Absolute Humidity Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Euro has been dreadful. The upgrade ruined that model. I have officially given up.Hoping to wake up to a blizzard warning Boxing Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Lol another one for DC? Nice little bullseye for them lol. Watch D.C., Atlantic City/Cape May pick up 6"+ again while we wave the storm goodbye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Mid Atlantic region's March is kind of like our Jan-mid Feb. Storms seem to somehow work out for them with nearly every threat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Looks like another 1" cut off event around Old Bridge with more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 It seems that the tight east to west gradient is rapidly becoming a more north-south gradient. DC will probably get slammed, once again! But good for them, they probably won't get it for a while now. Areas south of I-195 may still have something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 This storm basically avoids us but hits just to our southwest and just to the northeast ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 It seems that the tight east to west gradient is rapidly becoming a more north-south gradient. DC will probably get slammed, once again! But good for them, they probably won't get it for a while now. Areas south of I-195 may still have something to keep an eye on. Nah they'll get a few inches but it starts warm for them and falls during the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Ain't much to talk about besides the non existent severe weather season. The hurricane season is interesting over on the main board, but that too has been non existent for the past few years(at least in the Atlantic) Perhaps you don't remember Irene and Sandy?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Thought DT has a great write-up of this event, discussing how the northern energy coming from our west is generally expected to cause most of the accumulating snow to our south and that after it phases with the southern energy in the Atlantic and explodes to our east, additional snow will fall, mostly to our east (and maybe along the Jersey coast). Ironic that we're going to be too far north for the best snowfall from the northern low and too far west for much snowfall from the southern/coastal low. https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk#!/WxRisk/photos/a.148807335166533.25889.129478830432717/665133906867204/?type=1&theater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 GGEM? Not much, an inch or two extreme SW PA away from Philly and a inch or two jersey coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 GGEM?Take a guess lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Still ain't buying it, but some how theyz'll get foot. DC the new March snow Capitol of the world. Hope you're wrong. . Driving through there Tuesday around 11 am Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 The UKMET hates southern New England as much as the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Wana get sucked backed in. Or just suckered. Look at how close the 6z nam is. Good morning or Good nite depending on you're hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Wana get sucked backed in. Or just suckered. Look at how close the 6z nam is. Good morning or Good nite depending on you're hours. Yikes. Pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 I have a feeling south shore LI gets 3-4 inch surprise from JFK east, while NYC and north shore get coating. If the 6Z NAM solution goes 75 miles west most of Suffolk get 6 inches especially the south shore. S Nassau gets 3-4 inches. I feel a very big surprise will happen the last second as this is developing early this evening. However, it will really look like this when set and done, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 & CNJ anyone? The CNJ Plowsman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 What a winter a system this late in the season regardless of the outcome is impressive with a snow threat, when by now severe weather starts getting the headlines is memorable .Nowcasting this storm is prudent at this point .see ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Nam is really close. Wow. Going to be an interesting day looking at radar returns. Hoping for a bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Nam is really close. Wow. Going to be an interesting day looking at radar returns. Hoping for a bust Lol I thought you gave up. Best approach is to take any NCEP guidance and toss it in the trash until maybe 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Lol I thought you gave up. Best approach is to take any NCEP guidance and toss it in the trash until maybe 18z. I did but going outside this morning brought me back in. Looks like and smells like snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 I did but going outside this morning brought me back in. Looks like and smells like snow. You may be able to see it snowing heavily 5 miles out over the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 You may be able to see it snowing heavily 5 miles out over the ocean. Hi Res Nam also shows the area in snow later on http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=024ℑ=data%2Fnam-hires%2F06%2Fnam-hires_namer_024_sim_reflectivity.gif&model=nam-hires&area=namer¶m=sim_reflectivity&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140325+06+UTC&imageSize=&ps=area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Hi Res Nam also shows the area in snow later on http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=024ℑ=data%2Fnam-hires%2F06%2Fnam-hires_namer_024_sim_reflectivity.gif&model=nam-hires&area=namer¶m=sim_reflectivity&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140325+06+UTC&imageSize=&ps=area That's comp reflectivity, probably shows virga on the periphery of the precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 MT Holly has 2-4 inches for SNJ. Congrats to them once again. Philly also. Nam has near 0.40QPF for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 MT Holly has 2-4 inches for SNJ. Congrats to them once again. Philly also. Euro has near 0.40QPF for them. Which is a nice compromise of the 6" that the NAM gives them and the dusting that the GFS gives them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Which is a nice compromise of the 6" that the NAM gives them and the dusting that the GFS gives them. Euro gives them near .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Euro gives them near .25 Exactly. Model mayhem lol. Little matter for NYC but huge differences still for the Cape and for SNJ/Mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Exactly. Model mayhem lol. Little matter for NYC but huge differences still for the Cape and for SNJ/Mid Atlantic. I was hoping for a blizzard today since I am off from work. I wish the models trended west towards inside of the benchmark with this. It would have been cool to see 12 inches + today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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