bluewave Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Another .5 for MTP by 12z Wed low bombing under 960 mb at 40.5N 67W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane11 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Of course it will but then the 6z run will show an inverted trough missing us to the south, nailing parts of the jersey shore, with the banding shaped like a middle finger Sent from my iPhone THIS made me almost spit my coffee out. Lol good laugh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just as many of us expected, this would be east. However there were a few that hung on and said it would shift west, it just never happened. Wonderful. You deserve an award. SMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Euro gives all areas 0.25" plus from the inverted trough, even for my backyard. Can we all agree that if we somehow get 1-3" from this, eastern Long Island gets 3-6" and SE NE gets 6-12....we'd all be happy ? I know I would, although it is unlikely at this pointl Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Euro gives all areas 0.25" plus from the inverted trough, even for my backyard. Maybe NAM isn't off with the inverted trough idea? Just give me a couple inches to end the season, and I'll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Wonderful. You deserve an award. SMH His call is as good as me closing my eyes and throwing a dart hoping it hits the bullseye. But alas it hit the middle this time, go play the lotto now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Great PBP. 952 due East of CC 18z Wed. looks like around 8" for MTP and 12"+ for CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Very impressive low depicted though, you can't say it's not. Must be fascinating for true mets and hardcore weather enthusiasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 His call is as good as me closing my eyes and throwing a dart hoping it hits the bullseye. But alas it hit the middle this time, go play the lotto now. I provided my reasoning in my post two days ago, go back and look if you want. I didn't just throw something out without a backing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 952 due East of CC 18z Wed. looks like around 8" for MTP. Looks like 12+ for CC. Where the .5 line. On my phone. Sorry to bother brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Where the .5 line. On my phone. Sorry to bother brother Just a rough guesstimate out near OKX to Riverhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just a rough guesstimate out near OKX to Riverhead. Yuck at 0z it was at JFK. OK Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 If eastern Long Island gets 3-6" from this storm, that would be awesome for them. However, I'm sure even they will be mainly paying attention to how it bombs out like crazy as it tracks NE into Nova Scotia. The "what could have been"s will be flying around I'm sure. Lately I always tell myself that it's not what could have been, because there only can ever be one solution to a storm.....what the models predict has nothing to do with what will really happen Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Just a rough guesstimate out near OKX to Riverhead. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I wouldn't be excited about this storm unless I lived on Cape Cod or in Nova Scotia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Models have been very consistent and if it verifies, then this is a big coup for all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Yuck at 0z it was at JFK. OK Thx. It looks like the 0z idea of splitting the low with a piece further west was the hiccup as this run gets a consolidated center well east of CC down to 951 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 i think the fish will have a snow day on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Models have been very consistent and if it verifies, then this is a big coup for all models. Of course models are consistent when they show a miss because they sure weren't before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 It looks like the 0z idea of splitting the low with a piece further west was the hiccup as this run gets a consolidated center well east of CC down to 951 mb. Should b quite the wind event along w thundersnow in CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Where the .5 line. On my phone. Sorry to bother brother For our area about a mile off the coast of ocean county..Kblm is 0.4".. SE pa went from 0.2" to 0.4-0.5", guessing from an ivt.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Euro would still be 1-3 inches for our entire area. The Weatherbell snow map even shows a sneaky area of 4-5 inch amounts in southeast PA that head up in our direction. If that area moves any more NE with the storm on future runs it could make things interesting . Also, on Wednesday the Euro is showing wind gusts of 40-50 mph in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 the record snowfall for the 26th in KNYC is 1.2"...We have a shot at breaking that record... 3/26 snowfalls...1.2" in 19240.8" in 19550.6" in 19470.5" in 18990.3" in 20010.3" in 19000.3" in 19260.2" in 19270.2" in 19330.2" in 1960 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 For our area about a mile off the coast of ocean county..Kblm is 0.4".. SE pa went from 0.2" to 0.4-0.5", guessing from an ivt.. I never say never. But inverted troughs love N E What s Gona happen. Over the next 36 hours u will see it move N and pp will b arguing who's getting 3 to 6 etc. 951 is incredible for our latitude . Too bad it's east. But CC is in for an arse whooping if the euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I never say never. But inverted troughs love N E What s Gona happen. Over the next 36 hours u will see it move N and pp will b arguing who's getting 3 to 6 etc. 951 is incredible for our latitude . Too bad it's east. But CC is in for an arse whooping if the euro is right. inverted troughs are considered a weather phenomenon that is strictly New England, at least that's how the study put it. Long island is included, but rarely. The weather patterns which set up in New England made it conducive for inverted troughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 At first glance SREF's look a tick drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 SREF is way out to sea with the coastal but has the inverted trough down in the mid atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 If anyone wants to see anything substantial from this storm charter a boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 I never say never. But inverted troughs love N E What s Gona happen. Over the next 36 hours u will see it move N and pp will b arguing who's getting 3 to 6 etc. 951 is incredible for our latitude . Too bad it's east. But CC is in for an arse whooping if the euro is right. Weatherbell has it as 946 mb about 150 miles east of Cape Cod with wind gusts around 100 mph west of the center. Can you even image if this had come inland as Sandy did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 SREF is way out to sea with the coastal but has the inverted trough down in the mid atlantic. When we start honing in on inverted troughs its the official start of scraping the bottom of the barrel for a storm. "Grasping at straws" applies here 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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