Moonhowl Posted April 4, 2014 Share Posted April 4, 2014 Unfortunately ??????? Screw the SE Ridge. Don't hate on the cool, wet stuff. Trust me you'll be begging for it multiple times over the next 6 months. Enjoy every last drop of it, assuming there's anymore left in the tap. After the epic flooding and landslides last year; you will not find me complaining about warm and dry (unless an epic drought sets in) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 5, 2014 Share Posted April 5, 2014 Unfortunately ??????? Screw the SE Ridge. Don't hate on the cool, wet stuff. Trust me you'll be begging for it multiple times over the next 6 months. Enjoy every last drop of it, assuming there's anymore left in the tap. Well, I hate the cool, wet stuff. Leave that depressing, miserable weather in the pacific northwest. When it gets spring here I want warm and sunny every day, with some storms every now and then for excitement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 5, 2014 Author Share Posted April 5, 2014 GSP seems pretty bullish on severe weather Monday out my way, even mentions tornadoes ! Severe tstorms and 1.5-3 inches of rain, sounds like a fun event and a good pollen flusher! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted April 5, 2014 Share Posted April 5, 2014 GFS still putting down a pile of rain Monday. 2" to 3" possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU2005 Posted April 5, 2014 Share Posted April 5, 2014 How's the weather in Augusta looking for the practice round on Monday? Trying to decide whether or not to make the trip! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crapper Jim Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 <Just checked GSP Forecast. 1.75 -3" through Sunday night. Seems very "bullish". Haven't read the AFD. Think I'll save discussion for the morning. Need the rain badly. <Did all the yard work today. Pour it on me, baby!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 How's the weather in Augusta looking for the practice round on Monday? Trying to decide whether or not to make the trip! Unless you've never been before (or unless you're rich), sell the tix for several hundred $$ each and make some bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxJordan Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 How's the weather in Augusta looking for the practice round on Monday? Trying to decide whether or not to make the trip! Lot of showers and storms Monday, unfortunately. GFS shows the rain not moving in until around 12 p.m. (or at least the heaviest precipitation). I have been to Augusta twice, and luckily we had great weather both times. Sorry that you will have bad weather if you decided to go, but it is an amazing place to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 Folks, We interrupt this thread for the following special bulletin. The 0Z 4/6 Goofy has a record setting SE cold-wave on it for the period 4/15-17. Repeating, the 0Z 4/6 Goofy has a record setting SE cold-wave on it for the period 4/15-17. Being that it is Goofy out 9-11 days from now, I'm taking the intensity of this cold with a huge grain as of now and advise you do the same. However, I also advise you to carefully watch how this evolves over the next several days. I obviously don't believe that this run's 25 for KATL has a sleet pellet's chance in heck of verifying on 4/16, which would obliterate the current record low of 32, would be a whopping two weeks later than the current latest 25 on record, and would tie the alltime April record low set on 4/2/1881. However, we do need to monitor this period for the realistic chance for at least a frost and light freeze event. By the way this run actually has snow flurries in or near ILM on 4/16 fwiw. It has stupid cold (for mid-April) of -10 C at 850. Please stay tuned to this BB for further updates on this potential cold situation as model data continues to be released. We now return you to your regularly scheduled thread already in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 6, 2014 Author Share Posted April 6, 2014 Folks, We interrupt this thread for the following special bulletin. The 0Z 4/6 Goofy has a record setting SE cold-wave on it for the period 4/15-17. Repeating, the 0Z 4/6 Goofy has a record setting SE cold-wave on it for the period 4/15-17. Being that it is Goofy out 9-11 days from now, I'm taking the intensity of this cold with a huge grain as of now and advise you do the same. However, I also advise you to carefully watch how this evolves over the next several days. I obviously don't believe that this run's 25 for KATL has a sleet pellet's chance in heck of verifying on 4/16, which would obliterate the current record low of 32, would be a whopping two weeks later than the current latest 25 on record, and would tie the alltime April record low set on 4/2/1881. However, we do need to monitor this period for the realistic chance for at least a frost and light freeze event. By the way this run actually has snow flurries in or near ILM on 4/16 fwiw. It has stupid cold (for mid-April) of -10 C at 850. Please stay tuned to this BB for further updates on this potential cold situation as model data continues to be released. We now return you to your regularly scheduled thread already in progress. I'm in full on spring/ gardening mode now, we don't need this ! Maybe it will be like next weeks cold snap that never came to fruition!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 Had to turn the heat on when we got home from church, Hybird wedge is gonna set up tonight when the rain showers move in. You can forget about any severe for the triad Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 I'm in full on spring/ gardening mode now, we don't need this ! Maybe it will be like next weeks cold snap that never came to fruition!? You'd be a-ok based on the subsequent two Goofy runs. They don't bring down the intense cold into the SE as they keep it in the northern states. So, that 0z Goofy is a big outlier for the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobNC Posted April 6, 2014 Share Posted April 6, 2014 Folks, We interrupt this thread for the following special bulletin. The 0Z 4/6 Goofy has a record setting SE cold-wave on it for the period 4/15-17. Repeating, the 0Z 4/6 Goofy has a record setting SE cold-wave on it for the period 4/15-17. Being that it is Goofy out 9-11 days from now, I'm taking the intensity of this cold with a huge grain as of now and advise you do the same. However, I also advise you to carefully watch how this evolves over the next several days. I obviously don't believe that this run's 25 for KATL has a sleet pellet's chance in heck of verifying on 4/16, which would obliterate the current record low of 32, would be a whopping two weeks later than the current latest 25 on record, and would tie the alltime April record low set on 4/2/1881. However, we do need to monitor this period for the realistic chance for at least a frost and light freeze event. By the way this run actually has snow flurries in or near ILM on 4/16 fwiw. It has stupid cold (for mid-April) of -10 C at 850. Please stay tuned to this BB for further updates on this potential cold situation as model data continues to be released. We now return you to your regularly scheduled thread already in progress. The latest recorded snow event in ILM was a trace around April 8, IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 7, 2014 Share Posted April 7, 2014 1.5" on April 11th sometime in the mid 80's that's the latest snow I can remember that actually accumulated anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 We haven't had a big severe outbreak yet, but NC has already had two tornadoes this spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 For those in NC/SC/GA that received significant rainfall over the past couple days...we got a doozy of a pattern showing up on the GFS for early next week...The area from Alabama to Western North Carolina received 3-5 inches of rain over the past 48 hours. This region could easily equal that if the GFS is on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 ^ The Euro takes the primary from the TX panhandle up through the Lakes. This still argues for some rain (not the flooding rains shown on the GFS), but with the best dynamics well north, as usual, I wouldn't expect a big severe weather threat...just from the look of the Euro, that is. The CMC's pretty amped too, but it doesn't close off like the GFS, through 180 hrs. Still, it delivers a good dose of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 8, 2014 Share Posted April 8, 2014 We seem to be in a pattern of having rain/storms at the beginning of the week and then clearing for the rest of the week. Find wiht me as long as the weekends aren't a washout. Thursday through Sunday looks awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 9, 2014 Share Posted April 9, 2014 ^ The Euro takes the primary from the TX panhandle up through the Lakes. This still argues for some rain (not the flooding rains shown on the GFS), but with the best dynamics well north, as usual, I wouldn't expect a big severe weather threat...just from the look of the Euro, that is. The CMC's pretty amped too, but it doesn't close off like the GFS, through 180 hrs. Still, it delivers a good dose of rain. Well, this event has turned into another run of the mill April showers thing, it looks like. The severe threat doesn't look too great now, nor does the heavy rain threat, on a widespread basis at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 10, 2014 Author Share Posted April 10, 2014 Looking a little frosty next week about Tuesday or Wednesday ? Per the GFS ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 Euro echos the GFS surface temps Tue/Wed; that was missing last time. Seriously frost will probably just be higher elevations. However it is almost laughable how cold mornings are staying deep in to April. At least the afternoons are nice. Love it! In other news, the new severe Day 4 is over some of the worst chase territory in all of tornado alley, Plains and Dixie inclusive. Only the Ozarks is worse. I'll be relaxing over here in the Tennessee sunshine on Sunday, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 Enjoy the weather this weekend: Flooding and a Strong CAD is on the way next week: A VERY SHARP COLD FRONT IS ANTICIPATED TO PUSH INTO... THEN THROUGHTHE REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. HEAVY SHOWERS AND SCATTEREDEMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PREDICT THESEVERE THREAT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN SHOULD BEA WEATHER HAZARD TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY... THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS OF ANOTHERWAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MAY FORM JUST OFF THE SC/NC OR MID-ATLANTICCOAST WEDNESDAY. IF THIS OCCURS... A VERY CHILLY AND PROLONGED RAINEVENT MAY UNFOLD OVER THE REGION WITH A STIFF NE FLOW. DEPENDING ONTHE RAIN AND CLOUDINESS... TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY MAY ACTUALLY FALLTHROUGH THE 50S/40S. THIS CHILLINESS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGHAND COLD FRONT WILL EXIST THROUGH LATE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BE DRIVENBY A 1035+ MB SURFACE HIGH THAT IS FORECAST TO BUILD SOUTHWARD DOWNTHE EASTERN SEABOARD FROM NY/PA LATE IN THE WEEK. SOME MID 30SSHOULD RESULT FOR LOWS BY THURSDAY AND POTENTIALLY FRIDAY MORNINGS.HIGHS SHOULD ONLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S (8-12 DEGREES BELOWTHE 30 YEAR RUNNING AVERAGES). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 Brad Panovich WCNC 3 mins · As nice and warm as this weekend will be. There is a potential late season frost/freeze possible next week. #cltwx #ncwx #scwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 Brad Panovich WCNC 3 mins · As nice and warm as this weekend will be. There is a potential late season frost/freeze possible next week. #cltwx #ncwx #scwx As much as I'm in favor of very late season chill, I doubt it would get as cold as this 6Z GFS run shows at two meters due to cold bias. I'd add at least 3-5 degrees to these numbers. Still, that would be some quite impressive chill! It has 37 for Katl. I'd go with 40+. It has 43 at Ksav. I'd go 46+ there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 As much as I'm in favor of very late season chill, I doubt it would get as cold as this 6Z GFS run shows at two meters due to cold bias. I'd add at least 3-5 degrees to these numbers. Still, that would be some quite impressive chill! It has 37 for Katl. I'd go with 40+. It has 43 at Ksav. I'd go 46+ there. I agree. Euro OP is much colder than it's ensembles as well. 31 in CLT? nah. Euro's coldest minimum has been 35 and that's down from 39 and 41 the previous two runs....and even that's a bit cold, I'd bet near 37 as the ensemble shows. This is like showing a 06z snowfall map and saying "it could snow" when the ensembles don't support it, kinda pointless. I like Brad P, but he makes a huge ensemble blog post and posts the 06z 2m temps 150hrs out....lol... edit: I take that back, somehow the 12z Euro has gone extremely cold as well...26 minimum in Raleigh Thursday morning, it will be interesting to see what the ensembles look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 Wonder how this will pan out this time around? Last week, similar prediction, we amassed .34" CURRENT PROJECTIONS INDICATE 1-2INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY 3 INCHES POSSIBLE WITH TRAINING OF HEAVYRAIN POTENTIAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 Wonder how this will pan out this time around? Last week, similar prediction, we amassed .34" The old NC split! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 12, 2014 Author Share Posted April 12, 2014 Of course we will get 30s next week, I just bought and planted my ' mater plants yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted April 13, 2014 Share Posted April 13, 2014 The old NC split! It wasn't a traditional Carolina split. We got it pretty good over this way as all the creeks and rivers came out of their banks, Way to much rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted April 13, 2014 Share Posted April 13, 2014 Of course we will get 30s next week, I just bought and planted my ' mater plants yesterday! Planted the beans today but held back on everything else. it will be late next weekend before the ground dries back out enough after this upcoming rain event this week. The dog woods have just started to come out here the past 3 days which means it time to head to the ponds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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