. Been streaky lately...we had that ridiculous cluster of above normal months from 2012 to 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Well I'm glad it's not raining out. Always dread days with potential for heavy rain when I have school. Luckily it's only happened to me a few times but nothing too terribly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 I don't have a lot of issues with Kevin's readings...I just wish he had it online. He uses every social network out there and has a million dollar yard, but can't get his station online. Owns the best phone in the world according to him but probably doesn't know 1/10th of its capabilities so the odds of his station ever coming online are slim to none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 ORH/BDL/PVD have locked in below average for April....that would be 6 consecutive months...and I know at least 8 out of last 9 for ORH. Not sure BOS will make below normal, but it will be a photo finish if they rot at like 43F all day today. Been streaky lately...we had that ridiculous cluster of above normal months from 2012 to 2013. posted that yesterday if they average 43 it will be a statistical tie with normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 He's said he needs help with getting it up online...said he can't figure it out. Now it starts to rain hurry up bus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Yeah...probably based on other obs. Of course UP can still be plain rain though. I thought the previous night's UP looked more questionable. Automation FTL. Yeah I know, it would be nice to get ground truth. I could see some sleet possible there..especially last night with Kevin and Hubb's obs. It's still cold aloft based on GYX sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Pretty remarkable change since mid month. Also, give LL a congrats to BDR solidly BN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 not to be a Debbie but am seeing lots of May 2005 looks in LR modeling, ugh , lets hope not Average 58.1 46.2 52.2 -5.7 Normal 66.0 49.9 57.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 ok so we have our first 10/10 Tipcon day, how do we celebrate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Pretty remarkable change since mid month. Also, give LL a congrats to BDR solidly BN. Chilly oysters on the beach. How's Joe doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Most of the time they are fine, or with his high dewpoint for example...reasonable accurate given the wet mulch bed..but there are definitely times where it's a head scratcher. I'll leave it at that.I'd take some of the home stations over ASOS for temps...at least those with good siting and full aspiration. Many of the ASOS sites are concreted in with paved access roads. Maybe the high end thermometers can give you .01F resolution and .1F accuracy, but it doesn't mean much with a +1F siting error. Of course there's probably more bad than good home stations out there and MADIS only picks out the most egregious errors. The Davis dews are definitely jumpy and on the high side though unless you calibrate the RH down. If you're a dew loving weenie though you just wait for a dew spike with light winds and then report that as your current dew. On some of the programs I've made I take the lowest dew recorded during a 5min span and it matches up well with CON. Davis uses a sensirion SHT11, but you can get more accuracy if you switch it out with a SHT15 or SHT75. Those good with electronics and soldering can do this easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 I'm so happy I was able to spend the weekend at V. Tech. Really enjoyed the 80* sun--felt bad having to tell my wife while she was waking to 36* rain. How delayed are the leaves and flowers? Aside from a crocus, I don't think I've seen anything up here. The grass is greening a bit, but nothing on the trees (buds on bushes though). 35.0/34 .14 on the day Slow going up in the hills this year and even here not much popping besides crocus, with some magnolias and forsythia showing but down the valley in Northampton and Springfield things are really flowering and greening up. (Forsythia look pathetic this year all over town, not sure what the problem is.) I think the past few springs had early blooms which have fooled us into thinking this year is late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 not to be a Debbie but am seeing lots of May 2005 looks in LR modeling, ugh , lets hope not Average 58.1 46.2 52.2 -5.7 Normal 66.0 49.9 57.9 May 2006 would be preferable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 For the Davis weenies, the SHT spec sheet. Page 2 has the accuracy charts at given temps. http://www.sensirion.com/fileadmin/user_upload/customers/sensirion/Dokumente/Humidity/Sensirion_Humidity_SHT1x_Datasheet_V5.pdf Back to wx... Spittting rain here in CON. 39.9F at mi casa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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